DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 3-7)
The key aspects of the upcoming storm, the main part of which occurs later today through early Thursday, will be wind and rain for southern and eastern areas and somewhat wind but mostly sleet and wet snow further west and north. The idea is generally the same for this as yesterday’s update, and that’s for the next round of precipitation (after last night’s entering and dissipating rainfall area) to arrive during this morning and midday from southwest to northeast and grow steady and moderate to at times heavy, with mixing and turning over to sleet and wet snow taking places earliest and most completely over interior higher elevations (mainly Worcester Hills to Monadnock Region) and progress generally but somewhat unevenly to the east from there, mostly the I-495 to I-95 belts to the north of I-90. The uneven advance will be due to mixing / changing occurring in heavier pockets of precipitation as they translate east and northeast. These pockets do a more efficient transport of colder air downward to aid in the process. I do think the track of a secondary low will be across far southeastern New England but close enough that the mix/change process can’t really take place further south, which is why I expect a mainly rain event with maybe some occasional mixing in these locations. As the low center moves away it will do so very slowly – held up a bit by blocking – during Thursday and Friday when we’ll have additional rain and snow showers. The wind aspect will be most notable tonight and early Thursday when we have the strongest gradient and onshore winds north of the low’s track. This can result in some damage to trees and scattered power outages. We’ll also have the chance to see some tree damage and power outages in the hilly terrain to the north and west where snow accumulates the most. With surface temperatures a little too warm to support icing, that won’t be a factor, and sleet does not generally lead to load problems for trees, so even where that accumulates it shouldn’t add much to the problems. For sleet/snow accumulation, I’m expecting 4-8 inches in the highest elevations of the Worcester Hills to Monadnocks, and in pockets further east in southern NH with 2-4 inches southeast of there into the the I-495 belt north of I-90, then pockets of slushy coatings to 2 inch amounts south and east of there but favoring inland areas north of I-90. Fast forward a little to the weekend when we’ll see gradual improvement as the low pressure area that is still impacting the region with clouds and a few rain showers Saturday will lose its grip Sunday when we will see better weather. Hang in there!
TODAY: Hint of sun eastern areas early, then re-thickening overcast. Rain arrives west to east, may mix with sleet and/or snow by later in the day over interior higher elevations northwest of Boston. Highs 40-47 early, then slowly falling. Wind NE-E 10-20 MPH, gusty.
TONIGHT: Overcast. Rain, heavy at times, will mix with and turn to sleet/snow at times favoring north central MA and southern NH. Lows 33-40. Wind E-NE 10-20 MPH inland, 20-30 MPH coast, higher gusts.
THURSDAY: Cloudy. Steady precipitation tapers to rain/snow showers. Highs 38-45, may spike to 45-52 Cape Cod. Wind NE-N 10-20 MPH inland, 20-30 MPH coast but may become variable Cape Cod, higher gusts probable.
THURSDAY NIGHT / FRIDAY: Mainly cloudy with additional rain/snow showers. Temperatures generally steady 38-45. Wind variable becoming N 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT / SATURDAY: Lots of clouds. A few rain/snow showers Friday night and a few rain showers Saturday. Lows 30-37 Friday night. Highs 41-48 Saturday. Wind N-NW 10-20 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 8-12)
High pressure and fair weather April 8-9. Favorable sky conditions expected for solar eclipse viewing on April 8 (partial but greater than 90% coverage for WHW forecast areas while path of totality crosses far northern New England). Unsettled weather potential returns mid into late period. Temperatures near to above normal.
DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 13-17)
A more west-to-east flow means variable temperatures and weaker weather systems to pass through, including a couple rain shower threats to start. May need to watch for a return to some blocking later on in the period with onshore flow and cooler weather.
Thanks TK !
Good morning and thank you TK.
https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/stationhome.html?id=8443970
Will be watching this tomorrow morning.
With some light E and NE wind, the tide is 1 ft above the expected level.
3-3.5 ft storm surge is no joke. It might be an interesting 6:30-9:30am tomorrow morning along the coast.
Thanks TK. General 1-2 inches of rain for most areas sound right?
well, isn’t this a surprise. With each run of the HRRR, the SLEET
is delayed more.
What once looked like 10-12 hours of solid sleet for Boston, may end up only a few hours or perhaps none at all. Figures.
Oh well, onto Cleveland. BRING ON SPRNG!!!!
9Z run has sleet by 2Z (previous runs by 0Z)
10Z by 4Z
11Z by 5 Z
you see the trend. 🙂
Cincinnati
Ok, does it matter? 🙂
Hey I got the “C” correct? 🙂 🙂 🙂
Thanks TK.
