Sunday January 7 2024 Forecast (9:48AM)

293 Comments

Mid-storm, and things are mostly on track based on expectation. Elongated low pressure passing just off our South Coast today starts to intensify as it moves east northeast and starts to pull away. Areas that have seen several to quite a few inches of snow will see another few to several inches today from “part 2”, and areas that have had little or no snowfall are in for a flash freeze and a couple to a few inches of snow as the cold air comes back into those areas, as explained in yesterday’s post. Everything winds down this evening as low pressure pulls away. And just to review, adding what is still to come in snowfall, it should bring the area generally into the ranges posted yesterday. Those are…

Outer Cape Cod, Nantucket, Martha’s Vineyard: 1/2 to 2 inches mostly midday and afternoon Sunday.

Rhode Island and Massachusetts South Coast to coastal Plymouth County MA as well as the tip of Cape Ann MA: 2 to 4 inches.

Coastal NH through Eastern Essex County MA through Boston to Providence including I-95, to Southeastern CT: 4-8 inches.

Interior southern NH through central MA to northeastern CT: 8-12 inches.

Keep in mind that even in these ranges there can always be pockets of lighter or heavier amounts due to local effects and mesoscale to microscale synoptic anomalies.

And how about the weather after this, including the next storm threat? Generally the same idea as yesterday, but let’s expand on that a little more. Monday’s a bright, tranquil winter day as high pressure moves in. Monday night is a cold one with high pressure overhead and great radiational cooling over snowcover with a clear sky above and light wind. The next storm is coming for late Tuesday into Wednesday in the form of potent low pressure to pass just west of our region. Even though we have a nice temperature rebound Tuesday off the very cold early morning lows, there will still be enough cold air around for the storm to start as snow/mix over some inland and especially higher elevation locations, before rain takes over. I’m going to lean a bit more away from freezing rain but still cannot rule it out in a few pockets well inland northwest of Boston. Will keep an eye on that as we get closer to the event. The main threats with the next storm will be flooding from heavy rainfall and damaging wind with additional power outages possibilities. Coastal issues should be minimal with astronomical lower tides this time. Wednesday will be a very mild day as the storm peaks early then pulls away. Dry, cooler weather comes behind it all on Thursday.

TODAY: Overcast with snow likely except rain across much of the South Coast to MA South Shore which will change to snow by midday/afternoon. Flash freeze occurs this afternoon in areas seeing rain to start the day. Highs occurring early to mid-morning ranging widely from 28-35 northwest of Boston to 35-42 Boston south and southeast, followed by a temperature fall into the 20s from northwest to southeast midday on. Wind E 10-20 MPH with gusts above 30 MPH in coastal areas especially Cape Cod through midday, then shifting to N 5-15 MPH except 15-25 MPH coastal areas during the afternoon.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy with lingering light snow showers in the evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 5-15 MPH but higher gusts.

MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 31-38. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 12-19. Wind calm.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 33-40. Wind calm becoming SE 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Rain arriving except a period of snow than freezing rain possible some interior locations. Lows 30-37 evening, then rising temperature overnight. Wind SE 10-20 MPH inland, 20-30 MPH coast, with higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY: Overcast with rain morning. Breaking clouds with additional rain showers afternoon. Highs 48-55. Wind SE 15-35 MPH with potential stronger gusts, shifting to SW.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 30-37. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. A late-day rain or snow shower possible. Highs 40-47. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 12-16)

An active weather pattern continues. Next storm threat comes early in the holiday weekend (focused on January 13). More detail for this next update.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 17-21)

Next storm signal is in the January 18-19 window. Temperatures variable, but near to above normal for the period.

293 thoughts on “Sunday January 7 2024 Forecast (9:48AM)”

  1. My only complaint was the insistence on the NWS and some mets (NOT TK, Pete or Eric) that the precipitation intensity would ocercome the marine layer and produce SNOW even at the coast. CLEARLY they were DEAD wrong and that is what I am PISSED at. I understand the storm is not over and that phase 2 is likely to deliver. That is not my issue.

    Those NWS mets “should” be smart enough to know what
    that marine layer would do! TK, PETE and ERIC were!!!!!
    Those 3 were basing their coastal numbers based on phase 2 and little or nothing from phase1. NWS and others had higher numbers because the EXPECTED the snow to win out over the marine layer.

    So that is my rant for this morning……

    1. Btw, over all I am not pissed or upset. I am not the least bit surprised at what transpired. Not in the least. See many of my previous posts leading up to this event.

