Saturday August 5 2023 Forecast (7:18AM)

51 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 5-9)

Other than a stumble out of the gate with a quick shower threat for Outer Cape Cod and Nantucket, high pressure will bring us a great first weekend of August with fair weather, light wind, and relatively low humidity. Dew points are still elevated especially in coastal areas and there are some patches of low clouds around to start the day, but those dew points will go down and those clouds will dissipate. Other than fair-weather decorative clouds that will pop up during the day, we can enjoy plenty of sun today, and even more of it tomorrow. A warm front approaching on Monday brings back the clouds and eventually a shower and thunderstorm threat, which will hang around through Tuesday as its parent low tracks north of our region and one trough and cold front have to move through as well. This system moves away and high pressure replaces it with fair weather again by Wednesday.

TODAY: Lots of clouds with an Outer Cape Cod and Nantucket shower chance until mid morning, and low cloud patches in other areas early. Abundant sun mid-late morning then a sun/cloud mix midday-afternoon. Highs 76-83. Dew point 60+. Wind W up to 10 MPH, some sea breezes coast.

TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 58-65. Dew point falling below 55. Wind variable to W up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85. Dew point 50s. Wind NW to variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes possible.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Fog patches in lower elevations. Lows 56-63. Dew point 50s. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Early sun then lots of clouds. A shower chance in the afternoon. Highs 75-82. Dew point near 60. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63-70. Dew point 60+. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 75-82. Dew point 65+. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms evening. Areas of fog overnight. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

WEDNESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 77-84. Dew point near 60. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 10-14)

Best shower and thunderstorm chances August 11 and August 13 and/or 14. Much of the time fair with a zonal flow and weak disturbances passing by. Temperatures fairly close to normal – no significant sustained heat.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 15-19)

A zonal flow pattern with a tendency for a weak low pressure trough being nearby. Passing disturbances bring a couple shower and thunderstorm chances. Temperatures near normal.

51 thoughts on “Saturday August 5 2023 Forecast (7:18AM)”

  2. Good morning and thank you TK
    Re Monday/Tuesday
    last night Pete was concerned about severe weather due to plenty of lift available Your thoughts?

    Many thanks

    1. There’s a little bit of a concern there but it doesn’t scream overly nasty to me at this point.

    1. Ii think Tuesday would be our day for “possible” Severe.
      We shall see how it plays out. I am sure there will be some possible timing issues. 🙂

            1. I don’t recall haha! I know I’ve mentioned it when it has come up though. 🙂

              There are a lot of extreme events that are seldom ever talked about, such as the 1930s heat. The 1950s hurricane barrage gets mentioned a bit more often. I can’t imagine New England dealing with as many tropical storms and hurricanes as they did in such a short time in the 1950s now. We’re not ready with all the development that has taken place since then.

          2. I remember. I did a lot of reading thanks to your mention. We talked about the cause on here a bit also

      1. I don’t know about Germany and Europe but yes Vicki it certainly would count as “snowfall” here. 🙂

    2. Wow! Thanks Joshua. That looks like more than Boston received all last winter (12.4”) let alone one single event.

  11. Thanks TK.

    According to AJ Burnett, his pick of the week is tomorrow. He emphasized no more stretches of nice dry weather like this past week, back to domination of humidity and storms. Brief respite on Wednesday. Oh well. Figures! 🙁

    2. Beautiful. Are you noticing fewer this year? So far we are. I’m hearing the same from others in this area also.

      1. Yes, we and others around here are seeing fewer than usual this year. That’s true for both the adults and the caterpillars.

  13. Very dark, somewhat large cumulus cloud to our west, looks like it’s ready to rain from.

    Eastern half of sky clearing from seabreeze.

      1. Happy nothing came of it.

        From the traffic in town, lots of people enjoying the beach today.

        I do see that shower on the Cape.

  14. A look at the visible loop today is very clear to see how things are unfolding on the mesoscale. As the dry air starts to move into the region, a bit more NW flow in the atmosphere is creating a little wave action in the higher dew point air from the South Shore to Cape to South Coast, and on the crest of one of those waves the showers exist Mid Cape (a little later than I had forecast). Maybe 1 or 2 isolated showers pop from here but the trend should be for those to disappear soon.

  15. So, about 2-3 weeks ago, Halifax Nova Scotia and surrounding areas rec’d 7-10 inches of rain in several hrs.

    Yesterday’s dip in the jet stream scooped up Atlantic moisture and dropped 2.4 – 3.7 inches of rain in those same areas late overnight into early this morning.

  17. I watched the game and the announcers were saying Stanton is so afraid to get hurt while running the bases. Four more years left on his contact after this year.

    1. Okay. But no slide. Nothing. Basically a homerun trot the whole way.

      I’ve been watching baseball for a long time. Even players who are hurt put in more effort than Stanton did on that play.

  19. I was planning on biking with friends up on the North Shore – Cape Ann area – on Monday (can’t do this tomorrow because the group is away in the Adirondacks this weekend). Looks like Monday is a washout? Will it be? Should I cancel? Thanks, TK.

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