And the RAIN Cometh!!!
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
43 here in JP. I wonder how much that will fall off once the rain begins? We shall see. 🙂
Thank you, TK!
Did someone tip Pete off to the Holden challenge and 3 being the magic number?. While his hour by hour forecast last night was great, At about 2:99 he mentions “places like Holden”and that area might see the 3 🙂 🙂
This link from last night may just go to an updated nbc10 forecast so you may have to take my word for it.
https://x.com/nbc10boston/status/1775363786318164139?s=46&t=neG9xl79s_BtNQXSGBlqLQ
🙂 🙂 🙂
We have sleet!
What’s your temp, Ace.
41 degrees and falling
Wow. We have rain at 40 degrees.
As soon as that batch of rain lightens up, it will likely be rain. Would be interesting to see IF it remains Sleet
when the precip lightens.
I’ve seen SLEET falling at 50 degrees. Much easier for sleet
to make it through warmer surface temps than snow flakes, that’s for sure.
Thanks JPD. Makes sense
Already! WELL THAT WASN’T MODELED!!!!!!
FIRST SURPRISE!!!!! DING DING DING you win a prize!!!!
Thank you TK!
Sleet in Wellesley needham area too
🙂
Does sleet count as snow or rain. Or just sleet?
I believe anything frozen counts toward accumulation.
Thanks Ace. I was thinking that but just wasn’t sure.
Yes, exactly. And technically if we were to have a massive
hail storm in July, that too would count as frozen (ie in the snow totals) 🙂
NOTHING here just yet.
Ace, still sleeting down your way?
I’d say 75% rain now with a few sleet pellets. Intensity has let up a little even though that doesn’t quite match up with the radar
Interesting to note, my temp keep steadily dropping
We had sleet for a short spurt a few minutes ago. Now some sleet mixed in. Unlike Ace, my Temp is steady at 40
Thanks TK.
44 here and still NOTHING
39 now but not the steady drop ace is seeing. I checked with both the kestrel and Nws and 39 it is. Still hearing a few pings.
Hingham reporting…
44 degrees and pinging little sleet.
Kind of wavering between rain and pinging.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fhd7FfGCdCo
I knew what it would be before clicking it lol
Eight years ago today we had some nice snow
https://ibb.co/kDL3SBd
Sleet falling at onset is a live example of the “marginal/complex” part of the temperature profile I’ve mentioned.
It sure is!! Didn’t expect that. How will that translate to the rest
of the event, if at all?
Likely to go to rain and then later , perhaps back to sleet
and N&W, snow.
Cool. Thank you, Sir
Back to primarily sleet as the intensity picked up.
I’m more sleet here than I thought. Still at 39. Sound should work
https://streamable.com/jtp4t2
Still sleet here and temp went from 44 to 42
I forget where you are located. And I forgot to say SE Sutton for me
Had some sleet in Plymouth also.
Yay Plymouth.
Coming down fairly hard too
Looking at latest obs, temps are lowering where there is precip
Took this shot of temps around my area at 11:01. Closest to me has 38 now so I expect my temp to drop to that fairly soon.
https://streamable.com/jtp4t2
Oops. Wrong link. Sorry
https://ibb.co/zVnVYdv
Thanks Tk . Going to be a wild night with the wind & rain .!!!
Or sleet
My mom is reporting sleet in Whitman also.
Precip is lighter raining now
And back to sleet…temp hasn’t budged but definitely feels colder now.
38 here now in Sharon. Started the morning at 44 and since the onset of precip has fallen and continues
https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/KBOX_loop.gif
all these sleet reports explain the yellows on the radar, as the radar signal reflects differently off of a sleet pellet than it does off a raindrop.
System looks really disorganized. Is a secondary coastal low supposed to take shape somewhere?
Look down towards NYC Upton radar, precip beginning to blossom in that vicinity.
Today can have breaks in the precip, the main, heavier batch is tonight til just after midnight.
Thanks Tom!
Thanks Tom
SLEET FEST in JP. TEMP 43. 🙂
Yay. Go JP
14Z HRRR shows 1 inch of QPF as SLEET.
That could be 1-2 inches of SLEET!!!
YET Kuchera snow shows next to nothing for Boston???
Maybet the Kuchera algorithm doesn’t handle sleet very well???
🙂
HRRR is NOT showing the current SLEET at all
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2024040315&fh=1&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Precip has lightened up and now NOT seeing anymore sleet.
