Thursday July 18 2024 Forecast (7:11AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (JULY 18-22)

Today is transition day as a slow-moving cold front moves across the region then comes to a stop off the South Coast tonight. We’ll be under a cloud canopy for a while with a few scattered showers around during this morning and midday as the front traverses the region. Lower dew point air slowly works in from northwest to southeast, so this is not a quick air mass change but a slower transition. But by this evening and tonight, you’ll notice it being much drier than it has been for the past several days, and this will last through most of the weekend, with only a slight increase in humidity again (not to really uncomfortable levels) during Sunday and a little more notable increase by Monday. This will take place as a high pressure area that comes in for the end of this week slides offshore by the end of the weekend and early next week. Additionally, a swath of mid and upper level moisture will provide more cloudiness than previously forecast on Saturday, so there will be limited sun that day. A weak cold front drops down from northern New England Sunday but again only the slightest chance of a shower exists in northern portions of the WHW forecast area. What’s left of this boundary sits over southern New England Monday and may help initiate a few showers near the South Coast.

TODAY: Lots of clouds including a few scattered showers through midday. Increasing sun thereafter. Highs 80-87. Dew point falling into / through 60s from northwest to southeast. Wind variable becoming NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear except patchy ground fog interior lower elevations. Lows 58-65, warmest urban areas. Dew point upper 50 to lower 60s. Wind NW under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny – few fair weather clouds. Highs 78-85, coolest at the coast. Dew point upper 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy interior lower elevation ground fog develops. Lows 57-64. Dew point middle to upper 50s. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 79-86, coolest coast. Dew point upper 50s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 60-67. Dew point upper 50s. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Maybe an evening shower reaches southern NH. Highs 82-89. Dew point lower 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 61-68. Dew point lower 60s. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly sunny. A few showers possible South Coast. Highs 79-86, coolest coast. Dew point lower 60s. Wind variable to E up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 23-27)

Higher humidity and shower chances in the July 23-26 period before drier air returns as the end of the period. No prolonged major heat expected.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 28 – AUGUST 1)

A push of drier air early period then humidity returns again with a few showers / storms possible. No prolonged major heat indicated at this time.

52 thoughts on “Thursday July 18 2024 Forecast (7:11AM)”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK

    just barely madec90 yesterday

    overnight low 72

    currently 74

    ocran temperature 62.8 (Boston bioy)

    Zilch from the earlier line of storms headed East. another rno show Poofarana. However, storms moving NE from Nyc area made it here after 1 AM in weakened form. I forgot how wonderful thunder sounds at night.

    A comment on the heat.
    From my perspective, sure it was hot, BUt, it fell way short of the hype.
    Here it was 93,93,90.
    like I said hpt for sure, but outrageously hot. sorry, no.

    1. Missed us too.

      Re hype Nat Grid seemed to just figure out it’s been hit and began warning its customers three days ago. I got a reverse 911 warning two days ago.

      But I’m not sure it’s not as bad as expected listening to Mets. Temps are high but for me it’s been the dew points. It’s been very difficult to breath if I’m out even for a short period.

  4. A Commonwealth Fund report ranks Massachusetts as the best-performing health system for women overall across all 50 states, with Vermont, Rhode Island, Connecticut, and New Hampshire coming in next (Maine is in the top 10).

    Gee, I wonder what these 6 states have in common?

    1. hmm interesting question. Not sure where you are heading on this.

      One thing, New England has four(4) of the Ivy League Schools.

      But, serioulsy, I would like to hear your take on this. Thanks.

      1. I’ll second JPD. I’m very curious.

        And would like to add that even as the best, our healthcare even in MA is struggling

  5. Question – when Harvey & Judah put out there summer forecast I Believe they called for a very warm summer is that correct anyone as I am just curious. I sort of remember Judah saying your A/C will be going non stop . I also heard something on WBZ radio I think yesterday saying the pattern we just had will continue with some short breaks in between.

  8. JP Dave, I was alluding (albeit obliquely) to the fact that the six states form the region we call New England.

    Independent of political affiliation – after all, New Hampshire is very different politically from Massachusetts – New England has always had relatively strong healthcare systems as a whole. Affluence helps. New England is considerably richer than most other regions in the country. Nonetheless, healthcare has been prioritized here in ways that it has not in other parts of the country. This reflects itself in better life expectancy numbers.

    1. Well, of course. I thought you were going elsewhere. Oh Well, but I do agree with you.

      Even though it may be better, there is PLENTY of room for improvement.

      1. Yes, always room for improvement.

        But what’s remarkable is that the top 5 states are all NE states. This shows you that wealth is not the sole determining factor. There are very wealthy states (per capita) outside of NE that didn’t even make the top 10, let alone the top 5.

        I think this suggests the relative importance we New Englanders place on healthcare.

        1. Sure, that is likely. But my experience shows that there is much yet to accomplish, even here in New England.

        2. I commented above before seeing this. I was going in the same direction that you went, Joshua, but with one slight addition. I’ve always thought our political leaders had more focus on healthcare. And I’m definitely not intending to attribute that to any one party. MA has had as many if not more Republican senators and governors as democrat. Remember Romney and healthcare. .

  10. Wpc surface map

    I don’t see any dry air anywhere near our region. I sure hope
    that front MOVES ITS ASS and SOON!!!!!!

    Oh wait!!

    Could it be? Could it possibly be that the Bermuda High Or Atlantic Ridge as Tom likes to call it will exert its influence and cause the approaching front to “wash out” and effectively turn the approaching air mass into the previous one???????????

    Don’t you just love this crap?????

    78 here

    1. Fall, yes, but of course not fall as in autumn.

      Next month around this time we’ll have our first glimpse (usually fleeing) of a shift in weather.

  16. So, we’ve had 92, 98 and 97 in June

    95, 95, 90 in July

    I looked back and there seemed to be some summer outlooks that pegged August, across the northern tier of the US, as having the best chances of experiencing above or well above avg temps.

    Some reference to an expectation that La Niña, which we know has not been as strong to develop as projected, would be most developed by August.

    So ……. I lean towards a 55/45 chance odds that either something a little hotter or in the same temp range as listed above for June and July, lasting maybe 5-6 days in a row lies ahead in August.

    https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/cb/ssta/ssta.daily.current.png

    Some decent colder SST anomalies rebuilding along the coast of Peru which will propagate westward thru the nino regions and the western Atlantic ridge has been rather dominant the first half of summer, I guess I’m playing the odds that should continue.

  17. Keene, NH dp down to 57F

    Worcester airport down to 57F

    Lots of NW breeze gusts to close to 20 mph, dry air making progress.

  26. 86, 61

    North shore water temps seem cool for this point in time … 60ish.
    Maybe it’s normal and I’m just not aware of it.

        2. Rockaway Beach, NY had significant cooling for a short period of time due to string off shore NW Winds – once they turned SW for a couple of days that ended quickly.

          I will say Buzzards Bay down by Padanaram Harbor feels 70ish to me. I was in twice this evening. Beautiful!

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