Tuesday March 5 2024 Forecast (6:54AM)

71 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 5-9)

A wet pattern lasts for the remainder of this week continuing this weekend. We’ll be impacted by 3 low pressure systems, the first of which will give a light to moderate rain event to the region today, especially this afternoon and evening, as the small and not-too-strong but moisture-laden low center drifts up via the Mid Atlantic. Behind that it’s mild for early Wednesday, and we have a shot at some sunny breaks to start the day. A cold front will sag southward through the region later in the day and at night, cooling it down. The next low pressure area lifts into the region, again via the Mid Atlantic, Wednesday night and Thursday. This one has the potential to produce heavier rainfall, especially from the I-95 belt eastward as it stands now (may have to tweak this heavier forecast area though before the event). Watch for the potential for short term street and small stream flooding and medium term river flooding to result from this system. A break comes on Friday as a weak area of high pressure builds in, and this may last into Saturday before the next storm system approaches with more precipitation. There’s been a medium range question regarding precipitation type for the weekend threat, but leaning toward at least a rain start for that one.

TODAY: Cloudy. Areas of fog and drizzle. Rain arrives midday and afternoon. Highs 47-54, coolest coast. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Cloudy. Rain tapers off by late evening. Areas of fog. Lows 40-47. Wind E to variable up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Patchy fog early, otherwise mostly cloudy with breaks of sun possible morning. Cloudy with rain showers afternoon. Highs 47-52 South Coast / Cape Cod, 53-58 elsewhere. Wind variable under 10 MPH becoming SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely, may be heavy at times overnight, especially I-95 eastward. Lows 38-45. Wind shifting to N 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Rain, heaviest in the morning, tapering gradually thereafter. Temperatures steady 38-45. Wind NE 5-15 MPH inland, 10-20 MPH coast, higher gusts, shifting to N.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 30-37. Wind N-NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Partial sun. Highs 42-49. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

SATURDAY: Partial sun, then cloudy. Chance of rain late day or at night. Highs 40-47. Wind variable becoming SE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 10-14)

Storm impacting the region with rain and possible mix/snow March 10 (rain favored at this point). Rain/snow showers possible as low pressure lifts away but upper level low pressure crosses the region during March 11. Drier pattern toward the middle of next week. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 15-19)

Potential unsettled weather favors early period, followed by a drying trend. Temperatures trend cooler.

71 thoughts on “Tuesday March 5 2024 Forecast (6:54AM)”

  10. Ocean temps have started rising. Block Island buoy is up around 42 degrees. Boston buoy about to rise to 40 degrees. Block Island buoy only got down to 39 degrees a few weeks ago.

    1. Boston Buoy never got below 39. Coldest I ever saw (I didn’t look every single day) was 39.5

      If my memory serves me correctly there was one Winter in the Early 70s I think where that buoy temperature got down to
      28! Yes 28!

      I remember taking a ride down to Nantasket Beach in HULL and as far as we could see from the beach, it was ICE.
      NEVER saw that in my life. It was incredible.

      Quincy Bay and Hingham bay were completely frozen over with thick Ice.

      Haven’t seen that since either.

      Typically this time of year that buoy temp at Boston Buoy would be something like 36-38 or so. In that area anyway.

  14. I remember the lean snow years in the late 70s into 80s. It signaled the start of many ski area closings. I am trying to find out total from the dec 9 1978 storm. There was thunder snow even into Boston. I wonder if that one storm made up the majority of snow that season.

    Question. How do I find yearly temperature averages for each year both in US and worldwide? Also, I’d like to find rain amounts by month. I seem to recall Harvey mentioned this period in his presentation. I need to relisten.

      1. Thank you. About twice that in Belmont and Lexington . Interesting that it was less than a half a foot in Boston with thunder snow.

        1. It was probably on the wetter side with the warmer ocean water at that point in the season.

          I’ll have to see if I put in my log book that I was keeping when I was 10 years old How much snow we got in Woburn.