Just raining LIGHTLY despite what that radar looks like. 🙂
Main slug of precipitation doesn’t come in until 9PM or so
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2024040314&fh=11&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Sleet in West Newton. I just got a slight mouthful while walking from the car to my destination.
Jean how did it taste
Cold! Good! 🙂
Snowing lightly at Killington
https://www.killington.com/the-mountain/webcams/mountain/north-ridge-cam
Nothing in North Conway yet but love seeing cranmore in the background
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0087_radar_thumb.gif
This tornado watch is almost to southern NJ
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0087.html
Plenty of energy for this system. How much will it deliver here is the question.
Indeed.
Well, were used to 1-2 inches of QPF.
I’m worried about the wind. We’ve had stronger to much stronger wind, but, its going to be a decent wind along the coast for probably 12 hrs prior to the high tide tomorrow right up thru high tide. I’m concerned about this being a larger coastal flood event than projected.
Indeed, could be. We shall see tomorrow AM.
Let’s see HOW rapidly that secondary deepens.
That’ll make all the difference.
More on the way….
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KOKX/standard
WPC surface map
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/90fwbg.gif
The one thing the models, I think, really got wrong 3-4 days ago was the strength of the upper 500 mb feature, as it goes over us.
3-4 days ago, the projection was for the low to still strengthen past Cape Cod and hit its lowest pressure north and northeast of us.
No longer, it looks to hit max intensity around eastern Long Island to as it crosses SE Mass.
At 500mb, I remember seeing 500 mb heights around 519-522 dm three to four days ago, now, the heights are more like 528 dm, so, the 500 mb feature isnt as strong, in fact, its weakening a bit. Thats why the low slowly now weakens as it moves off SE Mass.
But, that the low reaches max intensity from eastern LI to crossing SE Mass increases my concern for flooding tomorrow morning at 7-8am. In addition to a strong easterly low level jet, the lowering pressure in eastern Mass should also add a few inches of rise to the ocean level to combine with the wind’s surge increase.
Maybe a gap headed to this area? Or does it fill in?
https://streamable.com/two5tl
There are some gaps for sure 🙂
There is also increasing lift overhead, so the gaps may fill in with more precip as time goes by.
Thank you, Tom
Sounds like sleep here on the windows.
Play on words?
Ha yes lack thereof:). Sleet
🙂
I was just outside. doing NOTHING here. Sidewalk beginning to dry off. 🙂
Your issues tonight will be lots of rain & wind & . I’m hoping I do not loose power tonight as I absolutely hate when that happens . But with the ground as soft as it is & add old trees & wind it’s not good .
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfcwind_mslp&rh=2024040312&fh=24&r=ca_e&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=sfcwind_mslp&rh=2024040312&fh=24&r=ca_e&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=sfcwind_mslp&rh=2024040312&fh=24&r=ca_e&dpdt=&mc=
The signal is on every model.
Nothing extraordinary in the individual numbers, no 70+ mph.
But, the size of the wind field (the fetch) is massive, because there’s a decent difference in pressure btwn the low and the high in eastern Canada.
All that water is being pushed to the east coast and its established for the whole 6 hrs the tide is coming in, up to 7:40am.
Matt Noyes new website. I can’t get it to load on my phone or iPad but that may well be my nasty Wi-Fi service This was on FB
“A little quicker than we planned, but it’s perfectly ironic that active weather forced our hand! The new website is live – a basic first version but already a clearinghouse for our weather info at https://1degreeoutside.com. The app is still in build-out but is coming along, our team has already been testing the first beta version. A few videos are up on the site for the incoming storm and you can follow on Facebook at 1Degree Outside!“
I just saw this on fb! I can’t get the site to load either but the fb page is up and running!
I saw you liked it. I’m really excited for them.
Ah ha. It is because the server is too busy. Good news
Here’s a link to his latest video on this storm on the YouTube channel
https://youtu.be/Sc5uwk-yVMs?si=4xS0TR1vAmlQnaRl
Fascinating.
TK, I remember in the past you’ve mentioned something big was in the works for this blog. Was what Matt and Danielle set up something that you have been wanting to do for a while? If it is, I think it’s an excellent idea! It’s the future of getting accurate weather information to the public IMO
There is already a somewhat working app related to this blog. And there are other things that I had planned to do for additional usage. Unfortunately I had to put a lot of that on hold with my brother’s stroke and subsequent rehab and moving to assisted living and then my mother’s ongoing health issues that she is adjusting from now. Hopefully I can move back in that direction soon!
Re: Matt’s new website.
I was able to load that on my Desktop computer with no issues.
GREAT technical discussion.
I have book marked that site for sure!
