DAYS 1-5 (JULY 28 – AUGUST 1)
We get through just about all of today with nice weather, but it gets cut a bit short over Cape Cod and adjacent areas during the afternoon, because offshore low pressure is wasting no time wheeling its moisture our way. Most of the region sees one primary band of showers from it tonight, moving in from southeast to northwest, running out of steam early Monday as it gets further away from its parent low, which will pass by to the east while weakening during the day. So Monday itself doesn’t end up that bad a day overall, with lots of clouds, some sun, and the redevelopment of some shower and thunderstorm activity mainly west of I-95 during the afternoon and evening. Tuesday and Wednesday we will be in a humid southerly air flow. The shower and thunderstorm chance will present itself both days. Currently, it looks like Tuesday’s activity will be limited to late-day, isolated to scattered. The Wednesday activity may appear sooner with greater coverage, but this is not high confidence, and I’ll revisit this next update. Thursday, some drier air should arrive from the west but the atmosphere may still be unstable enough to allow a possible shower or thunderstorm.
TODAY: Sun followed by clouds. Showers arrive Cape Cod / South Coast mid to late afternoon and progress northwestward during the evening. Highs 75-82 coast, 81-88 inland. Dew point lower to middle 60s. Wind variable to SE increasing to 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers push through during the evening then taper off from southeast to northwest overnight. Patchy fog. Lows 62-69. Dew point lower to middle 60s. Wind SE to E 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. An early-day shower mainly west of I-95, then scattered later-day showers and thunderstorms mainly west of I-95 again. Highs 75-82, coolest coast. Dew point middle to upper 60s. Wind E shifting to N up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Lots of clouds. Patchy fog. A possible shower early. Lows 65-72. Dew point 65+. Wind N shifting to W up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Highs 81-88. Dew point 65+. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Patchy fog. A slight chance of a shower. Lows 66-73. Dew point 65+. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 79-86. Dew point 65+. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. A possible shower or thunderstorm. Patchy fog. Lows 65-72. Dew point 65+. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Highs 81-88. Dew point near 60. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 2-6)
Lower shower and thunderstorm chances August 2-3, higher again August 4-6. Overall pattern is warm with frequently moderate to high humidity.
DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 7-11)
Nothing really out of the ordinary expected for August .. warm with moderate to high humidity and a couple/few shower and thunderstorm chances we can sort out as they get closer.
Thanks TK !
Thanks, TK!
Thanks TK
Good to be back.
This day in weather history the morning an EF 2 tornado hit Revere back in 2014.
https://x.com/NWSBoston/status/1817515349438300656
JJ thanks. I remember posting the radial velocity display for that storm. Looks pretty impressive. I just dug it up and here it is:
https://imgur.com/yqRWy0g
I remember that storm and JPD seeing the rotation before nws warned it.
Thanks JJ. Welcome back
Good morning and thank you TK
Thank you, TK
Oops. Wrong place
0Z Euro still has the tropical system and brings it fairly close to us. ๐
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp&rh=2024072800&fh=210&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Thanks, TK.
Wife and I watched a wonderful movie last night
entitled “The Keeper”. Available on Prime for free.
Finished watching the Strong game. Not bad and a similar
movie only about running instead of golf is McFarland, USA.
Thank you. Added to my list.
Thanks Tk
12Z HRRR total qpf for the upcoming low moving up towards us:
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2024072812&fh=48&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
NAM
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2024072812&fh=48&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
WILDLY DIFFERENT!!!!
Nation Hurricane Center now ups the Percentage chance of that tropical system developing to 40%. Up from 30%.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2
Thanks, TK.
If Tyler O’Neill could only field at Fenway, eh! (added the eh because Tyler is Canadian).
He’s got terrific power when he’s in the zone, but for some reason his defense at Fenway can be subpar.
He’s been a gold glover in the past (2020; 2021). But last night, on two separate plays, he showed he has a fear of being close to large walls. Both times Trent Grisham of the Yankees got gift doubles because of poor fielding by O’Neill. The first one was a somewhat difficult play, with Grisham’s ball slicing away from O’Neill. Still he hesitated as he got closer to the wall near the foul-line and that cost him. The second one was just a bad play by him. He didn’t track the ball well (badly misjudged where it would ultimately land, hitting 3 feet up off the green monster) and didn’t get back to the wall to make the catch. It would be one thing if it was a line drive. But this was a long fly ball with plenty of hang time, if you will.
All of this brought back fond memories of going to Fenway in the 1970s and being one of the first people to enter the park, bleachers, to see batting and fielding practice. I believe it was Pesky who would hit fly balls with a fungo bat and Rice, Lynn, Yaz and the back-ups at the time would play balls off the wall, but also catch balls up against the wall.
Yes, he definitely needed to make that catch.
Had me thinking if JBJ was out there, heโd have caught it โฆ.. from center field.
Current radar
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
A friend of mine is riding the PMC from Sturbridge to P town next weekend. Do you have a forecast for his ride that I can pass on?
At this point, what I know is written above.
Adding to JpDave’s tropic comments.
Tropics today.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Tropics 7-day.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
The ocean is crazy calm today.
Both swells and surface.
Rush hour in Antarctica: https://x.com/buitengebieden/status/1817616122222350434
Hahaha.
Pretty good rains coming ashore now
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
Quick burst of rain, then it “blows itself up” as I like to say as the low starts to fall apart. Degenerates to scattered showers and tomorrow is much more rain-free than wet. As I said, it’ll be a better beach day than most people will think. Not “perfect” but not “bad” either. ๐
Right now is a good example of something I pointed out a week or so ago. The satellite picture shows a solid layer of clouds across most of the region. Most of the automated obs are showing “CLR”. The cloud deck is above 12,000 feet in most spots, so the ASOS can’t see it. This is why it’s always a good idea to use the obs in tandem with the satellite and radar.
Yes! Great example today.
Thank you ! It is a great example !!
That leading edge is sprinkles and barely wetting the pavement. Thatโs what has happened here.
Red Sox need some monsoon rains to postpone the next few games and then regroup. In the blink of an eye it’s 3-0 Yankees in tonight’s game. Pitching is totally shot. It’s arm fatigue or something related to none of the starters having pitched this much in any given season.
Not much rain in the future!
Some intermittent rain just began here a bit ago.
It looked like it was really going to let loose, but NOPE. ๐
Radar
https://radar.weather.gov/station/KBOX/standard
Gritty and fun at times, this year’s Sox seem exciting. But folks, the Red Sox have a worse record right now than they did last year at this time. I think they’re headed in the same direction as they did last year: Ultimately a 78 and 84 team and a 4th or 5th place finish.
Talent wins out in this league. 162 games is just too long for a team to hide behind its deficiencies. And the Sox have many.
I do think ownership has been mostly indifferent to the plight of the Sox since 2019, and it shows in the lack of signings and poor roster construction. 2021 was a nice fluke, but it wasn’t because ownership did much. As a baseball fan, I’m not thrilled. Not that I expect the team to compete for a WS every year. But I want to feel like there’s a future in which competing for a WS is possible again. I don’t feel that at all.
The Sox will end the season with an above .500 record. I said it before the season (and put money down on it), and have no reason to change my mind now.
I basically agree … I think I said somewhere around 500.
Said we’d see a team that would have ups, downs, but entertain us often. So far that’s exactly what we’ve had.
New weather post…