Thursday July 13 2023 Forecast (7:11AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (JULY 13-17)

Boston’s Logan airport will not set a new record for the latest first 90+ of the season. They finally made it yesterday, late in the afternoon, when a weak sea breeze quit and a southwest wind took over, pushing them briefly to 91. But this is not the sign of a sudden switch to a hot pattern. The pattern featuring high humidity but a lack of heat will continue for a while yet. Along with this comes additional wet weather chances, but focused on every other day, with just limited activity today, more activity Friday, limited again Saturday, and another increase Sunday, before the see-saw tips the other way Monday. This is essentially an unchanged outlook from yesterday, so I won’t re-hash all of it. The idea is the same. A trough of low pressure dominates the weather, and disturbances push into and through the region, and two such disturbances will be right in our area Friday and again Sunday, when chances are highest for seeing wet weather in much of the region.

TODAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon, but most activity will be isolated and west of I-95. Highs 82-89. Dew point 65+. Wind S-SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Chance of a shower or thunderstorm early and again overnight. Patchy fog. Lows 62-69. Dew point 60+. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 77-84. Dew point 65+. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Areas of fog. Lows 65-72. Dew point 65+. Wind S under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Isolated afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Highs 78-85. Dew point 65+. Wind SSW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 66-73. Dew point 65+. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs 77-84. Dew point 65+. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy evening with showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Breaking clouds overnight. Areas of fog. Lows 66-73. Dew point 65+. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Highs 78-85. Dew point 65+. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 18-22)

Based on current timing, shower and thunderstorm chances are highest on July 18 and 20, but cannot rule out a shower or storm any of these days with the overall pattern similar. High humidity may break somewhat later in the period. No major heat.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 23-27)

One or two drier intrusions of Canadian air, still some shower and thunderstorm opportunities though. Still no major sustained heat indicated.

78 thoughts on “Thursday July 13 2023 Forecast (7:11AM)”

    2. Up here in Lake George it’s been a beautiful day after some morning showers. Got in some hiking and beach. Severe thunderstorm watch for later. That line in looking nasty.

  10. Today’s humidity is OUTRAGEOUS!!!!
    Logan reporting dp: 72

    My Equipment dp: 73

    YUUUUUUUUUUUCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCKKKKKK!!!

    1. Plenty of moisture here too, but in a different way.

      I think we are around 65F both temp and dp.

      In a much weaker version, the system that flooded VT gave us an inch plus of rain yesterday, but it’s hit that block TK has been talking about.

      While the heavier rain has crawled northeast of us, it’s misty, foggy and extremely damp and the ground is soaked with plenty of puddles.

      1. Hope it doesn’t put a damper on your vacation.

        I’m sure you know how to work around it. 🙂

        1. Thanks.

          We can work around it. My father-in-law says this weather is “Cape-Bretony”.

          We may have to check into a hotel tomorrow night for a night because we have a wedding to go to Saturday and it’s too damp/muddy on the campground for nice clothes 🙂 🙂 🙂

  11. Thanks TK! Hope everyone’s doing well here!

    While certainly not unprecedented, this is about as wet/unsettled a pattern as I can recall for the Northeast US at this time of year. And not a whole lot of indications it’ll break down any time soon, another one of these stable patterns.

    Different story here out West where it is finally heating up big time, on the other side of the stable pattern. This will be a longggg duration heat event for us…

    https://www.weather.gov/

    1. Thanks WxWatcher. But it’s not the heat, it’s the humidity!
      NOT!! I have experienced Las Vegas heat and although it
      was not humid, it was BRUTAL none-the-less.

      Hang in there and endure. Good luck.

    2. Thanks Weather Watcher. I also wish you good luck. Similar to JPDs comment, mac has two cousins in AZ who grew up in the east. Both say with or without humidity, hot is HOT

      1. My DP seems to be consistently a few degrees lower than yours. Proximity to the ocean?? We are 88 with a 67 DP. Not that I feel the difference. Just curious.

  13. Tom, enjoy your vacation in Nova Scotia. What a beautiful province. I’m sorry you’ve encountered so much rain. It probably looks and feels like New Scotland. And sometimes the people sound a bit Scottish when they speak.

  14. Recuperating after a long run in the sun. Blood pressure drops to low levels, but it has righted itself. Now sipping on some cold water after putting my head in the freezer for a bit.

  15. Logan jumped to 88 with a wind shift to the South, a bit West of South.

    86 here, dp 70 and totally cloudy. Likely only reason we are not
    90 or higher. 🙂

    NOT much in the way of shower activity showing on radar.