And I have a feeling I will be visiting often, most especially during
the Winter and Severe Thunder Storm Season. 🙂
I got it loaded too. I suspect the person who said the server was overwhelmed at the start was correct. I’ve added it to my Home Screen weather folder
Radar “appears” to be filling in much like Tom predicted. 🙂
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
17Z HRRR gets the SLEET quite a way SOUTH
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2024040317&fh=10&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Thanks, TK.
We are back up to 41.
A video of the shaking in Taipei as the earthquake hit
https://x.com/jreineron7/status/1775321369636483295?s=61
I was just sitting in a drive-thru line waiting for some coffee as the heavier band was passing over my area here in Woburn, and I am noticing some wicked phat phlakes mixing in with the rain.
Oh I LOVE THIS!!!!!
Keep em coming.
Got Matt’s new site to load up and the layers on the left hand navigation are working. Have to play around with it tonight. It doesn’t look like it’s ready for prime time on iPhone yet.
Raining lightly here. A few minutes ago, when it was a little heavier I saw “some” sleet coming down with it. 🙂
18Z HRRR has SLEET in Boston from 7PM to about 5 or 6AM when it about quits anyway. HOW much sleet will accumulate?
here is a good slug of pretty heavy SLEET
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2024040318&fh=12&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Temp (about 35 in Boston)
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2024040318&fh=12&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
WOW! I am notoriously BAD with the links.
Sorry for the repeat. Here are surface temps at the same
time:
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=sfct-imp&rh=2024040318&fh=12&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Looking pretty nice at Killington
https://www.killington.com/the-mountain/webcams/mountain/north-ridge-cam
Snowing at Waterville, but not that hard.
https://www.waterville.com/cams-base
Nice !
Even up there temps are marginal. It will be a heavy wet snow. Getting dry slotted at the moment.
The thermometer may say 40F, but it feels like it’s 10F out.
That’s the worst cold, raw wind of the entire cold season.
Went right thru me 🙁
🙂 Yeah I was out for a bit and even felt that here. 🙂
We still have a few ice pellets mixed in with the rain.
I just walked the kestrel outside and I sure agree. And cold rarely gets to me
Norton NWS discussion updated.
Btwn onshore wind and lowering pressure, they are suggesting a 3.5 ft surge in their coastal flooding section toward the bottom of the overall discussion.
For comparison, the Jan 2018 bomb had a 4 ft surge and that was a problem on the south shore and even in Boston.
3.5 ft is a big surge. I feel like most events fall btwn 2 and 3 ft.
Still just rain here. Just not heavy enough. We’ll see what happens when the next heavier batch moves in, if there is one?
Looking over 12z stuff for current & upcoming …
Thanks TK! I love how so many especially Tom and JPDave are so on top of this storm. Week 15 of winter – will this be the grand finale of the parade of storms we have had this year? My sump pump certainly hopes so.
This particular weather pattern is probably nearing its end.
April 8th will make up for it all! I will be in Vermont as well
T & JPD are always fun to watch indulge in their weather / model watching hobby. 🙂
Sometimes it becomes its own little show here. 😉
Agree and I love every minute. Often mark joins in too.
Yes absolutely, Mark too! I only left him out because he’s an Islanders fan. 😉 Actually the Islanders have been my 2nd favorite hockey team since the 1970s. 🙂
Go Isles!
Hey now, be easy on them….they are scratching and clawing to get back into that last playoff spot!
🙂 🙂
🙂 🙂 🙂
Well, that was easy. No changes in the above discussion for the current and upcoming weather.
Still like the weather for eclipse viewing on Monday April 8.
Somebody makes a run at a high of 70 (away from the ocean’s influence) April 9 or 10.
Rain seems like it’s starting to pickup but no winds yet
Wind advisory/warning is from 8:00 pm tonight until 2:00 PM tomorrow per NWS.
And my best met said worst from midnight till 9:00.
Winds at 16mph here in Padanaram along Buzzards Bay but blowing at 35 on south shore of Queens, NYC . Worst is still to come
New coastal low forming around the DC/ Baltimore area.
https://ibb.co/Xyx71cX
I think Pete has the colder air a little further south than Eric at this point … basing this on projected accumulations.
pete seemed worried lsst night.
I think he was cocerned we’d end up with a s**t show.
Sleet show? 😉
Hahahahahahaha
The whole issue with cold air in this kind of set up is it doesn’t come from the north, or any compass direction. It comes from upstairs. And that doesn’t really lead to rain/snow lines in the conventional sense. Yes, you can still have a thermal boundary that appears as a conventional rain/snow line, but you can also have intensity-driven rain/snow splotches. For example, it could be snowing like crazy in one city/town, and the next town to the north could be raining with lighter intensity precipitation. This is why these situations have such high surprise and/or forecast bust potential.
