Wednesday October 25 2023 Forecast (7:23AM)

73 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 25-29)

A mild to warm pattern is ours for the balance of this week, even into the weekend, and possibly even through the entire weekend to some degree (no pun intended). The big weather driver is a large upper level high pressure ridge to the south of New England and associated surface high pressure. We’ll see a couple disturbances bringing clouds to our region, but no rain threat. It won’t be until sometime over the weekend that a frontal boundary will make a charge at the region, probably to be thwarted by the ridge. This presents our only opportunity to see showers on Sunday, but even much of that day can turn out to be rain-free, but likely cooler than Saturday, which may be the warmest of this entire stretch.

TODAY: Sunny start, then variably cloudy. Highs 64-71. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 71-78. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 72-79. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 51-58. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of rain showers. Highs 62-69. Wind SW to variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 30 – NOVEMBER 3)

A general westerly flow pattern will rule our weather from the end of October into the first few days of November. Upper level high pressure to the south weakens and allows the frontal boundary to push through sometime in last couple days of the month. This front does produce a shower threat and maybe a period of rain (more likely October 30) if a wave of low pressure can form along it. As the front takes its time getting to our south, we’ll have to watch for an additional wave of low pressure with a precipitation threat sometime in the November 1-2 time frame as it turns colder, and then fair, chilly weather should take over by period’s end.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 4-8)

A temperature rebound with milder weather in this period, but a bit early to time any unsettled weather threats, though leaning toward the early portion of the period for that with the initial return of milder air.

73 thoughts on “Wednesday October 25 2023 Forecast (7:23AM)”

  6. Thanks, TK.

    Looks like I may have picked a winning 2 days … not … for seeing my sister in NNE/Vermont on Sunday and Monday. We couldn’t coordinate our schedules to accommodate a visit before or after. So it looks like a rainy/showery 2 days.

    1. El Nino at work. What a last 3 weeks on that coastline.

      I think what it says about El Nino is very telling heading into the upcoming winter.

        1. I think the hurricane parade signifies the health of El Niño and so, I think it’s wise to hedge bets towards an El Niño winter of a mild dry northern us and a wet, cool southern US

          Within that, can a big storm turn up the east coast and meet up with brief chill ? Sure, it’s a possibility.

  11. 73 here. makes me wonder what highs will be the next 3 days..
    Logan records.
    thurs 85
    Fri 84
    Sat. 81

    I would say IF a record were to fall, Saturday would be the day

    1. My 3-day temp forecast for Logan…

      Thursday 72
      Friday 74
      Saturday 77

      No records are in jeopardy.

      1. OK. 🙂
        I’ll keep these numbers in mind. 🙂

        I see Logan topped out at 76 today , according to MesoWest anyway. (73 here in JP) Seems to me temperatures are running higher than expected.

          1. Two factors make me chop a few degrees off tomorrow’s high temp…

            1) The amount of cloud cover during the heating hours.
            2) Less wind. Today we had a bit of down slope there.

    2. I have to wonder what the average tourist number is in Acapulco that may now be stranded there in hotels that are in shambles.

      Of course, maybe more importantly, the residents who live nearby and work at the tourist locations whom probably are not wealthy and live in close by locations that took a pounding.

      2. Both really good points. I am not finding whether they had a whole lot of warning with regard to the strength of this guy

  13. Model caution.

    GFS is on one of it’s inconsistent really bad rolls. It’s the bottom of the 3 major models anyway, but right now it’s performance is becoming even more abysmal. I suspect it’s a battle between climatology and real time data. Whatever it is, it’s impacting the validity.

    Canadian & European, while not nearly perfect, are more reliable at this time.

  14. A little hockey stat…

    Atlantic Division, NHL.
    All the teams have played either 6 or 7 games so far.
    The Red Wings, Maple Leafs, Lightning, Canadiens, Senators, Panthers, and Sabres have allowed between 18 and 24 goals each for those games. The Bruins have allowed 7 goals.