      However, I am pissed that professional mets actually thought that the snow would overcome the marine layer. SHAME on them!! Again NOT TK, Pete and Eric and perhaps others, but there were enough on the SNOW TRAIN!

  2. Good morning and thank you TK. Excellent job!!

    Back to snow again here as intensity picked up a tad. 🙂

  3. I assumed the intensity wasn’t matching the radar, but I just stuck my hand out the front door and my fear was realized, RAIN is mixing in. Temp has crept up to 34.

    1. It was raining here a while ago,, but is now back to light snow.
      You’ll be snow as soon as intensity picks up a bit

  4. Thank you, TK, and kudos for another job well done!
    Thanks to everyone, also, who add their incredible knowledge here!!!

    Coating of slop here in Taunton. 35 degrees with 0.37″ of precip.

  9. At least Boston will pull ahead of NY in the snowfall standings if the guidance pans out. Currently a tie with 0.2 inches.

  10. Thanks TK. Temp has dropped here in Coventry to 29 after topping off at 32 around 7am. Very light snow at the moment and we have received a solid coating since I removed the first 6”. Will do a final measurement this evening when we get back from Foxborough.

    Putting all my ski attire on now and leaving shortly. Will report this PM from Gillette.

  13. NWS/BOX discussion on the winds for Tuesday night and Wednesday:

    The last sentence concerning the possible hoisting of a Hurricane Force Wind Watch/Warning for the first time in nearly six years has caught my attention.

    Confidence still is the highest at this point for strong to damaging
    winds. The latest NAEFS/EPS guidance keeps trending upward.
    Currently showing winds 4-6 STD above model climatology! Ensembles
    indicating this at the 850 hPa level, which are progged at this
    point by deterministic guidance with speeds of 60-90+ kts generally
    out of the south. The big question is how much of these winds mix
    down. At this point are only starting to get on the outer periphery
    of the NAM guidance for Bufkit soundings, so have focused on the GFS
    Bufkit soundings for now. At this point they show 60-70 kts of winds
    roughly 500-1000 ft AGL across the Cape/Islands. Further inland
    values are still nothing to scoff at with 40-50 kts roughly 1000 ft
    AGL. Would like to get more of a look at the NAM and convective
    allowing guidance window to have a better feel on the mixing, as the
    GFS tends to overmix. Given the signals have still stuck with the
    higher NBM guidance (tends to overdue winds). The EPS guidance
    continuing to indicate moderate to high probs (40-100%) of gusts AOA
    50 kts across the eastern MA coast. Further inland probs are low to
    moderate (<10 to 40%) from eastern CT into RI and eastern portions
    of central MA. The EPS also still showing low to moderate (10-60%)
    probs of gusts AOA 64 kts across SE MA, Cape Ann and the waters.
    Anticipate that High Wind Watches will be needed in later updates
    for the land. Looks like there will be at least Storm Force gusts,
    but may actually be a situation where we need Hurricane Force Wind
    Watches in later updates. For context last time we needed to issue a
    Hurricane Force Wind Watch (or Warning) was in March of 2018.

  15. We should be in the last hour of mixed or flip flop from Boston to Quincy, and then from there it will progress southward as a flip to snow and an increase in intensity. But not all at once. It’s a process that will take the next 6 to 8 hours to be complete.

  20. Thanks, TK. I really appreciate this blog!
    (The planned trip to Natick this morning is mercifully cancelled.)

    1. The temp will drop when the wind shifts as the low starts to lift a bit more to the N in latitude while it moves east in longitude.

      Basically the exact way that I described it would happen.

      Boston’s snow comes MIDDAY and AFTERNOON.

    1. That’s good family is everything & I enjoy seeing your family on FB. All kidding aside I hope you get that snow during the second push soon , enjoy your day !!

  25. Did you need something? The storm isn’t done yet if that’s what you are eluding to. I doubt you were looking for me to say hi.

    1. Really? At this point I don’t give 2 bleeps! 🙂
      Seriously.
      I have accepted the fact that It ain’t gonna SNOW!!! 🙂

      1. But you’ll get your snow events this winter. The pattern transition is not sudden, but unsteady and gradual. 🙂

    1. Snow intensity is picking up some and it doesn’t look so wet out.
      It actually looks more Wintry out.

  31. Thanks TK.

    No big surprises that I can tell. Think there was some modest over-performance in some mid-Atlantic inland areas, and while I didn’t expect much for coastal areas in round 1, the marine layer was even tougher than I would’ve thought especially in terms of inland extent. Seemed like the wind speeds may have been a little stronger than forecast and drove that layer further inland?

