DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 26-30)
No big changes from yesterday’s discussion as we head through the final 5 days of April 2024. High pressure keeps the weather fair through Saturday. Dry air and light wind allows coastal sea breezes, though the gradient wind will start to turn more southeasterly as we get to Saturday anyway with high pressure offshore and a warm front approaching from the west later on. For today and Saturday it’s abundant sun during the day and clear tonight. Clouds thicken up Saturday evening and there may be a touch of rain later at night as the warm front moves into the region. Sunday will feature lots of clouds as that warm front moves beyond the region and a weak trough approaches from the west, with a shower threat mainly morning to midday. Sunday afternoon should break out enough to be quite nice, and rather mild, but any south-facing coastal areas will be cooler due to a southwesterly wind that day. Monday’s forecast continues to have an element of complexity – a back-door cold front, typical of springtime here. This simple feature can help set up a large temperature contrast across the region, and I think that will happen. The question to answer still is how far inland/southwest does that boundary get. Fine-tuning coming up for that. Weather-wise I do think the day Monday is dry other than the slight chance of inland pop up showers mainly in the afternoon with the combination of sun’s heating, slightly less stable air, and the frontal boundary in the area. A low pressure trough and frontal system from the west will bring unsettled weather to our region in the form of rain showers for the final day of April on Tuesday.
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 55-62, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with developing coastal sea breezes.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 33-40. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Sunniest through midday, then increasing high cloudiness. Highs 56-63 coast, 63-70 inland. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. A period of light rain possible overnight. Lows 47-54. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers through midday, then partly sunny. Highs 63-70 except cooler South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated afternoon showers possible well inland. Highs 65-72 except 58-65 Boston area northward occurring by midday, with potentially falling temperatures midday on, especially Boston area north. Wind variable up to 10 MPH, but may turn NE 5-15 MPH in southern NH and eastern MA.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 43-50. Wind NE-E 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Highs 53-60, coolest coast. Wind SE-S 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (MAY 1-5)
A trough brings a shower chance about May 2 otherwise a dry start to May with somewhat variable but mostly near normal temperatures expected.
DAYS 11-15 (MAY 6-10)
Generally dry pattern with a couple minor systems to threaten brief unsettled weather. Overall northwest to north flow should result in temperatures near to slightly below normal.
Thanks TK !
Happy Friday, everyone !
Good morning and thank you TK.
Down to 34 again here this morning.
Ocean temp at Boston Buoy is 44.6
Keep that in mind when the wind turns on shore.
Thanks TK.
we have shot up to 51 already after a morning low of 34 at 6 AM.
We did 57 yesterday. Can we improve upon that? I think so, as long as the East wind doesn’t get too strong here.
46 at the airport with a NNE wind at 9 mph.
I wonder if Logan even makes 50 today. It all depends upon
that wind direction and speed.
Mt Washington summit yesterday morning was in the single digits, this morning its 17F.
I’m thinking that might be lower-mid 20s by afternoon, so, a little milder airmass today, should, in theory, help us out a little. I hope. :
We didn’t get airmasses like this all winter. If yesterday’s airmass was matched to a January sun, we would have been in the 20s for highs.
Yes, it WILL help us out, EXCEPT for the DAMN EAST WIND!!!!!!!!
For some unknown reason I can’t get “Pecker” out of my mind. π π
Would the first witness in THIS trial have had any less hilarious name ?
Pretty amazing. Watching the commentators on MSNBC and CNN last night was comical in some respects. Some even smirking when mentioning the witness last name. π
All joking aside, it is a very serious situation, but like what you said, did his name have to be that????????????
FIGURES
Thanks TK
Had some frost here. This might be the last frost until Fall.
We have been stuck at 51 for well over an hour now.
Feeling some effects from the NE wind out there.
It is only 10 MPH at the airport, but it must be reaching here
as the temperature climb has halted. Hope only temporarily so. π
We shall see. Will be watching.
Thanks, TK.
As Tom mentioned, we didn’t have these airmasses at all during winter. It’s nice to see them return, albeit too late to affect winter. I say it’s nice to see them return because we’ll now be in a more favorable set-up for strings of sunny days. We haven’t been for many months.
I can’t get over how young Drake Maye looks. Frankly, he looks like he could be 13.
We’ll see how he performs. Looks like he has a decent upside.
I don’t think he is nearly as bright as Mac was, however, I think he may more than make up for it on the field. I like his arm better than Macs and his make-up may be more suited for the Patriots.
Could be an interesting season. Let’s see IF they can get him a top-notch receiver!!!!
Foot work is a problem, as is decision-making. He would not have been my choice. But then again who the heck am I?
The Patriots have LOTS of issues. I mean a boatload. It’s going to take a massive rebuild to just get this team back to the playoffs. They’re deficient across the board, in many positions.
Thanks, TK!
30 with frosty windshields this morning.
Thank you, TK!
We bottomed out at 31 overnight but like JJ had some visible frost on the grass for the first time this week. We are at 50 and holding at 10:24
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1probotlk_1300_torn.gif
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2probotlk_0600_torn.gif
About the right location and time of year for this crap!
Made it to 51F.
Only 52 here while it is 48 at the airport.
