Friday March 15 2024 Forecast (7:23AM)

47 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 15-19)

Low pressure moving through the region brought widespread overnight showers. The low moves off to the south and east today but an east to north wind behind it holds a lot of clouds in, and there could be additional passing rain showers and some drizzle into the afternoon before it dries out. Today will be considerably cooler than yesterday, especially over inland areas where it got into the 60s in many areas yesterday. The cooler coast yesterday will be cooler still today, but not as big a change there. A weak area of high pressure builds toward the region tonight into Saturday with dry weather for most areas most of the region through the day. However, the combination of sun’s heating, which will bubble up some clouds, and a little bit of convergence from a weak sea breeze vs. land breeze can help to pop a few rain showers mainly late in the day in the I-95 belt region. I would not cancel any outdoor plans based on this chance. High pressure shifts offshore Saturday night and a cold front quickly crosses the region Sunday morning and midday – this timing being a little faster than previously indicated. This brings clouds and the best chance of rain showers during the first half of Sunday, while the back half of the day looks dry and breezy with a sun/cloud mix. Early next week looks, mostly dry, windy and chilly behind intensifying Atlantic Canada low pressure with high pressure parked to our southwest. There may be a few passing rain or snow showers in the northwesterly air flow with cold air above us. We welcome spring with the vernal equinox at 11:06 p.m. EDT Tuesday (March 19).

TODAY: Cloudy through midday with additional the potential for additional rain showers and patches of drizzle. Mostly cloudy balance of afternoon. Highs 42-49. Wind E up to 10 MPH shifting to N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts later.

TONIGHT: Mostly to partly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. A possible light rain shower I-95 belt in the afternoon. Highs 46-53. Wind NW up to 10 MPH except onshore winds developing in coastal areas.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog mainly South Coast late. Lows 35-42 evening, rising slowly overnight. Wind variable up to 10 MPH, then S increasing to 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Cloudy with rain showers moving through during the morning. Clouds break for sun at times afternoon. Highs 48-55 South Coast, 55-62 elsewhere. Wind S 10-20 MPH, shifting to W from west to east.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 26-33. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. A passing brief rain or snow shower possible. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 28-35. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 42-49. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 20-24)

Weak system may bring unsettled weather (rain/snow chances) March 20. Generally fair March 21-22. Storm signal for March 23-24 weekend with rain/mix/snow potential. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 25-29)

Additional unsettled weather threats and variable temperatures in an active early spring weather pattern for late March.

47 thoughts on “Friday March 15 2024 Forecast (7:23AM)”

  5. Thanks TK. My son in law is attempting to climb Mt. Washington on the 23rd. Looks like the weather might not be so good.

  6. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2024031500&fh=237&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp&rh=2024031500&fh=216&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=

    Here is the 00z GFS and Euro in that day 7-10 day time period I posted about at the end of yesterday’s blog.

    First, this far out, major timing differences compared to yesterday’s 12z runs.

    And the GFS and Euro flipped. Yesterday at 12z the GFS was the colder of the 2 solutions, today the Euro is the colder one.

    In the big picture, even with those changes, I believe one thing is constant.

    There’s going to be a major temperature contrast somewhere near the northeast 7-10 days from now with storminess near that huge temperature gradient and I’m interested to see if we end up on the colder or warmer side of things.

  7. Thanks TK
    The past two days in CT have been a spring preview. To have a snowfall like the 0z EURO is projecting just over a week out to me is typical March. You get the spring tease and then winter says not so fast.

  8. Good morning and thank you tk.

    No matter what happens with the weather, spring will be here soon!

  9. For laughs The Farmers Almanac prediction for what the 0z EURO is showing next weekend.

    20th – 23rd
    A significant storm brings rain and snow as it moves north.

    Now that Farmers’ Almanac has spoken we could write off this storm threat as always go the opposite of what they say.

  11. Thanks TK and good morning from Palisades. All sunshine here but the winds were strong at higher elevations yesterday which closed some of the lifts near the Sierra crest. The wind gusted to 180 mph at Kirkwood overnight Wednesday and 118mph yesterday at the summit of Alpine while we were skiing. The areas we were skiing in at Palisades however were fine. Big difference in wind between 8200’ and 8800’ at the crest itself. Overall a good day and the scenery is spectacular. Fortunately winds look to diminish today and will be light tomorrow with highs near 50.

    1. I have no idea. I want to say Washington but think that is Peet’s area. I’ll go with NY simply because of its size and I think….and am probably wrong….DD is more of an NE US thing

      1. I first thought CT if not MA but then had same thought you did. Well actually first thought was WA but that’s because I’m a fan of Peet’s

  17. A year ago yesterday and today we had one of the most fascinating storms I’ve had the privilege of following….especially as part of WHW. TK…I didn’t know whether to laugh or cry as you patiently (for the most part 😉 ) repeated reminders of the forecast too many times to count. For anyone who wants to do as I just did and read the over 500 comments that day, hopefully this link will work. I won’t share Tom’s comment here without permission but it is at 9:30 pm. It is worth reading. I’ve not only read several times but saved it.

    https://www.woodshill.net/?p=15795

      1. Thank you JJ. It was crazy. We had steady rain in the morning while 7 miles from here still in sutton had 2 inches.

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