  16. Wankum mentioned that because of all this humidity is the reason Boston hasn’t reached 90 more often. It seems that when it’s very humid, it takes more energy to really heat up. At least that’s how he explained it.

    TK, do you agree?

    1. Well, I for one don’t totally agree. Most of the time when there
      was an opportunity, Logan had a SEA BREEZE.

    2. I’ve actually said that here MANY times. But, that’s only one reason. We also simply have not been in a hot pattern. Most of the country hasn’t. Most of the country has been near to below normal for the past 120 days. New England a little closer to normal overall but definitely not “hot”. So that’s the other reason. We haven’t had the opportunity.

      We had a super humid summer in 1982 but that one had its share of 90+ (though not excessively). 1983 was the BIG 90+ count, but a much drier summer in terms of humidity.

      That was probably the most extreme back-to-back summer difference that I’ve witnessed. The other was 2001 vs 2002. COOL / DRY to very hot.

  17. Possibly more misery for Vermont as rain and storms likely in parts of the state. As my sister told me, every day this summer has features lots of clouds and often VERY dark ones. Yes, they’ve had some sun but clouds have been as dominant as she’s seen it since she started living there in 2005.

    By the way, last year’s corn and squash (all types, including pumpkins) did well across NE. Loads of sun really helps these vegetables. There was just enough rain or at least irrigation/watering. I suspect that this year’s crops will not be as good. Applies to tomatoes, too. They really don’t do well when there’s too much water and not enough sun.

    1. Well, last year much of our region couldn’t buy a few raindrops and this year it’s the opposite. Mother Nature for ya.

    2. Oh yes, I think the heavier axis may be eastward-displaced this time, and not as heavy as the last event, not really even close, so it will be an issue, but not a widespread major one. That’s good news.

  18. Dew point down 9 degrees at Boston. When I left work it was nice outside. Especially compared to the 96 degree kitchen far more humid than any people outside were feeling that I was in for 7 hours. 🙂 But, you won’t hear any complaints from me.

    Anyway, brother move prep in progress. The move itself is tomorrow with finishing touches over the weekend.

  21. Currently 78-88 temp and mid to upper 60s dp (few lower 70s South Coast).
    Not exactly a sauna.

  22. The MSP Airport snow pile of still alive at 2 ft high, a few feet wide, and several feet long.

    I am not sure yet if this is a record late date for the snow pile. 😉

    1. I have probably said before but many many years ago when my oldest was boarding her horse In hopkinton, the manure pile was moved in mid to later summer. In the middle of it was a layer of snow.

      Doesn’t really relate a lot but did fascinate me

  24. Looks like some pretty strong storms to roll through parts of Vermont. Warnings are up. My sister lives on a hill at about 900 feet above sea level, so no problem there. But in town it’s a different story. Flood watches have been posted along with severe thunderstorms. She lives in Eastern Vermont.

  25. It looks like a squall line is developing across parts of Upstate NY and Vermont. There have been a couple tornado warnings with that line including one near Rutland VT about an hour ago.

  28. They extended the Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10pm for Litchfield County. Will see if anything gets into my area.

    The tornado warning you mentioned Vicki is up until 8pm. This is radar indicated and with this squall line there have been a few tornado warnings popping up every now and then.

  31. I believe that is the area. A tornado was again was issued close to the same area as the previous one was. This warning goes to 8:45pm

  33. This by far is the most impressive thunderstorm we have seen so far this warm weather season.

  34. If I am reading the NWS map correctly, there are now three warned areas along that line.

  35. I am seeing what you are seeing with this squall line which has been moving east the past several hours. There have tornado warnings issued from time to time with this line.

    1. There looks like some pretty mean storms starting to straddle the CT/MA border.

    1. Dewpoints are 72 here in Taunton, Providence, Marshfield and New Bedford. A little bit drier north of here.

  37. These storms are moving at a good clip and not sitting in one spot which hopefully will lessen the flash flood potential.

  40. Well that was anticlimactic… is that a weather term? And now I’m in a Charlie hole…,I know that’s an official weather term

  41. TK – Does MSP Airport stand for “Minneapolis-St. Paul”?

    If so, a snow pile by now is shocking even for that region. ❄️

    1. Yes it does. And yes, that’s impressive. But other than that small heat area in the Deep South, up to now there hasn’t been much hot weather this summer. That’s changing for the West now. We’ll see how long the MSP snow lasts though – probably not much longer.

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