DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 31 – NOVEMBER 4)
October comes to an end with a dry but chilly Halloween. We’ll see plenty of sun today but there will be a strip of clouds cutting across southeastern areas during the day which will start to increase by day’s end once again. This is due to air lifting over the frontal boundary that went by us as a cold front late Saturday then was the avenue for Sunday’s & Monday’s rainfall. But we have a well-timed break for today, including this evening’s trick-or-treat which will take place with dry weather, but temperatures from the lower 40s to upper 30s across the area. At least it will not be all that windy. Wednesday will be an unsettled day to welcome the month of November. Another wave of low pressure moves along the frontal boundary just to our southeast, passing far enough offshore to bring the steadiest rain to Cape Cod and the Islands, with this rain shield probably up about as far as the I-95 belt. With marginal temperatures / cold air, can’t rule out a mix with wet snow or sleet briefly in some areas, but no accumulation will occur. Additionally, an upper low moving across the region and a northeast wind can also combine for additional showers of mostly rain (maybe some mix) elsewhere in the region mainly during the morning through midday hours. Later Wednesday we dry out as the entire system pulls off to the east. Thursday and Friday will be fair and cool with high pressure building in. Saturday may start with lots of clouds as a warm front moves through, but this looks like a dry frontal passage, and would lead to a milder day with the return of sunshine, based on expecting timing.
TODAY: Sunshine, but limited at times South Coast to MA South Shore. Highs 47-54. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.
TONIGHT: Clouds increase and thicken. Rain arrives overnight South Coast to MA South Shore, up to around I-90 / I-95 by dawn, may mix with wet snow and/or sleet in some locations. Lows 33-40. Wind N-NE up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy start with early-day rain most likely RI and southeastern MA, may briefly be mixed with wet snow and/or sleet. Lots of clouds linger thereafter with a few rain showers, some possibly mixed with snow/sleet. Highs 42-49. Wind NE-N 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 30-37. Wind N-NW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 46-53. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 28-35. Wind W under 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Lows 38-45. Wind calm.
SATURDAY: Cloudy start, then sun returns. Highs 56-63. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 5-9)
Cold front approaches November 5 with some clouds but continued mild weather, then cooler November 6 with no more than a passing rain shower. Stronger low pressure / frontal system November 7 with better rain chance. Dry, cooler to colder weather returns November 8 with windy conditions, then more tranquil but still chilly with fair weather November 9 as high pressure builds in.
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 10-14)
Leaning toward the greatest chance for unsettled weather during this middle portion of this period. Temperatures near to below normal.
Good morning and thank you TK.
40 here this morning, coldest so far this season.
Invigorating morning welcoming students at the front door!
“WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 38-37.”
Me thinks there’s a typo in there.
Seems to me it works either way.
37-38 or 38-37 they both work for me. 🙂
Was thinking the very same
Definitely….
And it’s fixed now.
“Siolated shopwers nad thudnerstorks”
🙂 🙂 Ain’t one of us who doesn’t hit an incorrect key. I’ve laugh because about 50 percent of the time my autocorrect switches to to TK.
to to, that’s a good example as well. 🙂
I saw that but it is actually correct. It changes the word to to TK. I thought I’d using quotes but it was too much effort 😉
And just above to was changed to TK
Now that was a typo. 🙂
Thanks TK.
Thank you, TK. Excellent write up
Thank you, TK.
Low if 37 here overnight. Coldest for us also I believe.
Now the if is a typo 😀
Thanks TK !
Covid question. If you continue to test positive for Covid after 10 days, is that a false positive and you no longer need to quarantine? I’m reading that if you continue to test positive that you are still shedding some of the virus. But the hospital where my brother is says they do not test after 10 days because people are not positive that long.
I agree. If one tests positive, they are shedding the virus.
This is how I interpret things, anyway. 🙂
Does “shedding” the virus mean that one is still contagious even though getting better?
If it’s a stupid question then so be it.
There are no stupid questions. That is my understanding, yes. I think it might mean less contagious but not positive on that.
Mine as well.
Thanks to you both.
Thanks, TK!
Happy Halloween!
Thanks, TK.
On testing positive for Covid after 10 days, this sentence is from a Washington Post article: “Experts say transmission beyond 10 days is very unlikely even if a person is still testing positive.”
Thank you,
Thanks TK.
An even 1.00″ of rain total in my gauge for the Sunday/Monday event. Got down into the mid 30’s this morning and looks like widespread 20’s tomorrow night…coldest weather of the season so far.
Ryan Maue
@RyanMaue
In terms of a late October / early November Arctic blast, I’m astounded by the historical scale of the record lows — completely underestimated the intensity of the cold during El Niño. Certainly not consistent with all expectations on a warming/boiling planet.
Tuesday and Wednesday morning:
https://x.com/RyanMaue/status/1719102711608557785?s=20
Williston ND hit 1 degree this AM…about as cold as it gets in October.
Awesome shot from the top of rime ice covered Camel’s Hump in the Green Mtns this AM…
Lincoln in the Adirondacks
@Riddle_Lincoln
7h
Good morning from the top of Camel’s Hump in Vermont. Gorgeous day on this mountain top!
https://x.com/Riddle_Lincoln/status/1719377238963962025?s=20
Camels hump. Awesome memories. I’m sure I’m repeating. My nana lived in isle la motte. Furthest Island in lake Champlain. It took 7 hours for us to get there.
When we got to camels hump, my dad would announce we were almost there. Not only couldn’t we see any hump; but it wasn’t till I finally saw it from Stowe when older, I realized we still had about 2 hours to go
Gorgeous video
New wx post!