    It’s also worth noting that the overall evolution of this storm is quite different than most of the modeling showed 4-6 days ago. And if I remember correctly, TK was all over the idea of a longer duration, more strung out storm system. Well done sir. Seemed like the GFS, while not perfect, was the first of the global models to at least start picking up on that type of evolution.

  32. Church was zoom…although I always attend remotely….so jusr catching up

    Thank you, TK.

    Back to 30 here but I was not expecting much of a difference till after the noon hour. It has been consistent snow here ..at least since I woke up at 8:00…with modest accumulation.

    Sure is beautiful

  33. JPD. Re your post above on marine layer.

    I shared Pete’s tweet a few times here in the past couple of days that ROUGHLY as I understood it was saying ocean temps/marine layer can’t be interpreted as it once was. I wondered if that was why his maps were a bit different than some.

    Just a curious thought

  35. I’m still sticking with it . Boston will not see a plowable event & the same south of Boston . Storm is over in about 5-6 hours . It’s the flash freeze that Boston / south should be preparing for as salters need to be out all night tonight staying on top of this .

  41. Nothing, niets, nada, niks, rien, nichts … Light mix falling out of the sky for the past 5 hours. No accumulation whatsoever. Well, that’s obvious given that the temperature really hasn’t budged much, oscillating in the 33.6F to 35.2F range. Right now it’s smack dab in the middle at 34.6F. This will definitely not be plowable as SSK pointed out. It may not even accumulate to the 1.4 inch I mentioned very early this morning.

    1. I’m very happy for the folks like Retrac, Mark, Vicki and others who have had a nice snowstorm.

      Here, the snow that’s falling from the sky, well, it’s an insult to snow to call what’s falling `snow’ as it almost immediately melts. Certainly on pavements and sidewalks, but even trees and grass. It’s there one second only to vanish the next, like wet snow does … in April.

  46. Snow rain mix here in Hingham. (Been using mPing to update my area for the radars that use it). The snow looks heavy in volume but the rain is definitely in the mix.

  47. SClarke, love those pictures you sent of plowable snow. I believe these were taken in Northern Japan (Hokkaido) at some point.

  48. Fairly cold right now across Britain and the low countries. But as the Dutch mets suggested a week to 10 days ago, not only is this particular cold modest it’s of relatively short duration. Perhaps a 3 or 4 day stretch of a northeasterly (for them that’s a continental wind), low to mid 30s daytime/mid to upper 20s night. This will be followed by the usual southwesterly off the sea and ocean, cloudy, rainy at times and windy at times (low 40s daytime/low to mid 30s night).

    1. 33.6F here. Falling, but definitely not crashing. Large snowflakes, to be sure. You do see some white/gray on trees, but this goes away once the snow intensity lets up. Nothing on pavement or sidewalks.

      1. That part is just getting underway. The temp just went down 8 degrees here in the last 1/2 hour.

  53. Been snowing steadily here for hours and I think I have another 3-4 hours to go.

    Looks miserable at Gillette. Seats were selling for $20 today.

    1. Couldn’t pay me enough to be there. Bill’s last game is the only intrigue. It’s gonna be a horrible game (3 and out, punt – rinse and repeat for both teams)

    2. I’d love to be at that game. My view of sports is entirely different than the average person, and I couldn’t be happier about it. 😉

      1. My view of sports is also. But my view of fairness tends to override it in this case.
        That said a good manager knows when to step aside when he is failing. I know one that did 😉

  54. Part 2 is right on schedule and right on track. South Shore, you guys are in trouble when the temp drops. I hope the DPW’s in the area are ready for what’s coming. A freeze up with snow on top of it. Oh boy.

    1. There’s still the slightest whiff of rain with the snow. I’m heading out in about 15min for a hospital visit, hope by the time we’re done visiting the driving isn’t intolerable.

  55. Snowing hard now, down to 33.1F. Trying to stick to brick sidewalk. Some slush on cars. Whitish/gray film on trees and bushes. Some snow on grass.

