Thursday May 2 2024 Forecast (7:08AM)

83 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 2-6)

Today we manage to flip the air flow around to more southerly, which will allow it to warm in much of the region, less so where this air flow is off the ocean. But even with that, all coastal areas can be vulnerable to sea breeze development because of the weak air flow in place. A small but fairly potent disturbance can pop a few showers and even an isolated thunderstorm later today, favoring southern NH and northeastern MA. As it moves away, Canadian high pressure will begin to nose its way into the region, setting us up with a cooler northeast to east wind for Friday and Saturday. During this time clouds will often be dominant, but intervals of sun can occur both days, with the greater chance of longer sunny intervals on Saturday. Sunday, a frontal system moving in from the west will do so rather slowly being up against high pressure to its east, but will turn the day rather cloudy with a chance of showers. Improvement should occur for Monday, in theory, but there may not be a lot of push of dry air to clear us out that day.

TODAY: Lots of clouds / limited sun. Late-day showers and a chance of a thunderstorm favoring southern NH and northeastern MA. Highs 68-75 except cooler coastal areas. Wind SE-S up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. An evening shower possible. Lows 46-53. Wind shifting to NE up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Highs 53-60 coast, 60-67 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind E-SE under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 54-61 coast, 61-68 inland. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SE-S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs 58-65. Wind S-SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows 50-57. Wind SW to variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 58-65, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 7-11)

This period is vulnerable to unsettled weather with a frontal boundary in the region and a couple disturbances moving through (timing TBD). Temperatures fairly close to normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 12-16)

General pattern looks spring blocky with upper level low pressure nearby / over the US Northeast to southeastern Canada. This is not a wet pattern in general, but can present a lot of clouds and limit warmth.

83 thoughts on “Thursday May 2 2024 Forecast (7:08AM)”

  2. Good mornong and thank you TK.

    Typical Spring weather….

    ocean temp: 46 6 ( Boston buoy)

    Until that ocean warms considerably, we are oopen to its cooling influence along the coast. Even after it warms, can still have a sea bree,e, but its cooling effects will have been diminished .

    1. There comes that point where you view the east wind as a welcome friend and not $!@^&@#%! 😉 Usually by June. 🙂

      1. June?
        imo, not until July and August.
        It can still be pretty nasty in June, especially early June. And it depends on how the Spring went.
        I’ve seen days in the upper 40s in June with that disgusting East wind. More rypically 50s.

        For July and August, I totally agree.

        oh did I ever mention how much I HATE Spring around here?

        Wankum was saying we would have 3 to 4 days of 70s next week!@ Is he just parottinhg the Euro again?

        1. May 6 has a shot of 70+ but may be thwarted by lingering cloudiness, and a weak enough wind field that the coast sea breezes (so inland would be more likely).

          May 7 has a shot, IF a back-door front doesn’t come down more quickly. The medium range guidance times these terribly.

          After that, no shot, IMO. So one day, maybe 2, IF LUCKY, at the coast. Best chance inland.

          Ok, I take back “June” and say “July”. 🙂

          1. I figured 3 or 4 days was too much to ask. At this point I’ll take 1 and 2 would be a bonus. 🙂

        2. Despise Spring here and April is the worst. Seeing all the warm temperatures nearby is deflating. And really looking forward to the low 50’s for highs this weekend.

          1. Thank you. So I am not the only one? 🙂

            it is really tough to get warmer temperatures around here being so close to Canada and the ice box ocean.
            Deadly combination in the Spring.

          2. When I was younger, I just rolled with the weather in the Spring. As I got older, I despised it more and more with each passing year!!!!

            Other than the end of March through about the beginning of June, I LOVE the weather around here.
            I love the seasons. This is a wonderful place to live, EXCEPT for SPRING!!!!!!

  8. Thanks, TK.

    I have perhaps an odd preference ordering for seasons. Believe it or not, spring is not last. It’s third. And my preference ordering is sequential. And there’s a worst to best jump from one season to the next.

    From best to worst: Fall, winter, spring, summer.

    As a kid it wasn’t sequential: Summer, winter, fall, spring

    So there was also a worst to best jump, but that had a reason: School was out in summer (I hated school).

    1. Another one who hated school! Wow!

      I absolutely DETESTED SCHOOL!!!!
      I felt it was INFRINGING on my play time!!!
      I constantly WATCHED the clock and/or day dreamed
      all day long! I still managed to finish near the top of my class.

      And how I got through college is truly amazing!

      But I managed.

      1. Very cool. I’ve seen a number of Mets post photos/videos. I just found Pete’s first this am.

  11. Thank you, TK

    I think I may be in the minority, but I love the changing spring weather. Like Mother Nature, I’m not quite ready to completely let go of the cool temps so enjoy the in between as well as the season of rebirth.

  12. 59 here after getting up to 61.

    Hmmm 59 at the airport with a SW wind at 20 mph.

    If it stays that way, Logan will make 70 today. We shall see.

    If things for according to plan, the wind will slacken and will turn EAST at the airport. 🙂

    1. Down to 58 and 57 at the airport with a brisk SW wind.
      Temperature going down and NOT up, likely due to cloud cover.