Still just rain here. No sleet that I can see. However, temp is down to 39.
Sign of things to come????
Charlie hole moving in
https://ibb.co/hsCsTL3
Is this red accurate over Scituate and Marshfield area. Or another radar trick
https://streamable.com/ixm4e2
The mode got switched in the last frame. There is probably some sleet mixed in there with intensity, but sometimes the radar will paint it as a broader area than it is.
That’s what I was wondering. Thank you.
Got a gust of 26.5 in last 20 minutes
Just went on a recon mission to Princeton center.
Data:
(~6 miles north of me)
Me: ~900′ , 35F, rain/sleet mix
Them: ~1,300′, 34F, sleet/rain
Alas, I’ve found something that might be a bit of a surprise factor…
There’s a batch of potent thunderstorms from northern NJ into the NYC area. This translates east northeast through the evening. Some of this elevated convection survives across southern CT, RI, and southeastern MA, and may result in a couple hours of a sleet-fest with potential accumulation across eastern CT, RI, southeastern MA, up to Boston. Watch closely. Lightning & thunder may also accompany this.
Pete mentioned it would be interesting to have thunder mixed with sleet. He said could reach cape. I’d like it to reach sutton
My son and daughter are in NYC and are reporting loud claps of thunder along with shore of NYC
South
Nice
Still gusting to 26. I won’t put kestrel into middle of back yard after dark. That is where the coyote hangs out most nights. I may be brave and stand in front steps
36F with a mix of rain and sleet here in Coventry CT. Wind is roaring and the sleet pellets are pinging against the window. We’ve got a slushy coating on the deck.
Includes Holden…. 🙂
…WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING
TO 8 AM EDT FRIDAY…
* WHAT…Heavy snow and sleet expected. Total snow and sleet
accumulations of 2 to 8 inches with the higher of those totals
confined to the highest terrain of the Worcester Hills near the
Hampshire border. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph.
* WHERE…Northern Worcester and Northern Middlesex Counties.
* WHEN…From 8 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Friday.
* IMPACTS…Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous
conditions could impact the evening commute as well as the
Thursday morning commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree
branches.
Forecast near the Holden/Princeton line at just shy of 900′ elevation:
Tonight: Rain and sleet before 2am, then rain and snow between 2am and 5am, then rain after 5am. Low around 32. Windy, with an east wind 22 to 26 mph, with gusts as high as 46 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.
Thursday: Rain before 8am, then snow. High near 36. Windy, with a northeast wind 16 to 26 mph, with gusts as high as 43 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
Thursday Night: Snow likely, mainly before 9pm. Cloudy, with a low around 30. Northwest wind 9 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.
Friday: slight chance of snow showers before 9am, then a slight chance of rain and snow showers between 9am and 10am, then a chance of rain showers after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. Northwest wind 9 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible.
Nailbiter
It’s really hysterical. Eric and Pete both have you on a 3” line. Either they know something or Mother Nature is playing too
I wonder if they lurk on here and they’re messing with me
Hmmmmm that is a curious thought. When pete mentioned Holden last night I wondered a bit
I hear a bit of pinging on my window pane. 37 now. Low for the day here
Pete did say the cold air was being drawn down and not being swept in by northerly winds. The situation, IMHO, is somewhat fluid and I think he has been staying on top of this one.
On a personal note, I can do without any sleet accretion.
He did indeed. And I am not a fan of accumulating sleet either
JR
https://x.com/jreineron7/status/1775661543822152115?s=61
Thanks TK
Very hard to predict these dynamic systems that drag cold air down. Notorious for blown forecasts. Wife is up in Maine and it appears like a solid 12–18 inches.
MIL is still holding on, has been unconscious since Thursday with no fluids or food. She’s clearly holding on, but it’s having a serious toll on the family. We all are hoping this ends soon.
Oh Hadi That truly is difficult for all. I am so very sorry.
Thanks. It’s really something, that long with no fluids or food and she’s still alive. Large doses of Morphine hourly, hoping that helps move things along.
Very sorry to hear Hadi.
So sorry Hadi.
Thoughts for everyone Hadi.
Thanks, TK
0.27″ but absolutely pouring now. 39 degrees.
For Jean…..we are having sheets of sleet right now
🙂 🙂
Is it too early to say I’m not impressed by this system??
