Monday April 15 2024 Forecast (7:14AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 15-19)

Three nice days together? Yes. This is going to be true. Today finishes up a holiday weekend for many people, and it’s a traditionally big spring day for our area with Patriots Day activities, the Boston Marathon, and the Red Sox hosting a late morning first pitch. And unless you are a marathon runner who likes it cooler than the 60s, it’s going to be a pretty perfect April day as high pressure builds in with fair, milder weather. Just watch for muddy pathways on unpaved surfaces if you’re trekking about outside, due to abundant rainfall in recent weeks. High pressure holds control through Tuesday, except a cooler center in eastern Canada will start to take over, and this will keep the next round of unsettled weather at bay through most of Wednesday, when we’ll just see an increase in cloudiness ahead of the next system. The wet weather threat from that holds off until Wednesday night or Thursday as a warm front approaches and a wave of low pressure forms on it, but the large scale pattern may hold this system far enough south that we never really even get into any appreciable rainfall from it. And this leads to a Friday forecast uncertainty – does the low, or its remains, drift back to the north as the pattern shifts a bit, or does it just keep on getting pushed away. As of today I’m opting for the former scenario, but this is far from certain, so check future updates.

TODAY: Clouds exit RI & southeastern MA early. Patchy clouds with plenty of sun otherwise. Highs 63-70, warmest interior valleys, and cooler Cape Cod. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts this afternoon.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 45-52. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 58-65, coolest coast. Wind shifting to N then NE 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 43-50. Wind NE under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 56-63, coolest coast. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT / THURSDAY: Cloudy. Chance of drizzle favoring eastern coastal areas. Chance of rain favoring southern coastal areas. Temperatures fall to 48-55 then hold nearly steady. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT / FRIDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain showers and drizzle. Lows 48-55. Highs 55-62. Wind E becoming variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 20-24)

Cold front swings through April 20 with rain showers at some point that day. Fair, cool, breezy weather expected as Canadian high pressure slides through the Great Lakes April 21. The April 22-24 period leaves us cool but also vulnerable to low pressure to our south that we’ll have to keep an eye on for potential impact.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 25-29)

The pattern heading down April’s home stretch looks cool to start, milder to finish, and trends drier.

62 thoughts on “Monday April 15 2024 Forecast (7:14AM)”

    1. Very much so. I love this series! I’m living more and more on YouTube as the years go by. HAHA

  7. Well the weather predictions by myself and SAK are above.

    Now it’s time to do a little predicting of marathon results.

    Wheelchairs…
    A Swiss sweep. Marcel Hug for the men, Manuela Schär the women. Men’s wheelchair racer Daniel Romanchuk will finish top three. Keep an eye on Johnboy Smith from Britain. Paralympic champion Madison De Rosario will finish top three for women’s wheelchair. Keep an eye on Eden Rainbow Cooper from Britain.

    Men’s elite runners…
    1st: Gabriel Geay (Tanzania)
    2nd: Albert Korir (Kenya)
    3rd: Zouhair Talbi (Morocco)
    Last year’s winner Evans Chebet will finish 4th.
    Meb Keflezighi will be running the race exactly 10 years after he became the first American man to win it in three decades. He won’t win today but it will be great to see him out there.

    Women’s elite runners…
    1st: Ababel Yeshaneh (Ethiopia)
    2nd: Judith Korir (Kenya)
    3rd: Emma Bates (USA)
    Last year’s winner Hellen Obiri will finish 4th.

    1. 45 minutes into the women’s wheelchair race and my darkhorse Eden Rainbow Cooper has a 1 minute lead over my pick to win… Newton hills may have something to say though. Stay tuned.

    2. Red Sox 6
      Indi, er Guardians 3

      That’s my prediction. It’s a beautiful day here at Fenway. My 35th Patriots Day game. Every season since 1987, except the 3 times there wasn’t a game. Tradition.

  11. Thanks TK! Happy Patriots Day to everyone – hoping clouds break up here soon in South Dartmouth – my first tee time of season is 12:02 – I feel like I am about a month behind schedule!

    1. The clouds wouldn’t interfere with a tee time anyway, but you’ll have sun/cloud mix as the day goes on. 🙂

  12. Looks like my dark horse women’s wheelchair pulled it off. Preventing the Swiss sweep. Eden Rainbow Cooper from Britain. If I heard correctly she finished nearly 25 minutes sooner than her race last year. And she’s only 22 so we may see her more times.