        1. This is an easy forecast IMO at this point. Leading into it, it was not. Once it was underway, it became more simple. It’s why I didn’t make any real changes. 🙂

  56. Large flakes and many of them, but still some rain mixing in.

    Treacherous conditions tonight with the freeze-up, as TK mentioned. It’s not so much the amount of snow but the snow on top of ice. This evening could see worse conditions here than in places where it snowed the entire time.

  58. Saw plows salting the roads. I just did the same on steps leading down to our building’s back entrance and in front (steps and sidewalk).

    1. Your area is close to a mix line that is related to the actual low and a little warmer air above, but that will be short-lived. Temp drop imminent. 🙂

  63. Sticking to grass, bushes, trees, cars and even a bit on side streets. No more play-by-play as I have to get to work. But it’s fun to see the gradual evolution.

  64. Thanks, TK. Has been a light snow falling here in Sudbury since early this morning yet it still has been accumulating. Marc usually goes out to take snow measurements but w/his condition I went out. Couldn’t get too far as the sidewalks here are still piled up w/snow. And w/more snow on the way, I just came back in. Just an estimation that it might be 8 inches or snow. No wind. If I had better boots I would have ventured out more. The snow is a pretty sight. Sorry for those who didn’t get any but I guess there is some on the way for you. Also sorry for those who could get a freeze-up.

  65. When I finished shoveling the wetter snow of part 1, we’ve had 6.0 inches so far here at Woburn. I suspect another 3 or so from part 2, which got underway while I was finishing up, just in time too as the temp went down about 8 degrees in several minutes!

  66. Oldest is driving her oldest to the barn in sutton. They are riding bareback in the snow. Driving bad. They just drove by a car in a stone wall. Ask me if my BP is a bit elevated

  67. Thanks TK !

    I can see Salem, MA down to 28F as is the rte 128 belt.

    So glad to see Boston and Jamaica Plain area doing well now.

    Need another hour + down here, especially this far east in Marshfield.

  68. No longer an April snow. More like a winter snow now. Smaller flakes, no more rain mixed in. Temp still above freezing, but it’s been dropping. Snow sticking to side roads, looking less gray and more white on trees and bushes.

  69. Must have been a temp drop in Foxboro because the field suddenly turned white.

    10 mins ago, you could see the turf very clearly.

  70. Snowing very hard in Essex. Temp has been stuck at 32 all day . Wind is picking up . About 4 inches so far .

    2. The temp drop is taking place from north to south. You’re to the south, so it’s not there yet.

  73. On that ob link SAK posted a while back, only Logan is showing above 32f near the city.

    Right by the city itself, I see a 29F and a 28Fas of 1:45 pm

    1. Cold air is filtering in now. A few spots around buildings and near the water will be last to get “cold”.

  75. I’m stuck at 32-33 F. Really snowing. Wind has picked up.

    As Tom mentioned, field at Gillette is coated. Score is 6-3 Jets. Might sound like the Boring Bowl, but kinda fun watching this one given the weather.

    1. I love games like this. As I said, my view of this stuff is far different than the majority. 🙂

  78. Thank goodness this backside/comma head is doing what it looked like it could. Maybe even a bit better.

    I would have been so discouraged if it didn’t pan out.

    And I know that the first part did what it should have done and I just created a wrong prediction it wasn’t meant to be able to produce because I got the ocean’s impact so wrong for part 1

  79. Boston as of 1pm has 0.1 inches so far. Boston goes back in the lead over NY in the snowfall standings. The question now by how much???

  80. While we’re in the midst of the storm here and watching punting and field goal practice in Foxboro, a comment about the weather after the event…

    I’m going to look in more detail at the upcoming system for later Tuesday into Wednesday. I’m slightly encouraged by a few things I see today in terms of the severity and wind damage / flooding potential.

    As for the threat next weekend, I think right now a misfire on the models regrading the next system is perpetuating to the system behind that. Expect that to evolve to a colder more southern tracking storm.

    1. We don’t need a lot of rain on top of this snow pack.
      I hoping for that colder solution next weekend.

  83. My granddaughter riding her pony in the snow. If you allow sound , you can hear the wind. It’s only a few miles from my house but wind is nowhere as strong here

    https://imgur.com/a/vcqtJRl

    I got that thing at the start asking if I am over 18. I just said I was. I promise ….nothing questionable here Weird

        1. Thank you. My daughter had ponies and horses growing up. Too expensive now. She leases the pony but it’s hers to ride and play with.

      1. Doh!! I keep forgetting to actually “read” your blog post. 😉

        BUT…will temps be cold enough??

