Friday October 6 2023 Forecast (7:37AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 6-10)

Another morning, another layer of stratus clouds, and some areas of fog, but unlike yesterday, today’s stratus will find it harder to break up and dissipate. The reasons: Less intense sun with increasing high clouds above, and a more established humid southeasterly air flow. This is ongoing as we have a trough and frontal system approaching from the west, while Tropical Storm Philippe makes its way northward off the US East Coast. The latter will pass east of our region, while losing tropical characteristics through Saturday, the center reaching Downeast Maine by early Sunday. The former will continue its approach but start to change orientation with a more negative tilt developing (the entire system pivots in a counterclockwise direction). The two merge north of our area on Sunday, then hang around there into early next week. While today will be a much cloudier day than yesterday, there can be some breaks of sun, but any rain threat today will be in the form of isolated to scattered sprinkles and light showers as a result of the increasingly humid air flow from the southeast. Tonight and Saturday this isolated to scattered shower threat will continue, but a large portion of the WHW forecast area will see much more rain-free time than anytime there are showers about. Saturday afternoon, the rain shield from Philippe may clip Cape Cod, Cape Ann, and the NH Seacoast, while by late Saturday a strip of showers / downpours will move into the CT Valley area in association with the approaching trough / front from the west. This leaves a good portion of eastern MA and RI in between these areas with limited rain chances. Finally, the frontal band will pivot through the remainder of the region later Saturday night and very early Sunday morning before lifting into northeastern New England and southeastern Canada while the low pressure merger takes place. For Sunday, this places our region in a west to southwest air flow of drier air and we can expect a sun/cloud mix, and cooler, breezy conditions. This will continue through Monday as the broad low pressure circulation remains mostly in place. Tuesday, a disturbance from the west will begin to join this whirling party, and as it comes through, some showers can visit our region. But these should be of the quick-passing variety with otherwise continued breezy and cool conditions.

TODAY: Areas of fog in the morning. Mostly cloudy – breaks of sun possible. Chance of passing sprinkles / very light showers. Highs 68-75. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Possible light showers. Lows 60-67. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Passing sprinkles/showers possible anywhere. Better chance of a period of rain Cape Cod, Cape Ann, and NH Seacoast during the afternoon, and more frequent/widespread showers arrive in the CT Valley later in the day. Temperatures steady 60-67. Wind E 5-15 MPH, higher gusts near the coast.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers most likely western areas evening, moving through the remainder of the region late evening and overnight. Temperatures steady 60-67. Wind E 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, becoming variable, then SW overnight.

SUNDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Temperatures steady 60-67 through early afternoon then falling slowly. Wind SW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Passing showers possible. Highs 56-63. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 11-15)

Fair weather expected at the start of the period during the middle of next week with temperatures trending milder, then another trough moves into the Northeast with unsettled weather from mid through late period, which includes the October 14-15 weekend.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 16-20)

Overall drier weather expected but still a mean trough position in the Northeast leaves the region vulnerable to a couple more passing wet weather chances. Temperatures not far from normal, somewhat variable.

37 thoughts on “Friday October 6 2023 Forecast (7:37AM)”

  10. Looking at the Fairbanks webcam, they have received a good 2-3 inches of snow, as predicted for overnight into the early morning.

    Like tracking early season snow way to the north, for, if conditions allow, an opportunity to build cold airmasses.

      1. And if you are a good little boy, Uncle Judah will tell you what that means as we move slowly towards Winter.

        1. Hahahaha

          Well, I don’t listen to him, I have to admit.

          I find he overdoes his forecasting of coming snow and cold.

  14. We had TKs extra light sprinkles. Not enough to keep me from putting plants in planters on front steps and getting a wasp sting. Poor thing. I grabbed him when I turned the planter.

    1. Sorry Vicki I’ve been busy at work and away from the blog today. Yes we did get several rounds of downpours and that wounder station you were looking at was probably mine, although now I’m up to .61”.

      1. Oh no. Never be sorry please. I sure understand work. I had forgotten you have a wunder station awesome. And wow. We are wet enough to be a bit of a nuisance but only have 0.01

    1. I’m quite interested. Interestingly I was just thinking about Jimmy Carter. He’s been on our church’s prayer list since he entered hospice and it’s been quite a long time. If all right I will share your article with the group.

      1. Yes, you may indeed share the article with the church group.

        I think that Jimmy prays for all of us, too. He’s that kind of person.

        And, who knows, maybe he’ll graduate from hospice and run for President next year.

        1. I’d vote for him. What an amazing man he is. Sadly, Rosalynn wss diagnosed with dimentia. What a woman she is. True power couple in a quiet kind of way

  18. I am heading to NY tomorrow to help my father restore his flooded basement and they are now talking about another 2-3 inches of rain along coast – we might not be restoring much

  19. Sooooooooo TK. I’m planning a pajama day tomorrow. Do you think you can arrange for the weather to cooperate? Thank you !

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