Maybe. I think everyone in the know has said worst will be overnight. But truthfully, the same folks had the major portion up north. I hoped for more here but didn’t really expect it
But take that all with a grain of salt please.
Yeah it will get its act together overnight.
Yes, I think so. Could be rough around the midnight hour.
Sleet here and 37.
Looks as if snow is starting in North Conway
https://whitemountains.tv/live-cam-north-conway-village-nh/
They are right in ground zero for this storm.
Absolutely 0 wind here in pembroke , raining but not hard .
Give it a bit longer….it is roaring here.
I know the deal I just watched wankum , boy what a great job he did on this storm & actually all winter .
Generally ann easy winter to predict storm wise. We knew the outcome 99% of the time.
I know you don’t watch anyone else so might not know that every one of our Mets has been on the same page.
But this is where I absolutely believe kudos for our own TK are very much in order.
Oh I watch them all & quite frankly don’t care for any of the TVs Mets outside of ch5. Tk is # 1 on the list .
🙂
Mark just no power issues as I hate that
Nws has you gusting into the teens.
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F7439&hours=72
I can assure you I had just come I had just come in from the yard there was 0 wind .
Stupid phone
Interesting, wind is increasing in Halifax. Maybe you have some sort of divine wind protection. Certainly not horrible here but also not “zero” wind,
I must be a liar Sue .
Not saying that but I can assure you there is wind two miles from your house. Again, not horrible, but also not zero.
I’m not saying there is no wind anywhere . My statement was when I had come in from the yard there was 0 wind in pembroke !!! No need to explain it any further. I understand the forecast & I know it’s going to be a wind driven rain storm tonight .
Didn’t ask you to explain further, just added what I am seeing in the next town over.
🙂
Channel 3 in Hartford just reported a 65 mph wind gust in Greenwich and also showed a shot from Colebrook (Litchfield County) where the ground is completely white from sleet accumulation.
One of the Mets….could have need Matt N …was worried about southern CT coast.
Thunder snow, or more accurately, thunder sleet in Rutland just now.
Wow. I am jealous. Enjoy
.5 here so far. Good luck to those on the coast tonight with the wind and the coastal flooding tomorrow morning.
And good luck to you, North.
Thanks. Hoping for a drier pattern to commence for all of us.
Indeed !
36 and .45 here as of 8:30
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KOKX/standard
Hey I got the answer to the jeopardy question for the last name of the person who sang “if you could read my mind”
And if only you could
Any one want to make a guess. Although I know we may be having too much fun with the storm. As it should be
Great Canadian singer, who passed rather recently.
Edmund Fitzgerald song also, carefree highway and more.
Enjoyed that category tonight.
Indeed he did. Love his music. I am just watching now and was hoping you were. I tend to talk out loud …well, Mac and I played for years so I am in the habit. And sometimes he still beats me ❤️. Anyway, lots of math and my comment was Tom would know these answers
I got 3 of the 5 🙂 🙂 🙂
Very nice Tom.
A favorite of mine. 🙂
I’m thinking I’ll play one of his albums before bed tonight.
Wind picking up here along Buzzards Bay – up to 25 sustained – curious if thunderstorms over Long Island hold together and make it to this area
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16§or=ne&band=09&length=24
If you look at the clouds/moisture around PA and Buffalo, you can see the wind aloft is moving towards the northwest.
If you look at the clouds/moisture around Cape Cod, you can see the wind aloft is moving towards the northeast.
That’s a tremendous evacuation of air aloft that has to be replaced.
And it is, from below in the column through tremendous air rising. It’s no wonder there’s convection down around Long Island.
I know TK likes hockey and for others who like hockey, I think it was rangers / devils maybe …. Anyhow they dropped the puck to start the game and in 2 seconds, five fights happened. Multiple game misconducts.
You don’t see much fighting in the NHL anymore. But sometimes you’ll have this. It’s a “making a statement” game about the upcoming playoffs.
There was a Bruins game in which that happened once. I can’t remember who we were playing but if SAK is reading this I bet he has the answer by memory.
I’m thinking he’ll know the other team.
I can probably cheat and find a YouTube video of it. 🙂
Also regarding the Rangers / Devils. I’d be willing to bet that they kind of pre-planned it during pregame warmups. There’s a whole strategy to that kind of thing in hockey. Most of the time it’s just between the 2 tough guys or enforcers on each team. You’ll see them chat a bit before a faceoff then drop them … 95% of the time these battles are used to fire a team up who might be trailing in a game, or “send a message” about a play someone was unhappy about, or maybe as I said regarding the upcoming playoffs.
There are probably occasions where the combatants meet after the game to ask how each others families are doing. 😉
Interesting.