    1. I know somebody in that area that is reporting 18, or nearly so. I’ll try to verify. That area spent some time under a synoptic band overnight and got a pretty jacked up amount to start with.

      1. Thank you! Hes a retired HS math teacher. We know how exact they are ❤️❤️. I mention your comment to him.

    2. Spotter in Dunstable is reporting 17.5. It fits. This is one of those “exceptions” (high and low) noted when I made my accumulation forecast. One of my colleagues made fun of me for doing this, but there’s a reason as you see. 🙂

  90. Forecast spot on for my area calling for 5-10 inches. Just missed out on the big snow band around midnight some towns in the northwest hills got double digit snowfall amounts.

  93. Just measured a little over 10” in Andover after a quick 3 inches in the last hour or two. I’m sure it has subsided some as well. Pretty good forecast!

  94. Here in far eastern marshfield, it’s 36F at the very nearby airport. I can see on SAK’s ob link it’s colder now just a couple miles to our west.

    There’s wet snow in the air but nothing sticking.

    I have to get my daughter from work in 45 mins, 2 miles west and I think I’ll drive into a different world.

    But still not here yet.

  95. Very pretty outside. Haven’t measured but from looking at it perhaps 2 inches. No longer snowing much. Temp is down to 28.4F.

    1. Quick drop in temp to 24F but snow has pretty much stopped. Measured a little less than 2 inches, wet snow with a glaze on it.

  96. This location does give back in the coldest storms and since we’re prone to wind, it’s usually close to a continuous blizzard.

    But, in exchange for that, we struggle on these.

    1. As far as my neighborhood Tom it’s sticking . Need to pick up my son from work at 5 up by Lowe’s I’ll have a better update at that time but to little to late the storm is winding down soon

  97. For the sake of nostalgia, for fans of WeatherScan (TWC’s nonstop local forecast channel that ran for several years), here’s a playlist of most of the songs that ran on it (without the voiceovers). This is a very nice 1 hour and 35 minute musical vacation if you like instrumental tunes and that classic feel of TWC. There are 27 tracks (even though it goes up to track 33). I left out 5 tracks from one particular artist because I hope to share his complete collection here soon as well.

  99. TK …..

    For mid week, are some of the signs for hope on the wind front the bagginess in the isobars and the relatively cooler temps (not low 60s) and of course the refrigerant snow cover.

    I see those helping in lower elevations inland, will they help the immediate coastline ? Thanks !

    1st link for bagginess in isobars

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfcwind_mslp&rh=2024010712&fh=66&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    2nd link for temps (40s and low 50s, not 60s of 2+ weeks ago)

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfct-imp&rh=2024010712&fh=66&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    1. Sometimes the snowcover will help create an atmosphere where the strongest winds will be up a bit higher and not right down at the ground. That may cover us for part of the storm where there is snow on the ground.

      Also, duration may be relatively short, which will help somewhat.

      And this is less certain, but oftentimes the guidance is over-forecasting the strength at this range. So we can hope that’s a factor.

  100. There was some discussion of Lunenburg above. I can believe that we are at 18″, but there’s so much drifting that it’s hard for me to tell.

    The latest NWS report is 15″ about two hours ago. We’ve had more since then, but now it’s winding down. Something like 18″ seems right.

  104. Salter just went through the neighborhood by the house as that’s all they will need here . Next let’s see if storm # 2 delivers the wind & rain

    2. He’s bad. Jones is terrible. Not even sure either guy makes it to anyone’s practice squad, let alone team (even as a back-up to a back-up).

      1. Zappe was never going to be as good as Jones. But then I wouldn’t be surprised if BB got in his head too. I respectfully disagree that Jones is bad. He had an excellent rookie year. His stats are easy to find. BB destroyed him. The reasons are here (scroll down to where they are listed). I was complaining on here about them as they happened. I don’t complain quietly, especially when something is so egregious, so would be surprised if folks don’t remember.

        https://www.bostonsportsjournal.com/2023/11/12/bedard-mac-jones-is-broken-and-bill-belichick-is-to-blame

        A head coaches job is to bring rookies along. Not to use them as blame for their mistakes. Check Bbs record without Brady

  106. Only thing `pretty’ about Foxboro today is the snow.

    While I’ve been critical of BB, I do feel sad when an era is over. And I fully expect the BB era to be over here in New England. There’s a lot of fixing to do. Houston Texans did prove that it can be done relatively quickly, though the Texans in 2022 were better talent-wise than the Patriots in 2023. We shall see.

