33 thoughts on “Fabulous Weekend / Unsettled Weekdays”

1. Thanks TK!!

   Can’t ask for a better weekend weather wise with a new baby!! Warm days and cool nights for some 🙂 sleeping!!!

2. Thanks tk

3. Interesting feature off of the Carolina coastline. I’m assuming that the spin I see on the satellite is more at mid to high levels, as opposed to the surface and that it’s more cold core than warm core. However, it seems to have pretty good convection with it this morning and it is sitting over mild to warm waters off the Mid-Atlantic Coast. I wonder if this feature has a chance at transitioning to something more tropical ?

   1. Seems like the GFS had the idea of tropical moisture lurking off the coast a week ago, maybe not the right timing. The NWS is saying the moisture originated in the carribean.

4. As Scott mentioned yesterday about the 12z EURO, this mornings 0z EURO is slightly less aggressive towards the 850mb temps for Memorial Day Weekend. However, it does seem to moderate the region’s temps up more quickly this coming Thurs/Friday, once the mid week unsettled weather departs………Even tempered, the signal is still there for very warm temps most of the weekend, with one hot day in there as well….

5. Thanks, TK! Since I will be busy tomorrow most of the day, I am not sure I will be posting – so I just want to say now, a day early, Happy Birthday! 🙂 Glad the weather will be cooperating!

   1. Thank you!

6. Thanks TK.

7. If we did not have an east wind we could be talking high 80s for tomorrow

8. Thanks TK.
   I wish the whole summer could be like this with clear skies and comfortable levels of humidity.

9. Following the advertised warm up, both the GFS and EURO show heights rising in Greenland, which would mean a bit of blocking could set up again. The NAO may be more negative by then as well. I hope I’m not seeing early signs of a not so nice start to June.
   I’m not even sure if next Monday will be included in the advertised warm up. We shall see.

   1. I noticed that the NAO goes negative as well, although the AO stays neutral to slightly positive…not sure what that combo means. Hopefully that Memorial Day big warmup advertised by some mets verifies. 🙂

      1. The result must be different in the summer versus the winter, and I’m not sure either what they will cause.
         A second look at the 12z GFS, showed a nice split flow on the long range. Let’s just take it one week at a time, as that model is lacking long range consistency, which isn’t a surprise.

10. I will be at an outdoor commencement at BC on Monday and I guess it looks like it will be raining by afternoon with increasing east winds…darn! 🙁

    Spring really stinks here in NE overall especially along the coast. 🙁

11. On one of this morning’s updates the NHC assigned a 20% chance of the feature off of the Carolina coast becoming a subtropical or tropical system. Suddenly, at the 2pm update, it’s up to a 50% chance.

    There’s still a good amount of convection and the circulation seems to be working its way to the surface, as evident by the swirling low clouds in the visible satellite.

    Mt Washington up to 54F….

    1. Calling for lower 60’s there tomorrow, which means middle 80’s will be common here AWAY from the coast.

       1. Wow, low 60s on the summit is warm !!

          http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off&issuedby=EPD&product=PMD

          3rd paragraph about the warmth is interesting.

          1. Glad I won’t be in school on any of those days.

12. What a glorious day and thanks for the update TK!!

    I have 80 but says humidity is 39 – does that sound right? If so no wonder it’s perfect!

    1. I usually pay more attention to dew point than RH, but yes that was about right. 🙂

       1. Me too TK but mt station only does RH. Annoys me

13. When the NAO was negative for a good part of the summer of 2009 we had a lot of unsettled weahter with what seemed daily chances of showers and thunderstorms.
    I often commented its a Florida forecast since Florida seems to get those pop up showers and storms in the summer.

14. As of 3:00 pm obs time, Logan has a temp = 66, dp = 43. It may not be 80, but it is still delightful and even a light jacket not really necessary even in the shade in spite of a somewhat steady due east wind. 🙂

    1. This would be the reason WHW went for coastal 60s. 🙂

15. 12z EURO has us pretty much missing the major warm up, the Midwest gets put on the front burner though.

    1. Talk about a back door cold front on that run…

       1. Indeed !! It will be interesting to see where this strong ridge sets up. Whomever is under it…..is going to see records broken.

16. We “could” be dealing with the first tropical storm of the season “Alberto”?? 😯

    http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/47487848/ns/weather

    TK, can you keep us posted on this new development? Would this affect us as early as Monday afternoon/night?

    1. Alberto will not be a factor in the weather up here, meandering off the Carolinas then heading out to sea. Interesting that we get one so early as we head toward El Nino which tends to be light on the # of storms. But we are still seeing lingering effects of previous warmth.

17. The buds on my peonies are not getting bigger. I’m beginning to wonder if despite covering those freezes killed them

18. Blog updated, just a tiny discussion and updated forecast (still only through next Friday, not worrying about Memorial Day Weekend’s early outlook until tomorrow evening).

19. At first I read “It may toss some high clouds into the sky on Sunday” as “I may toss some high clouds into the sky on Sunday” Hahaha and I was like “So weather experts DO have control over the weather!!!” Hahahaha! 😛

    1. Wait………that isn’t what TK meant? 😉

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