Wednesday May 22 2024 Forecast (7:38AM)

57 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 22-26)

Summer preview, day 2, today, with high pressure off to the south and a warm southwesterly air flow in place (South Coast / Cape Cod cooler as usual). Today we see more sun than yesterday, and late-day showers and thunderstorms that develop to the north and west will do so further upstream and not make their way into southern NH and northern MA as they did last evening – even more significant than I had expected them to. Thursday, a cold front moves into the region, but slowly enough that we get another 80-degree plus day for much of the region. But that warmth does add fuel for the storms that while may not be widespread, can be heavy in some areas, along with the slight potential for isolated severe storms – wind damage primary threat / hail secondary threat. Any activity moves out in the evening, but the front responsible for them will be a little sluggish, and a follow up low pressure wave can cause another swath of showers especially for the South Coast region sometime during the first 12 hours of Friday. Some guidance has this occurring further south and Friday completely dry. This is a possibility as well. Final fine-tune on next blog. Either way, drier air arrives Friday and for the start of the Memorial Day Weekend on Saturday, with temperatures closer to seasonable, though still a little above normal. When we get to Sunday, a weak disturbance from the west may trigger a few showers, but otherwise that day looks mostly fair. Plenty of time to focus in on that potential as we get closer to it.

TODAY: Early clouds exit Cape Cod. Fog / stratus patches southwestern NH, north central MA, and eastern CT vanish by mid morning. Plenty of sun. Evening cloud patches arrive from the west. Highs ranging from 58-65 Cape Cod / Islands / immediate South Coast to 85-92 I-95 belt westward, with a sharp gradient between. Wind SW increasing to 10-20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 55-62. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, primarily in the afternoon, with some strong to locally severe storms possible. Highs 80-87 except cooler South Coast / Cape Cod. Wind SW 5-15 MPH but locally variable, stronger, and potentially damaging winds in any storms.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clouds linger. Chance of showers mainly South Coast. Lows 55-62. Wind shifting to NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Clouds and a rain chance South Coast early, otherwise a sun/cloud mix. Highs 66-73. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 48-55, coolest interior valleys. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 66-73. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 50-57. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly to mostly cloudy. Chance of a shower. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 27-31)

Memorial Day (May 27) watch for low pressure to approach with a chance of showers before the end of the day. Additional showers and potential thunderstorms May 28 as a trough / cold front move across the region. Generally fair weather with high pressure in control May 29-31 based on current medium range expectations.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 1-5)

Weak upper low trends to hang around Great Lakes / Northeast with a couple disturbances bringing shower chances and variable temperatures with no extremes.

57 thoughts on “Wednesday May 22 2024 Forecast (7:38AM)”

  1. Good morning and thank you Tk.

    Made 85 here yesterday with an overnight low of 61.

    currently 67

    Ocean temp: 56 5 (Boston buoy)

    Indtalled 1 AC yesterday.

    1. So far,the SPC has NOT indicated any tornado threat for our area, so that’s one good thing.

  12. Its about in October and November, all future snow possibilities get noted, so, I’ll take care of the warm season hot or humid days showing up on long range. 🙂 🙂 🙂

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfct-imp&rh=2024052200&fh=282&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfct-imp&rh=2024052200&fh=306&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfctd-imp&rh=2024052200&fh=384&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

      1. Sorry JpDave 🙂 🙂 🙂

        I’m giving you advanced notice in case it verifies. 🙂 🙂 🙂

  13. I just learned something recently.
    As I was walking down to the store, I noticed an individual entering his house. I thought to myself, geez, that sure looks like Michael Holley. I week later, I saw him again getting out of his car, so I looked him up on the city web site. Sure enough, it was indeed Michael Holley! Cool, I have a celebrity as a neighbor. 🙂

    Next time I see him, I will be sure to say hello. Always liked him and his work, both on radio and TV.

  15. Up to 78 from a low of 59. 64 DP

    NWS site still not working for me. I’ll try to reload it since nothing else has worked and it ended up working for Tom

  20. JP Dave, Michael Holley is a fantastic neighbor to have. I like his journalism and radio/TV commentating.

    Personally, I never understood why his show with Dale Arnold (a great hockey guy, by the way) didn’t do better than Mike Felger and Tony Massarotti. Felger is insufferably arrogant. Combine that with his negativity and constant sexual references and he becomes unlistenable. Mazz has THE worst radio voice in the history of broadcasting. That alone is unlistenable. He’s good on baseball, but no-one cares about the sport anymore.

  27. You could still get an isolated severe thunderstorm when there is a marginal risk. We saw that a few weeks ago.

  29. It’s above 30C. 30C (86F) is kind of my breaking point.

    The Dutch call anything above 25C (77F) “summer heat” and it’s one word in Dutch, and anything above 30C “extreme summer heat.” Goes to show everything is relative.

  30. 87 here with dp fluctuating between 59 and 61.

    88 at Logan with dp 57

    90 at Norwood with dp 55

  35. We have not seen our friend, WxWatcher, lately. I suspect he is very busy but want to say hi in case he is reading

  37. Was about to open up some windows when I looked at the radar
    and see a bunch of shows with some embedded thunder heading
    this way. I guess I’ll wait a bit. 🙂

    1. Weather.us/radar has some lightning in northeast CT and a couple of old strikes near Worcester.

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