    At 6-0-0 they have tied the best start in franchise history with 1937-1938’s team. A win against the Ducks on Thursday, if they can pull it off, will set a new record.

    “Yeah, but last year they lost in the first round after winning the Presidents Trophy”. Yes. I know. We all know. This has nothing to do with last year, at all. 🙂

    Go Bruins!

    1. It’s hard to say this without sounding like I’m against Bergeron/Krecji, but with them retired, the Bruins speed is better and in 6-7 months come playoff time, you shouldn’t have 2 worn down players both in their mid/late 30s being counted on so heavily in the playoffs. As I recall, they were 3-1 when Bergeron returned and they didn’t win again and his plus/minus all 3 games was poor.

      1. IMO there’s truth to what you say, as much as I hate to agree with that. 😛

        It’s a long season though, and we’ll see how things are looking in the spring. 🙂 Just looking forward to enjoying the season, one game at a time. 🙂

    2. The 6-0-0 comes with a big caveat though – 4 of those 6 games were against bottom feeds (Chicago/San Jose/Anaheim/Chicago), and 1 was a against a team that if lucky, we’ll be middle of the pack (Nashville). They’ve only played 1 game against a decent team. They play Anaheim again tomorrow at home, then have Detroit, Florida, Toronto (all at home), and at Detroit. Those games should give us a better idea of what this team is capable of.

      2. San Jose is the last team left without a win.

        We’ll see how things go with the tougher stretch coming up.

  16. Active shooter scene Lewiston , Maine . I have a scanner feed .. seems to be 4 scenes . There is other info but I will not post but it sounds pretty bad

  17. Man, 50 to 60 shot at a restaurant, bowling alley, and Walmart distribution center. They still don’t have the shooter(s). Awful.

    1. Saw that, too.

      Such a horrific mass shooting.

      It will be hard for the hospitals to cope up there. They’ve asked for and are receiving help from a Boston-based large medical helicopter crew as well as one from Bangor.

      1. What concerns me is that they haven’t gotten the main suspect and that there may be others involved.

      1. I do hope there aren’t any others. I don’t think there are, but the shootings took place in locations that are fairly far apart.

        1. Hard to imagine one person doing this much damage without help but if he was quick and the locations were far apart I guess I could see it.

          The earlier post about two middle eastern men being involved was likely not accurate.

      1. Crazy iPhone scan ee said person of interest not wearing pants but has sweatshirt around waist …still around frost hill and 196

        1. I’m surprised they have not moved to a private frequency. Or maybe they don’t have one. It is such a small area

  21. I’m listening on my iPhone scanner. They just said something about frost or forest hill two Individuals with guns

  22. Yep they are saying second suspect involved and driving now in a black pickup. Sabbatus area which is east of Lewiston

  24. Second suspect could be a man named Ronald Richardson.

    IF 2 were involved, which is NOT a certainty, this suggests a coordinated attack. Any time there may be this kind of coordination it would stand to reason that certain people would be targeted. Not just a random shooting.

    Why would these 2 men be doing this? Who did they target? Lewiston does have a large Somali population. However, Somalis generally don’t go to bars (they don’t drink).

    This is beyond belief in terms of being tragic for the state of Maine, Lewiston and all the loved ones. Devastating.

      1. It’s unfathomable. Lewiston has 37,000 people. Everyone will know someone killed or injured. Guaranteed. And, as mentioned before, Maine is a very safe state. That includes the few cities and large towns. This would be traumatic anywhere, but I think in Maine even more so.

  25. A trained firearms instructor Hospitalized last summer for tel weeks for mental health issues including threats to shoot up military base in Saco

  28. I fished the Rangeley area a ton. At one point someone said a second possible person is from Rangeley. The car was found at a boat launch. There are rivers all through that area and I can’t help but wonder if they are heading for the Rangeley area or even further north by boat. Just a wild wild thought.

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