      1. Interesting how your temps and mine are very often similar. Or maybe not as unusual as I would think.

  15. What’s the number one live sporting event from the U.S. on Dutch public TV? … Boston Marathon, which they carry in its entirety and have for many years. Not the Superbowl (which is on certain cable stations that are accessible to some Dutch viewers, but not local public or state television). And certainly not any other U.S. sport or sporting event, except when the Olympics are here. Sure, they cover bits and pieces of the World Series, NBA Finals and maybe a goal or 2 from the Stanley Cup Finals, but that’s really about it as far as local public or state ,TV is concerned.

    1. Interesting and That makes sense. Most sports here just don’t hold interest. I’m trying to think of sports where there is common interest.

      I remember Mac’s family commenting on the marathon when they were living abroad. I did think there is or was a European media source that covers the masters also. I may be remembering incorrectly. And the Ryders cup maybe?

      Is the little League World Series covered internationally?

  16. SAK’s watching a pitchers duel so far.
    No score bottom 5th, only 3 total hits so far.

  17. I went 1 for 4 trying to pick the winners of M&W wheelchair & runners. No surprise there. 🙂 I think the only no-brainer pick was the men’s wheelchairs. The only way anybody’s beating Marcel Hug is to remove his wheels ………. dominating.

  18. From Weather Guide Calendar…

    April 15 1973.

    F-4 tornado up to 400 yards wide in Pearsall Texas. 5 deaths resulted from 2 cars being thrown from I-35. The tornado destroyed 10 plans and damaged over 100 others at Frio County Airport, where 1 inch of asphalt was removed from the runway.

  19. Vicki, just so you know, I do love American sports. But many in the rest of the world find them: a. Really complicated (this especially applies to football and baseball); b. Too slow; c. Too many breaks in the action, timeouts, commercials and simply a pace of play thing. They’re right about a and c, but not b. I find A LOT of soccer games – and soccer is pretty much THE sport in many other countries – painfully slow, prodding and lacking action. Keep in mind, I do like soccer, but I’m being objective by saying the sport isn’t exactly thrilling all the time.

    Some parts of the world LOVE some American sports. Baseball, in particular, is adored across parts of Central America and the Caribbean, as well as countries in Asia. Basketball has a following in many countries worldwide and it’s huge in countries like Croatia and Serbia. And though China isn’t particularly good at it, the Chinese like basketball a lot.

    1. Haha. I am very aware. You forget Mac and family lived abroad a good portion of their lives. I was just curious so asked about a few other sports and whether they are covered. I believe the ones I mentioned are. I actually thought masters golf was covered by a media somehow related to Dutch media. May be wrong but have been out all day so have not had time to look

    1. That collision looked pretty nasty though. I have been tuning in periodically and just caught that.

      1. Indeed.

        Baseball can be a contact sport, usually inadvertently. And when it is bad things can happen.

        1. Well they both walked off under their own power.

          Now we need some late heroics to pull this out. Down by 4. Ouchies.

  21. Full 71 here in JP
    David Williams last night at 11 forecast a high of 66.
    Oh well. High sun angle. 🙂

      1. I’d say. 🙂

        Now 72 here in JP/ What a BEAUTY of a DAY.
        TOP 10 for sure. Best day of 2024 so far!

  23. Beautiful day temp wise, but can we have one day where winds aren’t howling? I can’t remember a windier April, but could be wrong.

    1. Well we’re only half way in, but so far we’re not setting any wind records. 😉

      2024 has been a breezy one so far, for sure, after one of the least windy years on record in 2023. So we’ve been lacking wind in the long term – time to make up for it I guess! We live in a windy place. Boston is windier than “The Windy City”. It’s just how it is. 🙂

  24. An AI GFS is running now, and initially it looks about as bad as the ECMWF version. 😉

  25. The trends are more and more that the next rain system is going to be a fail. And maybe the one after that too.

    Heading for a drier regime it seems.

  26. Just had a shower come through here. Dropped a quick 0.01″ in about 2 minutes. Definitely did NOT expect that.

    2. Mystery boundary. Quite a prolific shower producer. Nope, not in my forecast either. 🙂

    1. That was an odd little boundary not seen in advance by any short range guidance and hardly detectable even a few hours before on satellite or any obs. Once in a while something sneaks in.

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