Saturday December 2 2023 Forecast (8:15AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (DECEMBER 2-6)

The first weekend of December will feature little sun, limited to areas mainly south of I-90 today, otherwise we’re looking at a generally overcast sky. While today will be rain-free in most of the region with just a chance of a few showers near a frontal boundary in southern NH and far northern MA, Sunday will end up much wetter as a low pressure area approaches. Also, the frontal boundary being to the north today allows mild air in, but this boundary sinks to the south tonight through Sunday before hanging out near or off the South Coast, bringing chilly air into the region. The wet weather hangs around Sunday night but pulls out of the region early Monday. If there is any frozen precipitation associated with this upcoming event, it will be confined to high elevations of southwestern NH and possibly north central MA at the onset and ending of the precipitation. The balance of Monday through Wednesday will be generally dry and on the chilly side, but not too cold. There may be a passing shower of rain and/or snow a couple times with weak upper level low pressure over the region. Additional storminess toward midweek will evolve well offshore to the southeast of New England as the set-up doesn’t really allow it to be closer.

TODAY: Areas of fog early. Mainly cloudy – partial sun most possible I-90 southward through midday. A few rain showers possible near MA/NH border. Highs 48-55. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Cloudy. Rain becomes more likely from southwest to northeast during the course of the day, but may start as a frozen mix in higher elevations of southwestern NH and north central MA. Highs 42-49. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely. Areas of fog. Lows 35-42. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy start with rain ending, possibly as a frozen mix in higher elevations of southwestern NH and north central MA. Highs 40-47 by midday, cooling into the 30s during the afternoon. Wind N 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 30-37. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. A passing light shower of rain and/or snow possible. Highs 37-44. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 23-30. Wind NNW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. A passing light shower of rain and/or snow possible. Highs 36-43. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible.

DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 7-11)

Small, fast-moving low pressure brings minor precipitation threat in the late December 7 to late December 8 window and the next low has a higher chance of heading for the Great Lakes, allowing us to turn milder late period. Otherwise this pattern is mainly dry with no major temp extremes.

DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 12-16)

Watching for a storm system early in the period, favoring rain over frozen stuff, then a return to dry weather. Temperatures near to above normal.

50 thoughts on “Saturday December 2 2023 Forecast (8:15AM)”

  1. Good morning and thank TK
    Although it is still Autumn, I still would expect “some” snow by now. just not in the cards.

    We shall see down the road.

    1. Boston & Providence are a few tenths below normal so far.
      Worcester at 3.0 is right on normal.

      1. According to one site I found, Boston averages 0.7 inch of snow for November.

        For some reason, I thought it was 2 inches. perhaps that is old going way back.

        Ether way it would be logical to expect “some” snow by now.

        But, nope. I wonder If we will even see snow in December or even the whole damn Winter for that matter.

        Hopeful, but just not feeling it.

        Call me Mr. Negative.

        I Know the 6z gfs is advertising a significant snow event, but hey, it’s the gfs

        1. I’m curious. Do those averages go back as far as records have been kept or are they similar to others and only use the last 30 years ?

    1. Nice,
      I remember several of those guys and watched them play at the old Boston Garden.

      Crap, I watched Bobby Orr as an 18 year old. I watched him take on Gordie Howe one night.

      I’m happy you enjoy your hockey.

  10. SAK, I may have been at that Bruins game in December 1978. Thanks for sharing your memories.

    I went to a lot of Bruins games then. I also went to a ton of Red Sox games in 1978. May explain why I wasn’t doing so well in school that year.

  12. Someone posted about Philip not being seen and now I keep coming here looking for him . Has anyone heard from him . It’s not like him at all .