Like a Shawn Thornton on the 2010s Bruins.
He was one of our better enforcers. 🙂
They are wisely treating our roads.
Definitely windy and rainy here.
No one is accusing you of lying SSK, but again it can’t be zero wind. And yes Wankum got this one right, but like I said above pretty straightforward winter. We get excited and talk snow but doesn’t mean it’s what we would forecast if it mattered. And most Mets did a great job this winter.
Wankum actually does a disservice to folks buy posting raw model numbers. I get messages all the time from friends asking about his forecast when he does that. Confuses the crap out of people.
No comment for you !!!
lol you still sour? Please.
You know exactly what you are doing.
Hmmmm, but this a comment.
Ha love it.
Sleet and 38 degrees now here in Taunton.
Prayers and peace for your mother-in-law, you and your family, Hadi.
Well, Boston tide guage showing water levels currently at +2 ft (8.94 vs expected 6.97 ft)
Tide currently going out to low around 1:30 am and high at 7:40 am tomorrow morning.
With 10 more hours of slightly stronger wind and a bigger fetch, I think that 3-3.5 ft surge is going to verify on a 9.8 ft tide which brings it somewhere btwn 12.8 and 13.3 ft. 14 ft Boston tides are the monster, destructive tides but a little either side of 13 ft is pretty impressive too.
Wind is howling with SLEET pinging off of everything. It’s bouncing all over the place. 🙂
Same here. It’s pinging everywhere. Did you see the HRRR has cold layer everywhere? Wonder if there are nah surprises to come…. My GUT tells me no :).
You should head to Pembroke. 🙂
It has been accumulating on our Window sills and deck. I brought in an Amazon package that was coated in ice.
The 0Z HRRR has a 53-knot wind gust in Boston at 7 am and 62 knots offshore at Provincetown.
Sleeting all the way down to Taunton Captain?
Wankum’s futurecast showed all rain.
Are you sure you aren’t just hearing things?
With the heavier elements we have gotten sleet here too. Some piled up on bottom of car windshield.
Oh I believe you, I am just being sarcastic. 🙂
🙂
Nope, saw it, too, Mark.
0.57 and down to 36 in SE sutton. I don’t know how my rain gauge does with sleet. I do know it is always the same as Nws reports here. Although I think Nws wind reports are very low. I’m seeing reports on wunder similar to the ones I’ve had.
It should do OK with the sleet. It’s pretty much 1:1 on the ratio.
Perfect. Thank you.
Here is Wankum’s Futurecast for 10pm (basically now). He showed this four hours ago on the 6pm news.
https://imgur.com/a/miyKMBA
The verification score on the precip type in many areas is quite low. Widespread sleet occurring where heavy rain is depicted on that map.
Yeah he clearly didn’t get this one right. My bad in saying that above. It was more that it wasn’t going to be a snowstorm here.
.66 and 37.2 here in JP
Another burst of pretty intense sleet in Woburn at the moment. It doesn’t accumulate much due to the warmer surface temp. But There’s a really cold layer just above. Above that is more warm air which is melting the snow that this precipitation is originating as. Talk about a complex lower atmospheric temperature profile…
Here too.
Whiteout on the Jordan 8 cam at Sunday River, ME:
https://youtu.be/AtXgvVaqy88
Spring skiing!
We’re heading up to Sugarloaf the weekend of the 20th. It’s pond skimming weekend which is always fun to watch. They are nearly 100% open going into this storm with up to two feet projected. I think despite the warming temps next week, there is going to be plenty of terrain still open by then.
Tom are you hearing window plinks? Marshfield observation is indicating ice pellets are mixed in.
I hadn’t given a lot of thought to sleet. I’d rather snow. But there is something comforting about the sound of sleet on the window.
I love the sound. 🙂
❤️
I have always loved wind and rain. I’m sure enjoying tonight
HRRR model actually had the sleet pockets shown all the way into Plymouth County. It is verifying. Several reports of it there now. This may continue in bursts overnight due to the elevated convection. Meanwhile a pseudo dry slot further N & W may shut things down for a while before a redevelopment occurs.
It’s straight rain
I said “pockets”. I didn’t say every square inch of the county was covered in sleet. Here’s the fact: There has been sleet reported in the county. The HRRR forecast it – correctly.
Mount Wachusett Webcams:
https://www.wachusett.com/the-mountain/media-center/webcams/
Click on the “Look Mom” webcam. It looks like it is snowing hard there. This is not too far from Retrac.
Not a lot more than maybe an inch-ish coating in North Conway.
Yikes on look mom!
