Saturday November 25 2023 Forecast (7:45AM)

38 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 25-29)

High pressure moves into our region today providing cold but fairly tranquil weather as a noticeable breeze becomes less impactful with time. High pressure drifts off to the east and south on Sunday as a trough of low pressure approaches from the west and another low develops to the southwest. Ahead of these disturbances and post-high pressure we see the wind flow turn southeast. The combination of these factors leads to increasing clouds and as the systems move through the region Sunday night into Monday we’ll have a period of rain across the region – too mild for snow other than maybe a brief mix in some interior higher elevations, particularly southwestern NH, at the very start of the precipitation. This system exits later Monday and we dry out, and return to a chilly northwesterly air flow for Tuesday and Wednesday.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 33-40. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts, diminishing.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 20-27. Wind N-NE under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Clouding up. Highs 42-49. Wind NE shifting to SE up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely. Lows 39-46. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy with rain in the morning. Breaking clouds in the afternoon. Highs 45-52. Wind E 5-15 MPH shifting to NW.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 22-29. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 20-27. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 36-43. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 30 – DECEMBER 4)

Minor precipitation threat exists late December 1 to early December 2. Another precipitation threat at the end of the period. No major storms. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 5-9)

A forecast blocking pattern by medium range guidance may come to pass but will probably be stronger than forecast, forcing a slightly more active southern jet storm track to keep its systems mostly south of our region. Overall regime in that case is seasonably chilly and mainly dry. Will monitor.

38 thoughts on “Saturday November 25 2023 Forecast (7:45AM)”

  3. TK, thank you!

    Walked the shore and I think it was 24-25 degrees. No real wind to speak of so it was okay.

  12. Currently Up to 32 here in JP . Destined to go to 35 or 36 or so.
    Something like that anyway. We’ll see how high it gets.

    Pretty chilly day.

    1. Running 1 to 3F below normal across the region month-to-date. Dry too! Only 1 significant precipitation event and rather dry since early October.

      Ironically, the dry pattern started when the NAO has been more negative than positive.

      Do you remember that thing I said about blocking not always meaning stormy weather? And maybe even more so applying the HTE?

    1. Excellent article. Section about northeast is interesting. There has been a decline of course which shuttered many ski areas. But thankfully, innovation brought more advanced snow making. I hate to see the words “fall off a cliff.”

  15. 21 low here also. 37 now. About to drive granddaughter to the barn to ride. I spent decades in cold winter barns so now I have a book and a warm car.

  17. ECMWF showing that “disconnected” pattern.

    The snow weenies on Twitter aka X are ignoring that and talking about “the most favorable winter pattern in years” as one weenie (non-met) worded it. There is a whole lot wrong with that phrase.

    Oh and one other little detail. It’s not winter yet. 😉

  18. 36 here in JP. Will that be it now that it is a little past 2PM
    OR will it creep up another degree or 2? We shall see. 🙂
    Clearly, it will NOT reach 40. 🙂

  19. Had a surprise visit from Mac’s brother’s younger daughter yesterday. We found out Mac’s cousins son is manager for Harry Styles and either manager or works with Meghan Trainor. Sadly I don’t know who either is but my girls were interested

    1. You don’t know who Harry Styles is? Wow!

      He is arguably the best Make singer out there. He’s fantastic.
      He put’s on one heck of a show.

      Meghan Trainor, well not so much. 🙂

      2. Nope. I admit to just listening to music on my pandora stations or playlists. I can tell you artist and date of older songs though 🙂 I do know the name. If that counts.

    1. This system will probably have a weaker primary and a bit of a secondary but I think it will be a mainly rain event, and not particularly potent.

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