  15. We got back safely Wednesday afternoon.
    Successfully navigated the one hour delay at the GW Bridge (All trucks must use the upper level and there was an accident on the NY side. Managed to maneuver around to the lower deck and escaped quickly. )

    I have been musing about the excitement of advanced modeling which indicates “the big one” and then it disappears only to reappear on another model as we get closer to the anticipated event.
    I compare that to the advanced preparation for Thanksgiving dinner. Going to the market to buy ingredients and passing it up, hoping that the price will drop. Then revisiting a few days later and the shelves are empty. (Didn’t check the latest inventory model).
    Then go back 3 days before I really need the stuff and it’s back on the shelves (another model).
    Thanksgiving arrives and the wonderful smells permeate the house.
    The long awaited storm arrives at 40/70 and deepens rapidly.
    Oh, what a moment as the temperature indicator pops in the turkey and the storm arrives in all it’s anticipated glory.
    At that moment, from the lips of our cultural leader JPDave comes the word we have all been waiting for, both for the the magnificent turkey and the great snow storm.

    Drum roll please……….KOWABUNGA!!!

    Another similarity……the clean up. Lots of dishes to wash and leftovers to pack. Lots of snow to move before the street plows block your freshly shoveled driveway.

    And all of that excitement and anticipation is over so quickly. And we wait for the next moment.
    BECAUSE WE ARE WEATHER GEEKS!

  16. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2023120212&fh=42&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2023120212&fh=42&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    Both GFS and Euro (it’s not near Boston or its suburbs), but in different ways hint at a southern extension/path to frozen precip.

    In other words, just not central NH and points north.

    I wonder if that could be sleet. Low is going south and there is some bagginess on the isobars in central parts of northern New England, so perhaps some cold air at mid and low levels draining southwestward during the event ??

    1. UGLY, just plain UGLY!!!!
      Even more PATHETIC!!!)(@()#&*)!(@*#()!*@)#(*!)(@*#)(!*@)#(*!)(@#*)(!@#)((@#&!*$&*(!&$*&!@(#&*!)(@$&)!*&$)(!@)($*)!(*@$)(!*)@($&*!()@&*$(!)*(@$*)!(*@$)(!*@$(&!)(@*$()!*@$()*!)(@$*(!*@$*()!@$(*)!(@*$)(!*@)($*)(!*@$)(*!@($*(!)*@$)(*!@$()*!()@$*)(!*@)$(*!()@$*()!*@$)*!()@$*)!(@$*()!*@$*!)(@$*()!*@$)(!*)(@$*()!*@$()*!)(@$*(!)*@$()!@$()!)(@*$)(!*()@$*

    2. With MJO migrating from phase 3 to 4 to 5 to 6 to 7 over the next 2 weeks, the odds of a classic setup are pretty low.

      One of the fake-met pages somebody sends me all the time was talking about MJO plunging through phases 8, 1, and 2 during this same time period. They are completely on the wrong side of the diagram. Or extreme wish-casting. You can decide. 😉

      2. Does it surprise you that anyone who knows you even slightly would send nonsense. ….or actually even read it.

        1. I think he does it more for the comic value. Most of the time I don’t even have to read it. 🙂

  18. No matter what’s happening in our part of the world, much of Northern and Central Europe is covered in snow. Perhaps the most favorable set-up for cold and snow in quite some time. Looks to continue the coming weeks, at least in interior sections. The Alps have had a tough time the last few years. Not this year, thus far.

    1. Should have also added Eastern Europe. Over 75% of Eastern Europe has at least some snow on the ground.

  19. I’m watching a Norwegian Holiday on Hallmark. We celebrate many of the Scandinavian customs so am enjoying it. My oldest grand taught himself to sing Santa Lucia when he was three and has always loved the holiday so enjoyed wartching

    It is set in Bergen and I had no clue that is where the foundation of modern meteorology was set.

    Vilhelm Bjerknes (1862-1951) laid the foundations of modern meteorology and weather forecasting through the “Bergen School of Meteorology” at the Geophysical Institute in Bergen. His Son Jacob (1897-1975) carried out pioneer research on climate change and the role of the ocean in the climate system.

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