Tuesday December 5 2023 Forecast (7:32AM)

57 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (DECEMBER 5-9)

We will be in a chilly northerly air flow during the next three days between high pressure to the west and low pressure well to our southeast. An inverted trough from the low will be nearby later today through early Wednesday, and this, combined with a surface wind that turns northeast and another upper disturbance moving through the region will cause some snow shower activity from tonight into Wednesday morning. This activity will favor the region from the NH Seacoast through eastern and southeastern MA. Some areas will see a minor snowfall accumulation. This event won’t cause many problems, but it can result in temporarily slick conditions on untreated surfaces early Wednesday morning, and again Wednesday evening / night when any meltwater re-freezes. High pressure edges closer to bring dry weather and more sun Thursday, which will also be the coldest day of this 5-day period. Clouds move through Thursday night – an indication of warmer air arriving aloft. At the surface, we’ll see a temperature rebound begin Friday and continue Saturday as the high pressure area slides off to the east and a southwesterly air flow develops. We’ll continue to see dry weather during this late-week period.

TODAY: Partly sunny. Highs 36-43. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Snow showers develop, except some mix/rain showers immediate coast / Cape Cod. Snow accumulation less than 1 inch possibly 1-2 inches in a band or two just inland from the MA South Shore (Plymouth / Bristol Counties). Lows 26-33. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers early, then partial sunshine. Highs 33-40. Wind NE to N up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 21-28. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind NW to variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 20-27. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 38-45. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 43-50. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 10-14)

A shot of warm air, lots of wind, and a band of rain moving through during December 10 (timing / details to be refined, but leaning toward evening for the best rain chance). Windy, dry, cold air returns December 11. Watch for a minor system to bring clouds / light snowfall/mix toward the middle of next week but no major storminess indicated.

DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 15-19)

One or two low pressure systems bring temperature swings and mostly minor precipitation threats with no major storms indicated during this period.

57 thoughts on “Tuesday December 5 2023 Forecast (7:32AM)”

  2. Hood morning and thank you TK.

    Ocean temp: 49 5

    Hrrr most robust with the snow just inland on South Shore in the usual areas.

    Models are all over the place, but most an inch or less with some up to 2 inches.
    Hrrr has 4 or 5 inches for the favored South Shore locations.

    Will be interesting to see how it plays out. Pete had a general 1-3 inches S shore and around an inch for rest of Eastern areas and said it was Tricky forecast.

    1. The air is going to be cold, but not THAT cold, and with the water temp around 50, this is not much of a set-up for much accumulation. Lean lower.

      1. OH, I’m not expecting much, Anything is a bonus as far as I am concerned. Still, I shall watch and see. 🙂

  3. Thanks, TK.

    You make a good point about the complaints about darkness here seeming a bit silly when you compare it to, say, Northwestern Europe (per my earlier post).

    It’s REALLY bright here in winter compared to there. 1. We have MUCH more sun and sunny days. It’s not even remotely close by comparison. And this applies to the period from mid October through mid February. 2. Because of our latitude we have significantly more daylight.

    Try heading to work as I did in the 90s at, say, 7am, driving 85 kilometers (but probably only averaging 50 km/h) on clogged highways and roads until 8:45am, arriving at work and it’s still totally dark. Then if you’ve been lucky enough to notice any daylight (not talking sun, because that would be pretty much out of the question) having it get dark again just after 3/3:30pm. That’s the reality of the dark days of December in the Netherlands. The traffic has only gotten worse since the 90s.

    1. It’s interesting how traffic has gotten worse with our better ability to do so many things without going anywhere…

  8. Pete in FB last night…

    It’s not a snow storm, it’s ocean-effect snow. This could be the first snow of the season for coastal communities Tue. night & Wednesday. Not certain on the amounts and placement, but I am on the midweek cold and weekend warmup.

  9. I know I said this last week but I’m really concerned with Philips absence here , as far as I know he has not responded to any emails . It’s extremely unusual for him to not post here on a daily basis & it’s been awhile now . Philip if you are out there please post .

  13. Not that it matters, but I don’t get too highly expectant of a lot of snow in December.

    I find in New England, especially southern New England, the heart of winter and summer are very symmetric, usually after the solstices.

    I don’t expect much snow in December, similarly, I don’t expect much sustained heat in June.

    1. You have GREAT EXPECTATIONS! 🙂
      I understand and generally you are correct. I am always looking
      for the exceptions.

