Saturday August 26 2023 Forecast (7:04AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 26-30)

While far from perfection as defined by many, this final weekend of August will feature improved weather over yesterday’s. A cold front is now over southeastern MA and will continue to slowly drift offshore today. If you’re an early riser and reading this just after I post it, a couple downpours are still near Cape Ann and a few showers are scattered across Nantucket and Outer Cape Cod,and with the front still in these areas, especially Cape Cod / South Coast, into midday, there can still be a few more showers here this morning. This is one of those instances that behind the “cold front” it will warm up more than yesterday, due to the loss of heavy overcast and broad scale onshore wind, as a light wind will become more westerly behind the front. This provides a little bit of down sloping and also brings in air that did not pass over ocean water for most areas, except a few points along the irregular coastline. We’ll need to wait for a secondary trough to pass by tonight to bring in drier air, so today’s air will still be on the humid side. This, combined with the sun’s heat, and the approach of the secondary trough can trigger a few isolated showers and possibly a thunderstorm over southern NH and central MA this afternoon, and these will fade as they drift southeastward by evening. Tonight, drier air will settle in on a northerly breeze. High pressure to our north will turn the wind a bit more northeasterly on Sunday, which will be a cooler and less humid day than today, and another disturbance drifting through at mid and upper levels will help trigger some additional clouds and perhaps a few isolated showers, but for the most part we are looking at a comfortable, mostly rain-free day. High pressure brings fair weather to all of the region on Monday, but a trough to our south will bring some clouds into southern areas, especially during the afternoon and evening. Meanwhile, Franklin, forecast to be a category 1 hurricane, will be moving northward, passing between Bermuda and the US East Coast by later Monday, then turning northeastward and staying at sea, but this system will be bringing increased surf and swells to the coastline from the early to middle portion of next week. The aforementioned trough to the south will be picked up by an approaching one from the west, and while this combination will play a part in keeping Franklin well offshore, it will also bring us another bout of unsettled weather. The current expecting timing of the greatest threat of showers from this system is the second half of Tuesday through the first half of Wednesday, but this is not set in stone just yet, so watch for updates.

TODAY: Sun/cloud mix. Isolated showers/downpours near Cape Ann and a few showers near Cape Cod early, then an additional shower or thunderstorm possible South Coast favoring Cape Cod mid morning to mid afternoon, and isolated thunderstorms possible in southern NH and central MA mid to late afternoon, diminishing while drifting southeast by evening. Highs 73-80. Dew point 60s. Wind variable to W up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 56-63. Dew point falling to 50s. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Isolated showers possible. Dew point 50s. Highs 68-75. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lower elevation fog patches. Lows 52-59. Dew point lower 50s. Wind NW under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny except becoming variably cloudy South Coast. Highs 71-78, coolest coast. Dew point 50s. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 57-64. Dew point 50s. Wind SE-S up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Clouds return. Shower chance increases. Highs 72-79. Dew point climbs to 60+. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Areas of fog. Lows 62-69. Dew point 60s. Wind S to variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Shower chance greatest morning, clouds decrease later. Highs 70-77. Dew point 60+ morning, falling below 60 later. Wind variable becoming NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 31– SEPTEMBER 4)

High pressure is expected to be in control of the weather for most of this period, starting with low humidity then with a gradual increase in warmth and humidity with time. A weakening surface trough or remains of a frontal boundary may bring a more more clouds to the region and only the remote chance of a shower about the middle of the period, otherwise this looks like a mainly dry stretch.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 5-9)

Higher humidity and eventual shower chances as a trough approaches and moves in from west to east, favoring early to mid period.

56 thoughts on “Saturday August 26 2023 Forecast (7:04AM)”

  5. Thanks TK.

    High humidity still dominates us while dry air stops by for a day or two at most.

    Btw, my tile floors are back to sticky again this morning. Sigh.

    1. August is typically one of the two most humid months anyway.

      Hasn’t been hot though.

  7. Thanks, TK.

    Sticky is another theme of Summer 2023.

    Certainly not hot, but when the temp and dew point are in the low 70s you know it’s not “fall-like.”

    1. 3 or 4 recon plane missions into Franklin this morning for a storm that will go around Bermuda (and Bermuda is important), but none yet on this system that is likely coming ashore somewhere on the Gulf of Mexico ?????

      1. They focus on the storm that’s well established and still can technically threaten land.

        The other system is still a disturbance at this point. The ship and satellite reports are adequate, and when they can they’ll fly to it. 🙂

        I suspect they have fewer people available for these missions compared to several years ago.

    1. It’s probably only a matter of time other health facilities reinstate masking as well. Sigh.

      I don’t want to go back to 2020-2022. The pandemic is either over or it’s not!

      1. It is not. It never was. Dana dropped its mandatory masking July 31. I find that beyond irresponsible.

        1. Well, technically Biden declared it “over” as of May 11, 2023 if I recall. 😉

          All folks need to do is roll up their sleeves this upcoming fall for the latest up-to-date vaccine. I certainly will. I believe I heard on the news that Biden is going to speed up the process on that.

