Tuesday October 10 2023 Forecast (7:06AM)

48 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 10-14)

Upper level low pressure over southeastern Canada continues to be the main influence on our weather through midweek, even into late week, as it only drifts eastward. A disturbance moving around the base of the low brings us clouds and a shower chance today, then occasional cloudiness but generally fair weather Wednesday through Friday. Another frontal boundary swings through the region later Thursday, devoid of a rain chance. This front will take what a is a modest mid-week warm-up and reverse it for Friday, but not drastically. The weekend question still remains: How quickly does developing low pressure in the southern Great Lakes / Ohio Valley move eastward and impact our region with more rain. Right now, I remain in the slower-scenario camp with Saturday just featuring increasing clouds from this system, but rain holding off for at least a dry daytime…

TODAY: Variably cloudy. Passing rain showers possible. Very slight chance of a thunderstorm. Highs 58-65. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Ground fog patches inland low elevations. Lows 42-49. Wind W 5-15 MPH early, then diminishing.

WEDNESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 60-67. Wind W to SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 44-51. Wind SW up to 10 MPH becoming variable.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 61-68. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 46-53. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind W to NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 42-49. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 56-63. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 15-19)

Low pressure impacts the region with wet/cool weather October 15 into 16. Drier interlude follows but we do need to watch for a hang-back trough that can ignite an additional low to prolong unsettled weather into the middle of next week.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 20-24)

High pressure and fair weather with a milder trend early in the period, a frontal passage cools us down mid period, and low pressure threatens more wet weather by the end of the period.

48 thoughts on “Tuesday October 10 2023 Forecast (7:06AM)”

    1. Normal “model progression”. We see it almost every time with these types of systems. And we’re not done seeing the model shenanigans. 🙂

        1. Translation: we won’t know if it’s going to snow this winter until it’s actually snowing.

            1. 🙂

              Pretty much

              but, it feels like this is the worst model performance going into a cold season I can remember outside of 48 hrs.

              Of course, getting specifics outside of 48 hrs probably isn’t reasonable, but even big picture aspects seem off or out of agreement now until 48 hrs.

              1. Well, I certainly agree with that. I know exactly what you mean. Should be fun. By Winter’s end
                what’s left of my hair will be gone!!!!!

    1. We had something go through earlier. I was still sleeping. Everything was wet but didn’t register on my gauge. Sun now. .

  15. Appears storms are going north and south of me, but wow, what a northern sky.

    Wonder if there’s small hail on the northern cell, fell like I’ve seen occasional purplish/white brief echoes on the radar.

        1. So they basically have something in the ballpark of Ian from last year (southwest Fl) coming ashore.

          Hopefully that area is not very populated.

  18. Mary Lou Retton is in the ICU with pneumonia. She’s apparently very sick. My thoughts are with her and her family.

        1. I saw her just the other day on a tv commercial for either life insurance or Medicare supplement or something like that, senior citizen related. I forget but I did take note that she looked so…OLD. I hadn’t seen her in ages. Sad, she’s only 55. Hard to believe that she’s even that old. At that age, she still should be looking attractive but obviously she’s been ill.

  19. So much for the vaunted AL East. After tonight it’s likely that all teams will be out of the playoffs. Of course the Yankees and Sox never made the playoffs. That’s a very fast exit for a division thought of as the “best in baseball.”

    1. Not only exiting early, but none of the 3 AL East representatives will have won a single game in the playoffs. That’s remarkable. Of course, things could change in Texas tonight (Rangers lead the Orioles 6-0), but it’s doubtful.

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