Wednesday November 8 2023 Forecast (7:25AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 8-12)

If you step outside this morning (or were out there overnight), you’ve been shocked by a drastic change in the feel of the air, as yesterday’s relatively high humidity and mildness has been replaced by a sharp shot of Canadian chill and very dry air, along with a gusty breeze that isn’t ready to ease up. This is the theme of our day, with little help from a low angle sun mixed with passing stratocumulus / cumulus clouds. Low temperatures this morning range from the middle 30s to lower 40s, and while the air temperature does rise into the middle to upper 40s during the day today, a continued gusty breeze will often make it feel as if it is under 40. This takes place as we get air coming in between Canadian Maritime low pressure and a high pressure area moving from the Great Lakes through Ontario and Quebec. Tonight, the wind will slacken as a narrow extension of that high pressure noses across New England, but a quick-moving west-to-east zonal flow pattern in place brings the next low pressure system our way quickly, and we’ll see the clouds fanning in from it tonight, thickening up from late evening through overnight as a push of warm air aloft moves rapidly east. This will result in a band of precipitation, some of it of the frozen variety, especially from the I-90 region northward, with mostly rain to the south. But this burst will be brief and have little impact on the WHW region. During that day Thursday as the system struggles to remain intact, we’ll see a surface frontal boundary across far southern areas and a weak wave of low pressure trying to form on it. With the exception of the South Coast which may be milder for a few hours, expect a cool, raw, cloudy November day with spotty light rain/drizzle of little consequence, eventually ending. Dry air works back in from the west Thursday evening through Friday, although the upper level remains of what was once a more organized low will rotate through the region Friday with lots of clouds. I cannot rule out a sprinkle of rain or a few pellets of ice or graupel from some of these clouds, but Friday will be largely a dry day. High pressure, still centered to our west and northwest, will provide a dry but chilly mid November weekend for us, which includes Veterans Day Saturday. Morning temperatures will be rising from the upper 30s into the lower 40s and afternoon temperatures will peak in the 40s for any parades and outdoor ceremonies scheduled that day, including a moderately gusty breeze making it feel a little colder than it is.

TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-25 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clouding over. Rain arriving west to east by dawn, may start mixed with sleet and/or snow especially interior higher elevation locations. Lows 34-41. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain chance highest early southern NH and eastern MA, then spotty very light rain / drizzle possible thereafter. Highs 44-51, mildest South Coast where some locations may max out a bit warmer. Wind NE-E up to 10 MPH except may turn S or SW for a time South Coast.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. A spot shower of rain / sleet / graupel possible. Highs 45-52. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 25-32. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 13-17)

High pressure is expected to provide dry weather and keep additional unsettled weather to the south of our region from the early to middle portion of next week with a gradual temperature moderation occurring. High pressure shifts eastward after that with milder air but also an increased chance to see clouds and possible wet weather by late week.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 18-22)

A west to east flow dominates with one or two frontal systems bringing unsettled weather chances, but no prolonged or big storms indicated. Temperatures near to above normal.

54 thoughts on “Wednesday November 8 2023 Forecast (7:25AM)”

  1. Thanks TK !

    The opening to your discussion certainly captured my experience walking into our school this morning.

  3. Good morning and thank you TK.
    38 here this morning.
    We’re into the 2nd week in November, so this cooler air is perfectly normal even if high temp is below ave.

    2. Just as yesterday’s warmer was also perfectly normal – part of the ups and downs that make our averages. 🙂

      1. Indeed it was. That is why it drives me nuts when people
        say normal high is 54 when it is perfectly normal for the high to be 65 or 45 as well. 54 is the average high. HUGH difference between what is normal and what is average!!!