      For instance HEAT in late June and BIG snowstorms in late DECEMBER.

      FAT chance of that happening this year. ha ha ha

  16. Hello WHW friends! Hope everyone is doing well and sure hope all is ok for Philip. I had to post this special weather statement for the sole purpose of it made me smile. No blockbuster storm but the mere thought of some flakes just puts me in the holiday spirit. Now just praying for at least one good hit this winter for JPD.

    https://alerts.weather.gov/cap/wwacapget.php?x=MA126671CCA33C.SpecialWeatherStatement.126671DA3510MA.BOXSPSBOX.9c716a8127c87980d589e011fde1ac79

    2. Well what a wonderful Christmas surprise. We are not getting snow, but seeing you here puts me in the Christmas spirit. Hi, Sue!! Enjoy. And if you still have that hair dryer, maybe blow some this way❤️

  17. On my Radarscope display, I see a wee bit of flakiness down around Rockland, Whitman and Hanson stretching towards
    Pembroke and Halifax. Not much, but it looks like a few flakes.

    1. I think we will receive a heavy , heavy costing overnight . I leave the house at 5am so it should be cool

      2. I think you may actually get a bit more than a coating. 🙂
        Keep us posted.

        Anything happening down that way yet? OR are you still in the city?

        1. Still in the city till 6 as I’ve been working a major amount of overtime. I actually don’t think it’s till much but I could be wrong , and I agree with your comment.

    2. I can’t see beyond these damn cubicle walls but will be leaving soon and will see if there is anything happening on my drive home.

  18. Looking at the HRRR and RAP wind barbs, the wind looks to
    stay mostly Northerly except right on the coast where they will
    be NNE. That’s a tough one for Ocean effect. We’d want the winds to turn more on shore than depicted.

  19. Thanks TK,

    Today is the 20 year anniversary of a major early December snowstorm in the Northeast….

    Tomer Burg
    @burgwx
    9h
    20 years ago today, a major snowstorm was getting underway in the Northeast US. The combination of a slow-moving nor’easter and multiple heavy snow bands contributed to widespread heavy snow accumulation, with multiple separate areas of 2+ feet totals.

    https://x.com/burgwx/status/1732053589600694699?s=20

  21. Thanks TK,
    As for the event for Sunday night into Monday, do you think it will be one of those situations where the southerly winds are screaming just above our heads but not at the surface , or do you think they will mix down to ground level?

    1. Euro’s got wind gusts over 40mph inland and over 55mph coastal areas along with an 1″+ of rain regionwide and temps soaring to 55-60F.

      Really sucks for the ski areas after the great start they got.

      1. Yeah I’m kind of getting the impression that this will be a decent wind event, just not sure if we realize the full potential of the wind, but as you alluded to it is not the best scenario for the slopes, snow guns will be working overtime.

  22. Jay Peak emerging from the clouds this AM after another foot of snow yesterday. 89″ (!!) already on the season there…

    Jay Peak Resort
    @jaypeakresort
    7h

    As the peak peeks out of the clouds, we leak what you seek behind the Jay Cloud shroud:

    This weekend, December 9th & 10th we plan to run the Tram which will give full access to almost the entire mountain.

    https://x.com/jaypeakresort/status/1732098532104921369?s=20

  24. I saw two flakes, Sue. Good work. Otherwise radar seems to show snow mostly on the cape. Am I seeing incorrectly?

  25. So I woke up to 3 inches of SNOW on the groundd!!

    NOT!!!!!!!!

    Wher’s the SNOW????

    of course the freakin Radar is down!!!

    I can”t see a single flake.

    is it even snowing anywhere on the South shore?

    FIGURES

    Can’t even get a forecasted snow shower.
    great sign for the Winter.

    1. Yes, the snow showers are around. It’s snowing here in Woburn very lightly. Forecast and accumulation are right on track (WHW).

      This was not going to be a significant event for anybody.

      1. yup, agree.
        KBOS was down and I didn’t realize it. Not snowing here that I can see. will look again soon.

        Looks like it is really coming down on parts of south shore.

    2. So I looked at, TBOS which is working.

      it looks like down around Rockland it is,Snowing pretty good. Now I feel better.
      it was always a close call to get the snow to Boston.

  26. Light snow here.

    Not sticking in my neighborhood, but a nice dusting (easy to see) up at the school campus, about 30-40 ft in elevation.

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