          1. Makes sense. It poured all day. It switched to snow just after 4:00. Thunder snow was around 10:00. First time either of us had seen it. We watched over the Charles from the Hyatt Cambridge

  15. How much rain is expected to fall in metro west thru Sunday? As WXW noted, it’s good we don’t have a foot or two of snow melting at the same time. Thanks.

    1. 1 to 3 inches is a good reason-wide estimate.

      There may be a band of heavier rainfall.

      This will probably cause some river and stream flooding but it should not be severe. We’ve actually been dry three out of the last 5 months and without a big melting snowpack we can handle it for the most part.

    1. Could be some “frozen” mixed in with the wet second half of March as things look like they may want to trend cooler as the month moves on.

    3. I’m loving vicariously too. So please keep them coming.

      When kids, we would sled off the roof of my uncles ski cabin in Fryeburg ME. My SIL went off our roof in Framingham. Maybe in 2015.

      My eyes were dilated.. sorry for any typos

  22. On this date in 1960, the Mid Atlantic / Northeast was ending a 4-day major winter storm. 20 to 30 inches of snow fell across much of southeastern New England. Nantucket recorded 31.3 inches of snow from the event – its biggest snowstorm on record, and greater than Boston’s #1 snowstorm total.

    Snow map: https://scontent-bos5-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t39.30808-6/430987856_795498625936237_8438459366485509270_n.jpg?_nc_cat=106&cb=99be929b-b574a898&ccb=1-7&_nc_sid=3635dc&_nc_ohc=E30c_YSU93UAX-6gWJ_&_nc_ht=scontent-bos5-1.xx&oh=00_AfBZZUV8srAZ12Y3atl0UJ6AmiG9AO460iKaS1DmJVULJw&oe=65ECD1AD

    1. Cool
      Wondering why I don’t remember that one. I should remember it. Was it raging duringvthe evening? I do remember walking around the neighborhood l don’t know if that was it or not. there was a lot of snow. Maybe it was a later one? who knows. thanks for sharing.

  24. Within the Watch area, our confidence is highest in RI
    and SE MA. If we see the 4″ totals materialize, impacts in RI
    could rival those seen back in late December with widespread,
    significant urban flooding in Providence, Cranston, and Warwick.
    Of note is the Pawtuxet River which is presently forecast to
    crest near its moderate flood stage based upon 2-3″ of rain, but
    4″ within the basin would lead to greater impacts

    Heads up, North !

    1. Thanks. I don’t know what to believe from the models at this point. Canadian, Euro and GFS are more realistic with 1-3 inches. Some short term guidance is 3,5-5 down this way. Rivers down this way are already a foot higher from last Saturday’s rain and have only come down a tiny bit. I guess we watch and see where heavy bands set up.

      1. North, if we’ve learned anything, the way rain events have gone, I unfortunately think the higher amounts ARE the more realistic scenario

    1. Indeed it is. And the least expensive choice I have is 56/month. I was paying 35 for maybe six months. I’ll read your link. Tx.

      1. Adding. When I went to renew, I could not find a history of purchase or script. Not could the pharmacy or my pcp. Somehow it was erased from all of my records.

          1. One thoughts the price of Flovent was forced way down. Is this a way of just getting rid of it and moving to a more expensive choice.

          1. I don’t know about notes. That’s good question. But I changed PCPs. I do know when I was first prescribed the steroid inhaler. I’ll look. I’m watching a school committee meeting now so it may be tomorrow

  27. I find it interesting that Nantucket received 31.3” of snow from that March 1960 storm but Boston has yet to receive a 30+ inch event in its history.

    I would be curious though if, technically perhaps Boston did receive a 30-inch event before official records were kept. These days, Boston is lucky to experience a “3” inch event. 😉

    The way our climate is now rapidly changing, it’s highly unlikely I will live to see such an event. Oh well.

    2. We have to watch for an inverted trough that kicks off another low that can potentially whack the area with an arm of snowfall Sunday night or Monday – a wildcard right now.

      So it’s not so much “off the table” as we can’t talk in absolutes about a system that’s still more than a few days away.

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