    1. It’s not 100% he’s gone !! Meeting is tomorrow. I do think Kraft puts options on the table if Bill wants to stay , but will he accept those options. One option is definitely removing him as GM as I think this is a definite.

  107. I’m in western Marshfield.

    Moderate snow and they’ll get to an inch, maybe 1.5 inches.

    The roads are greasy, it looks like a winter wonderland.

    Where I live, there’s a couple golf courses that side of town and I think you can play tomorrow if you like winter golf. 🙂

  109. Changed fast, we have a quick dusting and have maybe 5 mins of heavy stuff and whatever light stuff lingers. Maybe can secure a coating to 1 inch here by the ocean.

  111. I was hoping for the higher draft pick so I’m ok with today’s loss.

    I’m a bit bummed the Jaguars lost, that’s a good young team but evidently, not good enough today.

  113. Thanks Tom. Cowboys beat the Commanders they are the two seed. Lions are the three seed unless the Cowboys lose than they would move to the two seed.

  114. I just cleaned up. I measured a paltry 2.75 inches and that is it.
    If you allow for some melting earlier perhaps we can call it an
    even 3 inches. But that is it.

    I could rant. but I’ll leave it at that.

    When’s the next snow chance? Like the 6th Friday in March?

  115. I’d say a good 15 inches in Amesbury and it’s still coming down. Way over performed my expectations.

    1. I do find that interesting.

      You are very close to the coast.

      Yes, north, but not even to NH

      The coastal front and airmass, on an east wind ….. I just feel like when we’ve seen this east wind before, the coastal front usually gets Amesbury and the NH coastline and even southern Maine for a bit.

      But it didn’t on this system.

    2. Wow. Impressive. I’m not sure where amesbury is relative to cape Ann area. Did you get in on some of that ocean effect snow last night?

      1. Yes, snowed fairly heavily last night. Amesbury is most northern community in Massachusetts, but is a short, 15-minute ride to Salisbury beach and the ocean.

  117. I believe that up until today, the Patriots were undefeated in “snow” games. Is that correct?

    I fondly remember that 1982 plow game vs. Miami when the released prisoner Mark Henderson cleared the field for the Patriots game winning field goal. Don Shula was absolutely livid if I recall. Did the Patriots actually make the playoffs that season, albeit just barely? Or was it a meaningless game? I forget.

  118. Greetings from Scottsdale, AZ. It’s 45 degrees and there is a thunderstorm passing just to my north. Any interesting weather back home today? 😉

    We’re flying home this evening (flight is on time), landing at 5am tomorrow. Looking forward to seeing how white everything is.

    Oh, and Lowell broke out of their -long slump to thump Harvard 7-4 yesterday.

    2. Yay Lowell! Glad the slump is over.

      I’m sure you’ll check out the snow reports. I’m about to add my Woburn one to the mix. The storm worked out pretty much as expected (a couple lowers and highers than expected here and there, but that’s pretty much the case with every event).

      Everything will still be plenty white / icy tomorrow. Enjoy it while you can. It gets wiped out Wednesday morning.

      Safe travels!

      1. I think wankum was awesome all week saying from the get go he felt rain was going to be involved.

    3. I was following the games online. It seemed like the first one could have gone either way with the loss in OT. The second one was a good thing – a little odd that two teams from the same neighborhood were playing each other in AZ though!

    4. Hi SAK, I did see a lot of planes being diverted to JFK and Philly around 2-3 after circling for a while but 5am tomorrow you’ll be fine. Safe travels home.

  119. I’m not really in the practice of critiquing colleague forecasts anymore, but I will say that the Boston media in general did an awesome job forecasting this one. There were a lot of moving parts. Yeah somebody may have been a little high here or a little low there, but that’s forecasting. I should have left my original idea for Logan untouched, and then I bumped it up a tad last minute yesterday. Ah well! I haven’t verified everything but there were definitely some higher than top range amounts to the N of Boston, and some lower than low range to the S of Boston. In meteorology in general it’s very difficult to nail storms that have such a huge range over a relatively small area. Much easier to forecast those broad brush 3-6 / 6-12 type storms that just dump snow everywhere in broad coverage. 🙂

  121. If anybody wants to look in on N Conway (one of my favorite places that I hardly ever have seen in person haha), here…

    1. My little feet walked those sidewalks from just about the time I could walk. So many sweet memories

      My brothers sister in law who has become a very close friend is there visiting her son and family. They skied attitash today. She said about four inches.