  13. Logan is 55.

    Is there some rule of Nature that dictates that Logan SHALL NOT WARM, EVER!!!!

  14. My Weekend Outlook will be up much later than normal today. I’m heading into Fenway again for the 1:35pm getaway day game.

  15. Looking like my 23 inch snow total guess for PVD my not be in danger of being exceeded. My early guess for winter 2024-2025 68 inches for PVD.

        2. Hockey, with its limited scoring …… I find a team can play a great game and lose, if the other goaltender is standing on his head.

          So, my litmus test for the Bruins is bring a great effort !

          They did not do this in game 5.

          I hope they have puck luck on their side.

  17. I would be happy with snowfall close to normal next winter after the past few have been duds.

  20. Since we have a guess for next winter’s snowfall 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

    I’ll have to guess 17 (90F) days at Logan this summer, 30+ days inland.

    One of the 4 major reporting southern New England climate stations will record an 80F dewpoint.

    Our hurricane drought ends this late summer/early fall.

  25. I’m with Robert, though a bit less bold. We’re `due’ for some snow next winter. I’m going with 54 inches for Boston, 51 in Providence. I know it’s way too early for predictions, but since I’ve been asked to write about the holidays for an upcoming article I thought I’d chime in.

  27. On my run today the temperature and the way the weather felt depended very much on which side of the river you were on. On the Boston side it felt very spring-like. On the Cambridge side – so only about a half mile away – it felt humid and a bit more summer-like.

  28. I was a BIG TIME clock watcher in school. One time the teacher said, “Josh, looking at the clock isn’t going to make it go any faster.” I remember how elated I was in June when summer vacation started. That elation lasted through July. But by August I began to dread the thought of going back to school. Even hearing about “back to school” sales on the radio or TV would cause a mood shift. I’d try to make the time go slower. That didn’t work. Somehow August went by in a blur. And then it was back to clock watching in September.

    1. There was a certain smell in the air in August not present earlier in the summer. It was most definitely the late summer weeds. That smell was the signal to me that summer was waning fast…

      I much preferred the smell of punks (those incense-like sticks) and illegal fireworks smoke of June and July. 😉

    3. Back in the day, the group of kids I hung out with banned the use of the word “school” during summer vacation. The penalty for a slip-up was to run up and down the steep road that we lived on. One day when I went into my house, my mother said that she saw me running up and down the street. It was hilarious to have to explain this to her!

  30. Water temp has climbed almost 2 degrees in response to the East wind and the sunshine and it is up to 48.2

    1. Yikes!

      Classic New England spring day….25F degree temp drop between the CT River Valley and NE MA.

  34. Thanks TK.

    Sunny and 75F here in Coventry and now up to 81F at BDL. Summer like feel out there.

    2. It never made it to 60 in South Dartmouth – the pain we experience for delightful sea breezes In July and August. Now there is a gusty NE WIND off Buzzards Bay as temps drop even more

  35. Some of the medium range guidance has a pattern JPD will despise as we head into mid May.

        1. If that mid May blocking keeps us cool, while warming up Canada and the Hudson Bay area, then it’s worth it.

          Have to get rid of that Hudson Bay ice and eastern Canada snow cover to get the warmth in here.

  39. Finished mowing the lawn in a moderate shower.

    Can anyone give me a quick, short outlook for Saturday, May 11 evening. My kiddos are getting real excited for their Junior Prom!

  40. I stopped watching the game. Maybe that will give the Bruins luck, though their problem seems to be more fundamental than that. It was 13 to 1 in shots in favor of the Leafs when I stopped watching. That’s wretched. The easy explanation is to say they’re “playing tight,” but that would beg the question, why?

      1. Likely.

        Bruins have not done well in Game 7’s in recent times. That includes some Game 7’s at home, too.

        Don’t know what it is, but they’re missing the fire you need to put a team away. I did not see any desire in the 1st period of Game 5 or the 1st period of Game 6 to put Toronto away. Similar last year, quite frankly. That falls on the players, of course, as they’re on the ice. But it also falls on the coach, particularly at the beginning of games. Montgomery seems like a nice guy. But he’s too placid, too cool, if you will, with his players. I don’t need to see a temper tantrum, but I’ve got to see a little bit more fire from the coach.

        1. Oh well. Thankfully we still have the Celtics. I have a good feeling this is their year for Banner#18. :mrgreen:

          1. We actually still have the Bruins too. Why do so many people have them counted out in game 7? They may lose it, yes, but they may also win it?

            I don’t want any doubters watching game 7. You’re all bad luck. 😉 Please tune into something else!

            I don’t understand the mentality of past dictating next. Yes, they were beaten 2 games in a row. But also, Toronto was beaten 2 games in a row in this series. Did they give up? 😉

            GET BEHIND YOUR TEAM or find the exit! 😀

        2. Losing game six does NOT make it any more likely to lose game seven. Each game is individual. So much negativity. Please, anybody who thinks they can’t win game 7, do not tune in. Please, I beg you. All the negative fans need to keep their bad karma away from my Bruins. 😉

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