Looking at the trail map, the top of Look Mom is about 1600’ while the base lodge is at 1000’. Doesn’t look like it is snowing as much (or perhaps it is more sleet) at the base area.
It’s ripping wind blown sleet again here. 35F.
Makes sense. Thank Mark.
Hail vs sleet from Eric. And one of many reasons Eric is exceptional
https://x.com/ericfisher/status/1775678955971846434?s=61
Don’t look now, but that “sucky” Red Sox have started the season 5-2 so far on a West Coast road trip. 🙂
I stood in the open door for a bit. Said a prayer for my niece (who is at six cm after 24 hours) and her babies and just marveled at the wonder of Mother Nature. We have a sleet layer on several surfaces.
https://streamable.com/nbg33m
Still praying Vicki!
I am listening to the wind and starting to see posts on Facebook about power outages in this area. Hope our power stays on!
Thank you, Sue
Oh no. I hope your power stays on too.
❤️
Continued prayers.
❤️
Thank you both so much.
They are treating our roads a second time
Sleet accumulating here .. up to 0.3 inch. Everything is grey/white.
Grass cars deck etc covered here.
Boston has turned over to straight sleet, falling moderately.
I guess that’s Boston’s last “frozen” precipitation event of this dreadful winter season 2023-24. Oh well. At least I got to experience it firsthand as I got home from work just before 1:00 am. It’s just too bad it wasn’t daytime when I could have enjoyed watching it fall.
A veritable SLEET FEST!!!
Btw, I did see sleet at the onset earlier yesterday afternoon for about a couple minutes before it switched to plain rain.
A lot of places started as sleet which was a bit of a surprise to me.
I had a brief period where wet snow mixed in mid afternoon. I did a lot of sleet/rain mixing earlier now it’s just been pounding ice pellets and accumulating.
Unless they have another one. GFS actually shows that potential later this month. 😉
I have had nothing but sleet for hours and hours. All grass surfaces completely coated.
High tide is at about 7:45 AM, but somehow I am not seeing myself taking a shore walk this morning. Could be treacherous.
Between the high waves and surge, it’s not going to be safe. If you do be careful Longshot.
Saw several lightning flashes in the southwestern sky a short time ago. Didn’t hear any thunder though.
Unable to sleep and wow the sleet is pounding and accumulating on the car and non pavement. So much for Wankum and 5 being right bc they didn’t forecast this. Good call WHW team.
Can’t sleep either. Well I did sleep from about 3 till 5;30.
Sorry I missed your question above, TK
At that time, I didn’t hear any sleet.
Earlier in the day, there was sleet from around 11am to 4pm.
Boston harbor buoy at +2.83 ft (8.05 vs 5.22 ft expected)
(Per tidal guage)
Lots of school delays and cancellations, especially north and west as would be expected. Some that are open have no transportation service.
Listened to 2 TV met forecasts so far this AM. Unbelievably, channel 4 did not use the word “sleet” even once. Both mentioned end-of-day wrap around/backlash snow showers. This one was tough to call on timing and precip types in Boston.
Very windy and gusty here.
I heard bz too. He did say sleet mixing in Boston once but I was also surprised that he didn’t focus more on the sleet accumulation.,,,enough that we are plowing it here. Although I have no idea if some of what he’s plowing is snow on top of sleet. It was definitely an odd forecast
I don’t know who he is. Jason ??
Jason Michel. It was strange!
And now I am seeing snowflakes.
Wind is ferocious and has been. The house is rattling.
2″ of packed sleet and snow. It’s as dense as my basement slab.
I really want to walk the shore … but common sense is getting in the way!
I’d want to also. But you are wise to wonder. Please be safe
Boston Harbor at +3.16 ft (11.46 vs 8.3 ft)
+3.22 ft (11.83 vs 8.61)
1.98 here in JP
Waking up to light snow and no power.
Oh no JJ. Missed seeing you here yesterday.
It was a busy day yesterday.
Coating of snow right now
I am literally living on the rain/sleet/snow line. I have seen 2 types of precip at once and wondering if I saw all 3 at once.
It feels even colder than yesterday. 🙁
When’s the first 90F day ??
12.71 vs 9.51 (+ 3.2 ft)
.29 ft left to rise on the actual tide itself over the next 33 minutes.
Logan is over to snow.
Is it my imagination, or have we seen more strong winds in the last several months than normal? I can’t remember a time when so much stuff has constantly be strewn about our yard.
We’ve had some good wind events, but nothing really outrageous. In fact 2023 was one of the least-windy years on record. A bit different 2024 so far.
New weather post…