      Keith shared the web cam with me years ago. I visit it any time I need a bit of those memories to cheer me.

  122. There’s a little backlash coming down from the N that might add another tenth or half inch to a few places. I’m going to wait til that goes thru here before I send in my reports to NWS.

  123. JP Dave, I have less than you, a little under 2 inches. But I must admit it looked pretty. I know it’ll be gone very soon. But at least it looked like winter.

  127. Random sports post here. The Celtics played the Pacers last night in Indiana and they play there again tomorrow night? I can’t remember that happening before or have I just not noticed…much more common in baseball of course but I was going over upcoming games with my 97 yo mom (who loves sports) and that struck me. Am I missing something (or have I missed something)…. Thanks for confirming or clarifying….

    2. It is strange for sure but there were ones like that a couple of times last year. I had to look twice when I saw it too.

  129. Total Posts.

    Over the last 3 days, we surpassed 1,000 total posts on WHW. Not sure if this is the record for a 3 day period. We can think of other timeframes where this could have possibly happened such as the winter, 2015 and others too.

    I did count backwards and discovered the 1,000th post belongs to JpDave at 2:55 PM today.

    1. Nice work! JP Dave kind of deserves the 1K Award since SNOW has been a hot topic – or a cold one? 😉

  130. https://ibb.co/MCmKBkq

    Credit to Dr Stupid from a post late Friday. That’s the one I could find.

    Anyway, I am sort of interested that Amesbury, coastal NH and south coastal Maine were areas that got clobbered, the marine layer did not impact them as greatly.

    From what I can see, some predictions got this and a couple did not. There’s 2 that also forecast lower amts compared to inland locations in Amesbury and cape Ann and coastal NH and south coastal Maine.

    1. Their first boost came from an intense synoptic band late last night. So they got ahead of everyone else N & W of the city. Marine influence never got in there.

      Now they’re adding to it with the backlash.

    2. Bottom left and top right got the coastal front impact for sure around Boston points south and east, but they also thought the coastal front’s impact would continue further up the coast, which I think was a good thought. But it cut off not tremendously far north and east of Boston.

      1. From the tv media, I agree with what you said before TK, they all did great !

        The superlatives from the TV media, if I had a vote off of Dr Stupid’s post just above, would be the upper left and middle right.

        They included cape Ann, extreme northeast mass, coastal NH and Maine in the heavy band and also nicely got the marine influence in eastern Mass.

    1. Same in Woburn. No we didn’t get buried, but we have a short staffed crew and lack of contractors for plowing. The guys are tired and need a break before finishing the cleanup. Plus some icing underneath where it had been a wetter snow first.

      The 2 hour delay is ideal to allow the extra time and still not use an entire snow day. 🙂

  132. We’re in Tempe again, killing a little more time before we head to the airport and we just got pelted with graupel during a thunderstorm. In Arizona. Looks like I didn’t escape the frozen precipitation after all.

  134. Thank you TK! We had just enough here to make it pretty but not cause many problems. That works for me. 🙂

  135. I’m watching this plow guy keep passing my house in my neighborhood plowing ( he is plowing cement) as an experienced snow person I’m scratching my head on that .

    1. Plenty to have plowed around here. I measured 3.3 inches. Plow came down our private road and all the streets needed plowing.

  136. Jeez SSK you are so much fun for folks that like winter. Yes, next storm is rain and the next one as TK says should trend colder. No reason to be a downer. We know you don’t like snow and winter. Wankum was right but he’s the one who shared every model run which I just wouldn’t do.

    We are all friends and I want to put this to bed, please be sensitive to others. Life is hard for a lot of people and the constant negativity just isn’t fun. Just my 2 cents.

    1. If you don’t like my posts don’t comment Hadi . I get along & respect everyone on this blog including you & I am always respectful to everyone.

      1. Just be sensitive to how people want to enjoy winter. You aren’t rude, but trust me it aggravates a lot of people, I know. No reason to just come every time and say rain and sound excited and happy about it. Maybe others don’t care, but it takes away a lot of the fun.

        1. You are a piece of work dude . Don’t reply to any of my posts again . And I removed you from my Facebook !!! You have some nerve telling me what to do !!

