DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 9-13)
A potent but fast-moving disturbance will cause an episode of unsettled weather today, but not for the entire day. The orientation of the rainfall means that areas north of the Route 2 corridor see rain the longest, because it starts earlier. The further south you go, the shorter-duration the rainfall will be. Across the region it take the form of widespread showers with isolated embedded thunder possible. It will end fairly rapidly from west to east midday and early afternoon, clearing western portions of the WHW forecast area by the end of the morning, central portions by around noon, I-95 belt / Cape Ann by about 1 p.m., and the MA South Shore / South Coast by about 2 p.m., followed by intervals of sun for the remainder of the day. Although there’s a slight chance of an isolated follow-up shower in a few areas, most locations will be rain-free after the initial batch moves through. Upper level low pressure weakens and slides eastward across the region from the eastern Great Lakes to the Atlantic waters just to our east. During this transit, daytime heating initiates the potential for spot showers each afternoon Monday and Tuesday, but probably not by Wednesday as the system will be far enough east by then. Temperatures will be fairly close to seasonal values during this time, with coastal areas vulnerable to sea breezes each day as we’ll have a fairly weak surface pressure field. Thursday, a high pressure ridge arrives on the East Coast and surface high pressure slides offshore, opening the door to our next preview of summer, at which time we’ll see it quite warm with an increase in humidity as well.
TODAY: Generally cloudy through midday with a few hours of rain northern MA / southern NH and up to a couple hours of showers with the possibility of an embedded thunderstorm in areas to the south, ending west to east between 11 a.m. and 2 p.m., followed by clouds and intervals of sun and only a slight chance of an isolated follow-up shower in a few locations. Highs 69-76. Wind variable under 10 MPH morning, W up to 10 MPH afternoon.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 53-60. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a shower. Highs 71-78. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 55-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance of a shower. Highs 72-79. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 54-61. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 68-75 coast, 75-82 inland. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 56-63. Wind variable to SW up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 81-88 except 73-80 South Coast / Cape Cod. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 14-18)
Very warm and somewhat humid on June 14 but an approaching cold front brings the chance of showers and thunderstorms by late day or evening from to east. This should progress through setting up a fair weather, seasonably warm, but lower humidity weekend June 15-16. Later in the period some clouds / humidity / shower chances return, but too far into the future for details.
DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 19-23)
The Summer Solstice occurs on June 20. The large scale pattern (with the help of most trusted medium range guidance) presents potentials for putting a ridge of high pressure at upper levels in the Midwest with our region on the edge of it, but some surface high pressure off the East Coast. Heading into early summer, this pattern usually allows some shots of heat here, but also interruptions from passing fronts / disturbances in a northwesterly flow. It’s often drier than it is wetter, but when you do see disturbances, you can have rounds of heavier thunderstorms. We’ll have to watch for these things as we head into this period, and fine-tune with time.
Meanwhile, parts of south Florida are going to get more rain in the next 10 days than we’ve had in the past 3 months. Rainy season has definitely begun down there.
Thanks, TK.
Torrential rains in Austria: https://x.com/KWTWeather/status/1799776026400100689
Good morning and thank you TK.
Thank you for your response at the end of the last blog and great explanation. Much appreciated.
Made 75 here yesterday with overnight low last night of 63 which just happens to be the current temperature.
ocean temperature: 62.2 (Boston Buoy)
Thanks TK
This day in weather history the 1953 F 4 Worcester tornado
https://x.com/NWSBoston/status/1799758345701826561
I do remember that day. π
I was too young to remember it but heard stories from my mom quite often. Thank you, JJ
The other F 4 tornadoes since then here in SNE that I know of are in Windsor Locks CT in 1979 and Hamden CT in 1989.
Thanks TK !
Thanks Tk
Current Radar
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
It’s a lovely June morning here in downtown Nashua – 55 and raining. 0.33″ in the gauge thus far.
A friend of mine from the western MerryMuck Valley was just complaining about how it feels like April.
Tale of 2 different Junes in the UK:
– June 2023 was warm/hot and dry;
– June 2024 is showery and cool.
The latter is more typical. And as we saw last year July is often showery and cool, too.
Edinburgh this weekend features overnight lows of 43F and highs in the low to mid 50s with rain. Par for the course.
I always shot OVER par, so what would it be for me? π
Not far off the average for this time of year.
https://www.visitscotland.com/travel-planning/weather
Niece attended college there for a year. My son is researching best time for them to head there this year.
Thanks TK.
Thanks TK.
57 and raining here with 0.18β in the rain gauge and it appears to be just about over. Just enough hopefully to soak in some of the fertilizer we laid on the lawn earlier in the week and also wash the pollen off the car.
Our high school softball team won the state championship yesterday and crushed Holy Cross 16-3. They are still riding the high today!
https://x.com/lrileysports/status/1799577510495019419?s=46&t=cAAA4iBELkUhqYWBAiwAsw
Congratulations!
Great news. Congratulations!!
Congrats!
Congratulations !
Awesome!
Thank you everyone. Many were counting them out to repeat this year because they lost several seniors at the end of last year and replaced them with 4 freshmen (my daughter being one of them). But the freshmen are all on my daughter’s traveling softball team (the Bombers) are they really contributed all season. One of them went 4 for 5 and was named MVP of the game. This team should be competitive for some time.
Speaking of the Bombers….those tournaments start next weekend and continue to the end of July. No break till August!
“and” they really contributed…
Thanks TK
Down to 59 from 62 and 0.18 here also
My son and family are on Chebeague for the second weekend in a row. The radar looked spotty there yesterday and ugh today
Rain for the most part is not an issue at all down this way with just very minor drizzle on & off & was able to do 3 estimates rain free
Thanks TK.
Weβre going to need that mid and late afternoon sun to get towards 70 later on.
Though parts of extreme southern New England did nearly get there already.
But I can now feel that cool N wind here in marshfield.
Enjoy today thru Wednesday, if you like avg temps or below (as a whole)
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/weekly/images/wk1.wk2_latest.NAsfcT.png
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/weekly/images/wk3.wk4_latest.NAsfcT.png
Heaviest rain for me is right now but suspect I won’t see all that much more about a 1/2 to 1 hour from now.
Rain is about to wrap up here.
Sun now peaking out here and up to 61.
Up to 62 here with the sun. Doubt it makes 70, but 62 is better than the 58 it was. π
Cloud dotted blue sky since around 3:00 and up to 70 even. Although I think my system is reading a couple of degrees high since itβs pressure washing
Beautiful afternoon
Not that I have been posting much to this blog either as of late, but I find it interesting how comments shut off towards dinner time and rarely resumes again until the next new blog in the morning. Not a complaint in the least, just an observation. π
Go Celtics!!!!
Not many people staying up for the 0z model runs when thereβs no snow on the horizon π
See if that holds during hurricane season, especially if there is a system or 2 near the east coast. π
New weather post…