          1. Against many health experts. Biden played politics. One of several reasons I lost some respect for him.

            I will also have my vaccine. Is it fourth or fifth. Sadly, the vaccines do not keep you from getting Covid or long Covid.

            1. Well, even the traditional flu shots don’t 100% guarantee that you still can’t get the flu but I assume all these vaccines lower the risk, even if it’s cut in half.

  15. Hi Everyone,

    For you skiers out there. Is there a particular season pass you like? I have a 6yr and we want him to go skiing more this year but didn’t know if anyone preferred a pass. I’ve looked at epic and icon but looking more at northeast not around the world. Thank you

  16. Yes, TK, I did know that autumn is more humid than spring. Bu a dewpoint of 76 isn’t fall-like, you must admit.

    I decided to run outside for the first time in 6 days. I did 5 miles of slow jogging. I’m kaput, as they say. But I didn’t collapse or anything. Just hypotension due to the humidity.

    On my runs I sometimes get encouragement from younger runners: “Keep it up, bro.” Love hearing that. But then sometimes, like today, I hear “can’t run any faster?” It was probably in jest. I do look like a jogging turtle, frankly. An aging reptile. But I must say I would never make a remark about anyone else’s running or jogging habits.

    1. Well at least there are no dew points THAT high today. Range is 65 to 73 as of noon with the highest at water-surrounded Provincetown. Most areas are down in the middle to upper 60s with a very slow decrease ongoing. 🙂 But I would not have expected today feel autumnal anyway, given the month and the current air mass. 🙂

    1. God: Bob Barker, come on ……… UP !

      I used to watch Price is Right a lot decades ago.

      Great life lived !

        1. Yes, well said Tom in this case. Even though he will always be remembered for “Come on down!” he would say come on UP (on stage) to the winning bidder. 🙂

  19. 35 years he hosted The Price Is Right from 1972 to 2007. Before that he was the host of Truth Or Consequences.

  20. I incorrectly said the dewpoint was 76 in Boston. It was not and is not, as TK pointed out. It was 68 when I was running and is now 66.

  21. Dew point continues to slowly drop. Down to 65 at Boston. NW breeze.

    Meanwhile this rogue narrow but thick fog bank is crossing Hampton Beach from the NNE but not chasing anyone away. It’s beautiful actually with a shallow but thick fog, and the sun shining right through it. Won’t be around long as the wind goes back to NW there shortly.

    Meanwhile, in the tropics. Franklin is for the fish.
    The disturbance heading through the eastern Gulf of Mexico likely forms but probably never turns into a powerhouse. Destined for the eastern Gulf Coast somewhere.

    Might we have to keep an eye on the moisture from that system? Of course. Anything down there at this time of year has at least initially a chance of getting up this far, but we’ll have to look at the weather pattern as we get close. Right now. I’d be optimistic (similar to what is shown on medium range op runs) that the bulk if it would pass south of out region.

    1. The spaghetti plots I saw yesterday has that system coming up the coast (on an inland route) but curving out to sea well south of Long Island, at least for NOW.

      Even remnants from a tropical system would probably smash any summer rainfall records region wide. As it is, Worcester is likely to break their record easily with an ordinary run-of-the-mill downpour. I believe they have had the highest amount anywhere in SNE this season to date.

      1. Not necessarily on the records. I actually think we don’t have much more to add to what’s already fallen.

        It’s possible to get remnants that produce nothing but sprinkles. My instinct tells me not to turn my back on this, but I would be surprised if we heard from it directly.

  22. The Sox have hung around, just enough to make things interesting. I highly respect a team, however flawed, that does that. Today’s win was huge, in my opinion, as was the extra innings game in Houston on Wednesday. Are they playing great? No. Do I think they’ll make the playoffs? No. But they’re working hard. They’re gritty. They come back a lot in games, also against good competition. Their inconsistency is maddening. But heck, it’s just a game. Our lives don’t depend on it.

    1. And Adam Duvall is one of the best low ball hitters from the right side that I’ve seen in a while. I’m surprised they throw him anything down in the zone. That’s his wheelhouse. Usually lefties are good low ball hitters and righties aren’t. But Duvall defies the norm.

      1. The Red Sox are probably going to be the best team to NOT make the playoffs. They brought it on themselves for getting off to such a horrendous start plus being in the AL East the absolute toughest division in baseball.

        It’s a nice change of pace beating NY in something other than seasonal snowfall but it is interesting how the Yankees totally collapsed. I thought I heard recently that they haven’t finished in dead last place since 1966.

    3. There was another shot where an airplane was between the moon and the cloud, but it didn’t really show up as more than a little dot.

      1. That is so cool

        My not so cheap iPhone makes the crescent moon (AKA God’s fingernail) look like a burry white dot.

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