Sunday June 16 2024 Forecast (8:54AM)

47 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 16-20)

High pressure brings beautiful weather to our region during today with lots of sunshine, mild air, and low humidity. The high then builds offshore, and as an anomalous upper ridge of high pressure overtakes the East Coast, we’ll undergo a quick warm-up leading to a hot spell as we head into and through the middle of the coming week. Some records will be challenged. There will be some opportunity for slightly cooler sea breezes in coastal areas, especially the South Coast where the predominant wind direction will often have some ocean component to it. I do think that the upper atmosphere will be too warm and capped to support any isolated thunderstorms so for now those will be left out of the forecast. We may keep the dew points below the “oppressive” range as well during this spell, which while of limited benefit it is still of some benefit in terms of total comfort factor. Fittingly, the summer solstice occurs at 4:50 p.m. EDT on Thursday.

TODAY: Abundant sun – some high clouds. Highs 73-80, coolest coast. Wind variable 5-15 MPH, coastal sea breezes.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 55-62. Wind variable to SW up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 78-85, coolest South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 55-62. Wind S to SW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 88-95, coolest South Coast. Dew point breaks 60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 67-74, warmest urban centers. Dewpoint 60+. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 91-98, except cooler South Coast. Dewpoint 60+. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 70-77, warmest urban centers. Dewpoint 60+. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 92-99, except cooler South Coast. Dew point 60+ but may fall to upper 50s. Wind SW shifting to W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 21-25)

Watch for a cold front to slip down from the north and northeast June 21, bringing a shower/thunderstorm chance, a wind shift, and a potential cool-down with details depending on the timing of the frontal boundary. Canadian high pressure may be strong enough to bring us a fair weather and more comfortable day lacking heat and humidity on June 22 into June 23 before a the front tries to return with higher humidity and unsettled weather chances.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 26-30)

A general westerly to northwesterly air flow with high pressure ridging further west (in the Midwest / Ohio Valley). This keeps us out of persistent heat, though brief heat can occur, along with a few shower and t-storm chances in an otherwise mainly dry pattern.

47 thoughts on “Sunday June 16 2024 Forecast (8:54AM)”

  1. Thanks TK.

    Excessive Heat Watches already up for Tuesday PM through Friday evening for interior eastern MA/southern NH and portions of northern CT. Heat index values to 105 and overnight low heat indices in the 70s.

  3. A frosty morning in parts of the Adirondacks and Northern New England:

    30 in Saranac Lake, NY
    31 in Whitefield, NH

    1. Brr! It was 47 in the spot I was at in Leominster (low elevation) at 4:45 a.m.. Definitely not frosty, but certainly noticeable!

    2. I well remember a labor day in rangeley Maine on the opposite side of summer back in the mid 70s when we woke to just below freezing. Took a lot of encouragement for me to head out in the boat to fish.

  4. I had to help out a friend last night who was needing a hospital visit for a medical issue, and it was in north central MA. When I left there at 4:45 a.m. to come back home, I had to turn the heat on in the car. Chilly in there! Made me think of the contrast between what that felt like and when I get into my car after work at about 2:30 p.m. this coming Wednesday. 😉

  5. Thanks TK and Happy Father’s Day to all the dads! A top 10 weather day today!
    Mark mentioned The Excessive Heat Watch. I expect more heat alerts to show up for SNE either heat advisories or excessive heat warnings. I am hoping this heat will be gone by next Sunday when my mom and stepdad have tickets for Braves Yankees at Yankee Stadium.

  6. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Hit 76 yesterday with overnight low of 53 here.

    Currently sitting at: 66

    Ocean temperature: 62.8 (Boston Buoy)

    NOT looking forward to the HEAT. Let’s keep it to a minimum! No shenanigans!!!

  7. Let’s hope this will be the worst blast of heat for the summer season and get it out of the way early.

  8. Thank you, TK. Happy father’s days to you and to all the incredible dads and granddads and to the special folks who fill the roll.

  9. Thanks, TK.

    Thank you, SAK, for posting the frosty temps – for June, anyway – up north.

    If one lives in Saranac Lake, NY, is there ever a period during the year that you can safely put your frost-sensitive plants outside? Probably not. I’ve been there in July when it was right around freezing at night. And of course by late August consistent frost can return.

    1. Are these dew points lower due to the amount of Subsidence
      under the Upper Level Dome Of High Pressure?

    1. Can’t get that to load but I’ve been following too. I want to watch the first one before this comes out. It’s July 17????

  16. GFS likes the backdoor for next weekend. Low 90s Friday, low 60s Sunday (north of the Pike). Just a slight change.

    1. It still adds up to a 4-day heatwave for Boston.

      4 straight days under a HEAT DOME! YUCK!!! 🙁

      Could be worse. I believe the record for Boston under a HEAT DOME is 9 straight days. July 3-11, 1912.

      1. Not necessarily. Boston can stay under 90 on Tuesday and Friday. We can’t just assume model #’s are going to verify. More meteorology involved than that. Front is earlier than expected on Friday and all bets are off. And they may not get to 90 on Tuesday, before the peak of the short-lived hot spell.

        1. With my wife’s luck, you can be assured Boston is 90+ each of the 4 days. Yes, I understand completely what you are saying and sincerely hope you are correct.

  18. Thanks, TK!

    Happy Fathers Day to all dads, grandpas and all who are father figures!

  19. It may have been mentioned already (SAK not sure if you said it yet here), 2m temps which are usually not great are especially not great on the ECMWF. A fix is scheduled, but not until the fall. Use with caution, as always.

    There are upgrades planned for the Canadian models as well, but I think those happen sooner.

  24. A sad midnight in Belfast when Rory M missed two putts within four feet to lose the US OPEN – what a brutal loss. Even though I want an American to win US Open the Irish within me was pulling for Rory all the way – especially after they canceled the divorce

  25. The two and a half foot putt he missed really surprised me. Rory’s major championship drought continues. He has not won a major since the 2014 PGA Championship.

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