        Just one of those things that make me CRINGE!!

        cheers

  4. For those who might be interested in some NEW viewing options for television, I have 2 highly recommended shows.

    One from Apple TV, entitled Lessons in Chemistry starring Brie Larson

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-1PuK8mxASE

    And the other is from Netflix and is entitled
    All the light we cannot see, starring Mark Rufalo and Hugh Laurie along with a couple of relative unknowns in
    Ari Mia Loberti and Luis Hofman. An absolutely fabulous cast that performed wonderfully.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QdE-JvKqpBQ

  9. Eight years ago around this time we had a string of warm days. It’s one of the special memories I have from this blog. We’d put a glider chair in the front lawn and Mac could sit out with our youngest. Tom said he tended to like it colder in mid November. I mentioned Mac being able to get outside. And Tom posted immediately that he would then hope for it to stay warmer. Still makes me teary ❤️

    1. Thanks TK. Loving the cool mid-fall weather.

      Here are my guesses

      51” Boston, MA
      33” Providence, RI
      53” Hartford, CT
      79” Concord, NH
      68” Worcester, MA

    1. I mean, Greenland is cold no matter what, but if this is the pattern and you like real cold, book your flight there potentially. 🙂 🙂 🙂

  11. Snowfall Predictions so far. TK I know you listed four locations, but a number of folks have added Concord. I have those in the notes section but wondered if you want to add a fifth location. If so, I can easily add that column and those who did not guess concord can just give me their number

    https://imgur.com/a/tgml201

    1. If anyone who has made a prediction would check the link to be sure I recorded proper numbers or that I didn’t miss your prediction, I’d sure appreciate it. Thank you!

  13. Philip, this worrier is hoping all is ok and you are just busy. We have not seen as much of you lately. Or perhaps I have just missed your posts.

  14. Good morning all. We are on our annual drive to Tennessee and then to Texas.
    Monday night and Tuesday we were in Intercourse, PA. Yep…..there is such a place in Pennsylvania Dutch country. So beautiful and interesting.
    Cost me a small fortune to buy a hand made quilt for a king sized bed. Hand sewed by a Mennonite lady in her 80’s. Such detail.

    The weather (after all, this IS a weather blog) has been wonderful….lower 70’s yesterday and mid 40’s now in Gettysburg. Almost all cloudless.
    Today is a 5 hour driving tour of the battle fields. Has been a big item on our bucket list.

    Tomorrow off to Kingsport, Tennessee then arriving north of Memphis to visit my wife’s daughter, her husband and 3 1/2 children.
    (Due again in April ) on Friday .

    Will do another weather update before we leave for Missouri City, Texas on the 16th.

    I am so provincial thinking that we only have interesting weather in New England.
    We shall see!

    2. I love love Amish country. And yes, I have a quilt. Hard not to buy one. And Gettysburg May be one of my favorite places. I’ve always been fascinated by that battle. When you stand on the fields, you can actually feel the history. Or at least I can.

      Enjoy your travels. What great fun.

    1. AMEN to that. Now I just wish there were something to track. 🙂
      We don’t count what may or may not be coming in the wee hours tomorrow as you and I both know whatever it is WILL pass
      to the North of us. 🙂

  20. The Netherlands KNMI reported that this October was the wettest October ever recorded by the century plus old institute. The meteorological institute is also indicating that November will be quite wet, too. Today, for example, there’s been heavy rainfall in most of the country, with a forecast of periodic (light) rain every day for weeks on end after much of the same the past 4 to 5 weeks. These are the autumns I remember there. And it wasn’t fun to experience. I got used to the darkness and the daily cloudiness and rainfall. But try and imagine how shocked I was when I returned to Boston where falls tend to have abundant sunshine and are often not particularly wet.

    My daughter’s English boyfriend marveled at the sunshine here during their visit. He couldn’t believe the light (which is spectacular throughout New England every October; makes everything photo-worthy).

    1. My Swedish friend who lives in NYC headed home to see her sisters for several weeks last summer. She said it was unusually wet with a bumper crop of mushrooms

  23. Vicki, I agree with you regarding actually feeling the history. I had this incredibly sad feeling when we first saw the enormity of the battlefield. And when I got out of the car, I felt that I was walking over the bodies of dead soldiers. Probably was!

    1. I have chills just reading your post. My oldest grandchild is an old soul. They stopped in Gettysburg on their way home from Charleston last year. He said the same thing. And I had not mentioned the feeling to him

  25. On highway cams, I can see traces of snow starting around Hooksett. Once you get north of Concord, NH, appears there’s a dusting or thicker and checking in on the Lyndon State webcam in the northeast Kingdom of VT, maybe an inch or 2 of snow.

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