Saturday July 8 2023 Forecast (8:21AM)

68 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JULY 8-12)

This weekend will be a muggy one, warmest today, a little less warm tomorrow, more sun today than tomorrow, and limited shower and thunderstorm chances. Today’s best shot at pop up showers and thunderstorms will be west of I-95. Tomorrow’s shower chance goes up later in the day, and coverage of those should be greater, but with more cloud cover the thunderstorm chance is likely to drop off somewhat. This all takes place with a low pressure trough to our west, and an associated surface frontal boundary getting closer to our region, while it’s held back a bit by a weak ridge of high pressure to our east. There’s still a hint of uncertainty as to how the wettest weather plays out in terms of location / time frame Monday into Tuesday, but for now keeping the forecast generally the same, with Monday and Monday evening being the wettest for the region overall, and some improvement for Tuesday. There is some guidance that has the opposite idea, and I’m aware of the possibility that it ends up more correct than my current forecast, but I don’t think it will. One thing I’m more confident of, high pressure brings a warm, rain-free day to us on Wednesday, but with humidity still on the high side.

TODAY: Partly sunny. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon, mainly west of I-95. Highs 83-90 except 75-82 South Coast. Dew point 65+. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Areas of fog overnight. Lows 67-74. Dew point 65+. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, favoring the second half of the afternoon. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Highs 78-85, coolest South Coast. Dew point 65+. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Areas of fog. Lows 66-73. Dew point 65+. Wind S to variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Widespread showers. Chance of a thunderstorm. Areas of fog. Highs 72-79. Dew point 65+. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Areas of fog. Lows 65-72. Dew point 65+. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Chance of showers in the morning. Areas of fog early. Highs 73-80. Dew point 65+. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Areas of fog. Lows 65-72. Dew point 65+. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 84-91, cooler some coastal areas. Dew point 60+. Wind W to variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes possible.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 13-17)

Mainly rain-free with a minimal shower/thunderstorm threat for July 13, then a better shot at showers/storms as a front pushes through from west to east July 14 based on current timing. This should clear the region out for at least the start of the July 15-16 weekend but showers/storms may return before it’s over, into the start of the following week, along with continued high humidity, but no major heat.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 18-22)

Overall pattern features weak west to east flow with a weak trough often nearby. This brings a couple shower and thunderstorm chances and seasonable, slightly variable temperatures, with no sustained heat indicated.

68 thoughts on “Saturday July 8 2023 Forecast (8:21AM)”

  3. Good morning and thank you TK

    Please see what you can do to get RID of this humidity thank you.. Looks like it is here for the entire Summer season.

    1. Risk decreasing the humidity, but bringing in higher temps. Depends what the pattern would change to. 🙂

    2. After July 20 the dry intrusions from Canada will return.

      We’re enduring an “alternate stable pattern” right now, which includes a long duration high humidity episode for New England. It happens. Happened before. Will happen again. We’ve see “worse” (in a relative and opinion-based sense).

      The predominant pattern that preceded this will come back in its summer form in late July into August. Ridge central US (heat dome of sorts, but less impressive than 1980, 1988, and 1995), northwest flow Great Lakes and Northeast, trough just off Northeast Coast and into the Southeast, and trough West. Basically the opposite pattern to the one that Dr. Cohen forecast / wished for (whatever one of those is more accurate).

  6. 78 with a 71 DP in SE Sutton. Overcast. Hoping that does not clear till late morning. Headed out soon to take granddaughter to her 10:00 riding lesson

  9. Ocean is 66 92 or for sak, 67
    As soon as East wind quit, it went down. funny about that.

    1. I was also curious as to why those come out in 100ths of degrees. We can’t measure that accurately. 😉

      In fact I don’t even subscribe to temperatures in 10ths of degrees. Anything but whole degrees in F scale is meaningless. In C scale you can get away with tenths because of the wider margin of the scale. This is direct scientific experience talking – and I am a scientist. Take my word for it. 🙂

      Anyway, as soon as the east wind quits, the warmed water is allowed to move away from the shore and replaced by colder water from below.

      Water may respond more slowly than air to heating/cooling, but it’s very much determined by current and recent weather. 🙂

      1. Of, I understand that. That’s was the snarky “funny about that”.

        I agree about the 10ths on the buoy water temperatures.
        The Mets on TV report it in whole degrees.
        I got in the habit of reporting exactly what the NOAA site
        displayed.

        Here is current display

        https://ibb.co/pQKc43k

        Why would they report temp in tenths and often 100ths
        IF the damn sensors are not that accurate???? Seems rather INSANE to me!!!

        This world is a BLEEPED up mess in oh so many ways.

        From now on, I shall report the buoy temperature in
        WHOLE degrees. 🙂

        1. Btw, I could have set up my equipment here to report in tenths, but I chose to keep it in whole degrees for the reasons you mentioned above. 🙂

  11. Thanks, TK.

    We’re in the trough of summer. I often can’t think clearly in summer. I’m kind of in a daze. This year is no exception, though thankfully it all started several weeks later than usual. But in Boston, unlike, say, Durham NC, it doesn’t last that long. Usually by September I’m thinking clearly again and no longer dazed.