          1. Sorry you feel the way. No problem on Facebook, not as if we interacted there so removing me not sure what that does 🙂

  137. Had we just stayed lightly colder on the 1st half we would have ended up way higher than forecasted. We would have been in the 12-18 range as well if not more. 1-2 degrees was all the difference.

    1. Yeah, you would have had what is even northeast of you.

      I know we can all recall east wind for a time in a winter storm, where the coastal front moves inland much further up the coast than it did.

      Maybe the easterly storm track, I don’t know.

  139. Another 1/2 inch for the South Shore from that final band. Snowing nicely down there now. Will taper off soon.

    1. Your right . I got in around 7 as we got maybe an inch or maybe just over & wanted to remove it & salt . I think I have plenty of salt down

  140. Well, I wonder what the 00z suite will bring with respect to the next system and that matter, the following one.

    It got lost in the shuffle above, but the SPC has a 10% tornado contour along a part of the gulf coast.

    1. I’m curious. I don’t think it’ll do much different with the next system yet. I’m curious if it pops the thing a little further SE (still west of here, but enough to push some snow in at the start of the next system before the rain/wind).

      We will probably see a slower trend to colder for the system next weekend. At least based on how I think things play out at this point.

      1. Thanks.

        I might be seeing the 00z stuff in the morning though.

        I didn’t sleep too well last night.

        Partly excited by a winter storm and partly frustrated listening to the rain 🙂 🙂 🙂

  144. I mentioned earlier about family of a friend skiing attitash today. I was wrong. They skied black. Apparently a group came together and saved it from closing. At least for now

  145. 11 inches in North Readimg…not too shabby….I think that exceeded last year’s total, so this Winter is already a win in my book

  147. Light snow has been falling periodically, almost like a Christmas card, probably added another 0.5 inch or so. My best guess is that I got a total of 2.5 or perhaps 3 inches from the entire event. Better than the 1.4 inch I was thinking this morning.

    Do love that refrigeration feel when you go outside after a snowfall. It’s not that cold out. Perhaps 23F. But with the snow around you kind of feel like you’re in a freezer. I love that. The very best is when after a big storm you walk down, say, Beacon Street and on both sides there are snowbanks 4 or 5 feet high. Then you really have the full freezer effect.

    1. My children think I’m totally nuts, by the way.

      The love of winter not being passed on to them, despite my valiant efforts.

      The same cannot be said for it being passed on to me from my Dad and especially my Mom. Among a few pieces I inherited from my mother was a sign she had that says “Snowbound.” I put it above the entrance to my apartment. My mother loved the cold and snow. Every time I see the wooden sign I think of my Mom. She and I got giddy with excitement in winter.

      1. Awwww that is so awesome. What a sweet memory.

        I got it from my dad. Today was my mom’s angel day and all I kept thinking was she would not like this. Our girls are not winter fans. Mac was not really either. Our son loves all weather

  148. Just measured an additional 2” on the deck since this morning so 8” is our total here.

    The drive to Foxborough earlier was a bit harrowing as I84, I90, and I495 were snow covered through Union CT, Sturbridge, Worcester and Milford. It was absolutely beautiful in those same areas though as the trees were thickly coated in heavy wet snow to the point that some of the tree branches were sagging all the way to the ground. It was a winter wonderland. By the time we got further south though towards Wrentham, roads improved and there was probably only an inch on the ground.

    More than made up for that during the game though as conditions were blizzard like at times. Probably picked up 3” at the stadium while we were there. It was fun being there in the snow despite it being a pretty shitty football game.

    1. Glad your trip was safe. Conditions at Gillette sound fun.

      Sounds as if you and I were in same ballpark for totals

      I thought of you when I posted comment about black mtn earlier

  150. Not to skip the next one, the GFS lost it for next Fri and Sat

    963 mb with an 80 mb difference with a 1048 mb high entering Montana.

    Windy everywhere east of the Rockies.

    With what we’ve seen the last many years, nothing would surprise me.

    This idea of a pressure difference is noticeable for the next event cause there’s a 1,030 mb high not too far east of us. What a signal for wind in the gulf of Maine even more than us.

  151. Total Seasonal Snowfall to date:

    ORH = 18.5”
    BOS = 3.3”
    NYC = 0.2”

    Can Boston nibble away at Worcester’s lead or more likely at “arm’s length” at best?

    1. All it would take is one of those good cold storms passing to our east far enough. But there’s such a long way to go in the snow season the odds don’t favor it to finish any way other than with Worcester ahead of Boston.

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