A nice freezing cold day in late April along the coast!!!
NOT unusual for sure. π
Back down to 51!! Getting a tad ridiculous!!
https://weather.us/radar-us/coryell/velocity/KGRK_20240426-162541z.html
Couplet looks impressive (Texas)
Credit to weather.us radar
https://weather.us/radar-us/coryell/velocity/KGRK.html#play-0-12-5
Its tightening on the loop
I am at 52F. Per TK’s forecast, really chilly tonight.
Pollen count is seriously up there … not that it is all that unusual around this time of year.
https://www.pollen.com/forecast/extended/pollen/02115
Iβm at 54. And I just had my first hummingbird of the year at my deck feeder. I think heβs cheering me up as Iβm also in the process of passing a kidney stone for the first time in over a decade I think.
Oh no. As you know, we have a history of those too. My last one was right before the surgery 9 years ago.
Hope you feel better soon!
Thank you both. And I do remember North. Ugh.
Hope youβre feeling better tonight. That pain can be awful.
52 here in JP.
A real struggle today to move upward.
Struggle for sure. 56 now
Still only a tab above 52 as in 52.5
Logan is STILL only at 48. how nice!!! NOT!
The gulls don’t mind. π
Thank you TK!
TGIF!!!!
Thanks TK.
Very typical fair weather spring today across the WHW forecast area! If there’s a forecast error today it’s definitely my temps being a little too warm compared to what’s been going on.
This is a cool air mass. And if you’re near the coast, the chilly water just reinforces that fact. Like I said, very typical of spring here. But 100% sunshine! Not too shabby!
Tonight another night of cold with frost advisories for most of the Boston area to the South Coast. In case you missed SAK’s comment on his blog, I will remind you here that the reason you don’t see such advisories further west and north, where it will be colder, is because those locations have yet to reach the average last date of such an occurrence, so it’s “expected” and based on those dates, tender vegetation should not be out quite yet. But areas under the advisory have reached or exceeded the average date of last frost, hence the advisory.
Chilly in downtown Boston.
It’s an August sun, though.
Vicki, I’m sorry to hear about your kidney stone.
Your hummingbird is brave. They usually avoid cold weather, not that it’s cold now but it will be again tonight, at least for them.
Has anyone visited this house in Plymouth? It looks very interesting to me. https://www.boston.com/travel/travel/2024/04/26/walk-through-a-1667-plymouth-home-where-mayflower-pilgrims-lived/?p1=hp_featurebox
Thank you, Joshua. My little guy is right on time here but Iβm behind others in this area by a couple of days. Last year was April 23. 2022 was April 25.
I have not seen that house. There are several in the Humarock Scituate Marshfield area Iβve seen but never had the pleasure of going inside. I canβt imagine the thrill of living in one
Thanks, TK.
Thanks TK! May we finally get a dry Friday to Sunday slot – today has abundant sunshine and tomorrow sounds positive too. Now we just hope for Sunday – but it does seem like there finally may be a pattern change.
We’re in a dry pattern. Fire danger is going up. If this goes on for several weeks, we’ll start to see the “abnormally dry” show up and expand on the drought monitor maps. However, the HT moisture in the stratosphere remains a major wildcard in our weather pattern, both regionally, nationally, and globally, and it’ll be interesting to see how it has an impact as we head into summer.
One thing we need to be very careful of is just buying the tropical outlooks straight up. I have noticed that these outlooks do not take into account this wildcard, and last year when during El Nino one would have expected a quieter Atlantic, it was active, and a very busy Pacific, it was one of the quietest years of ALL TIME out there. Opposite. Yeah, not so clear-cut. And it doesn’t matter how warm the ocean temp is! I say this all the time. Warm ocean is ONE INGREDIENT. You still need the right conditions in the atmosphere to get storms going and sustain them. A hot bath of an Atlantic isn’t going to produce crap if there’s nothing to support a circulation. Meteorology 101.
53 here
Tornado video from today in Lincoln, Nebraska: https://twitter.com/BryceShelton01/status/1783949509157859820
Oh my heavens. That is a monster
Tornado emergency in Nebraska, catastrophic observed damage in Nebraska.
https://weather.us/radar-us/d01e36f44910599666590a9207f1a7b8/velocity/KOAX_20240426-204803z.html
Credit to weather.us radar
https://weather.us/radar-us/d01e36f44910599666590a9207f1a7b8/reflectivity/KOAX_20240426-204746z.html
What a hook echo with a ball shape.
Pray this one misses a major settled area.
Praying here.
Another catastrophic damage tornado in Iowa.
Ongoing and on the ground.
Major flooding and hundreds of deaths across parts of East Africa: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/25/world/africa/kenya-flooding-rain-tanzania.html
Conan being an overdramatic fake meteorologist: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yHUOHE9g5r8
Pleasant Hill, Iowa, just east southeast of Des Moines.
Population 10,000
A nasty looking couplet passed right through a few minutes ago.
π π π
This video captures the magnitude of the tornado in Lincoln, Nebraska: https://twitter.com/Jules31415/status/1783985508755919310
Another potentially bad day of weather out in the Plains today
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
Today may be the worst of the stretch.
New weather post…