    My go-to daze antagonist is strong coffee. I drink more of it in summer than other seasons. I sometimes even reach for a Coke (don’t worry, NOT cocaine, I don’t do drugs) for an extra shot of caffeine or dark chocolate.

  12. just lost power. A real cherry to top off this Yuckorama dessert. Better come back soon!!!!!!!!!

      1. thanks, we’ll need it.
        I HATE eversouce!!!

        The did a repair overnight Tuesday.
        I am certain they botched it!!!!!

        They truly SUCK!!!!!!

        1. National Grid is horrific too. They finally waived the $985 charge for last august. I only had to speak with 34 people (I took notes and names).

        2. JP – I call them “neversource”. They have worked on our street in the past and we went hours without electricity, But it was winter. Nonetheless, in this humidity it can be just as bad. The humidity makes my husband feel ill. We have air-conditioning (not central) but hoping we don’t lose power, especially when severe weather comes. I hope Mrs. O.S. is feeling ok. I know it is hard on her.

  13. Ocean temple 73.2 at Block Island buoy. I’m in Narragansett RI. Just got out of the water very comfortable Just the right temperature at least for me.

  17. Now 80 here, dp 71, The East wind is here. How effective it will be remains to be seen. I’ll take 80 over 90 any day!!!!

  18. While I am certainly looking forward to those dry intrusions from Canada, will they come with smoke again as well?

    The only good thing about this humid pattern is that it has kept wildfire smoke away.

  20. JPD glad your electricity is back

    Philip, the $945.00 charge was for A month electricity in august. They had changed the meter late July as it was showing a problem, forgot to reset the new meter, and then done an estimated reading. They didn’t have one concrete kWH number to base bill on. So I refused to pay till they figured a fair amount. They kept offering to turn electricity off. I called. They froze account to look into. Did nothing. And over and over for 10 months. Finally they just sent me a bill zeroed out

    1. Since they froze your account, did you get “free” electricity for 10 months until it was resolved?

      Just curious. How much do you usually pay per month?

      1. Hahahaha. No. They froze just the august bill. And our electricity is quite high. The house is set up very badly. Our heat, however, costs next to nothing

  21. Temp dipped to 79 here for about an hour and now back up to 80. Definitely feeling the effects of the East Wind at a time when
    it is appreciated, unlike April or May. 🙂

  24. How many 90+ days have there been at Logan so far this year? I know the humidity is doing its part to make days seem much warmer. My enjoyment of these muggy days is lessening as I get older.

        1. Is that 1.000 days?

          I laugh at those thermometers that display 72.3 degrees. +/- 1 degree! Does that really mean that the temperature is in the range [71.3, 73.3]?

          1. Just got a warning that…

            Flood watch for Worcester cty expires in two days and 16 hours

            Is that kind of like marking temps in tenths and hundredths?

          2. within the 24 hours of the day, it hit 90 on exactly ONE
            of those 24 hour stretches, thus 1 day. Now how many hours of the 24 were at or above 90? Perhaps 2.
            So is that 0.083333 days of 90??? 🙂

          3. It’s 2023 and we cannot manufacture a thermometer
            that is totally and completely accurate????????
            Make no sense to me!!!

    1. The latest media craze: Wet bulb.

      We learned all about that in college. 🙂

    1. Belchertown, Massachusetts conjures up strange images in my mind. My mother had a very bad case of rubella when she was pregnant with me in 1964. Rubella and pregnancy are a dangerous combination. There’s a high risk for severe birth defects. Prior to my birth, my mother drove out to Belchertown to check to see what the institution was like that housed (still houses, I believe) children and young adults with a variety of severe ailments. She didn’t like what she saw and told my father that no matter what she would care for me in the home as long as possible. As it turns out, I was born a healthy baby. Dr. Easterday (yes, that was his name), my mother’s OBGYN, told my mother “your son passed the Apgar test with flying colors.”

      1. Amazing and touching story. Those words must have some of the happiest she ever heard. Thank you for sharing. ❤️

    1. I’m waiting to light the grill, not sure what these storms are doing, they are pulsing and not moving too quickly. The lightning seems to be dying down from the way it was about 15 minutes ago, as the sun is less effective right now they may die down before they reach me.

  30. As I enter the TMZ space – well, not really – here’s my piece on Madonna Louise Ciccone’s near-death experience: https://www.forbes.com/sites/joshuacohen/2023/07/08/report-alleges-narcan-revived-madonna-but-drugs-use-raises-questions/?sh=6ecc0c6d6873

    As all of you know, I’m a facts guy. I don’t go for sensationalism. I also don’t like to speculate even if there are some `facts’ (statements) which could lead one in a certain direction.

    Finally, I wish Madonna a speedy and full recovery no matter what happened to her. This would be good for her, her family, and her fans.

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