Thursday August 15 2024 Forecast (6:53AM)

76 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 15-19)

Upper level low pressure spinning off to our east will do a few things to our weather over the next few days. Firstly, it drives additional wildfire smoke southward out of Canada through at least Friday. It triggers some showers that visit parts (or most) of our region later today and this evening, and it slows down the approach of the next trough that we end up with the majority of the upcoming weekend rain-free. Ernesto is forecast to make a north to northeast track over the western Atlantic in the coming days, peaking as a category 3 hurricane southwest of Bermuda before starting a slow weakening trend and passing close to the island on Saturday. Eventually Ernesto starts to pick up speed and track north northeast, passing far east of New England. It will generate large ocean swells and rough surf heading through the weekend and early next week. Back here in New England, as we get to the start of next week we’ll see a better shot of showers and thunderstorms on Monday as a trough moves into the region.

TODAY: Filtered sun mixed with clouds then clouds taking over later on and showers more likely from north to south late day into the evening. Highs 77-84. Dew point lower 60s. Wind variable to N up to 10 MPH, but can be a little stronger around any showers.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. A chance of showers in the evening. Patchy fog forming. Lows 58-65. Dew point upper 50s to lower 60s. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 77-84. Dew point near 60. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point near 60. Wind S under 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 78-85. Dew point 60+. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point 60+. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs 75-82. Dew point in 60s. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT / MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Occasional showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Patchy fog. Lows 63-70. Highs 72-79. Dew point in 60s to near 70. Wind S to variable 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 20-24)

Shower and thunderstorm chance early in the period followed by drier weather. Temperatures generally near normal – no major heat anticipated.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 25-29)

A fairly quiet pattern expected late month with no prolonged major heat and limited shower and thunderstorm chances.

76 thoughts on “Thursday August 15 2024 Forecast (6:53AM)”

  7. TK I like reading no major heat. Is it safe to say were through the worst of the heat and humidity for this summer?

    1. Yes.

      Some parts of Maine and up near Burlington, VT got some decent storms late last night, well after sunset, so if that’s any indication ……

  14. Thanks, TK.

    Here it’s back to the usual summer temps: 71F daytime/57F nighttime. Dewpoint 53F. Windy today, enough so that I had to wear a fleece when walking in the shade (it’s a partly sunny day).

  19. Storms still look pretty strong and some cells are popping up
    ahead of the main cluster.

    Now looks to be on a bee line to Boston. How will they hold together is the question at this point.

  20. Here in downtown Nashua, we have had 0.87″ in the past 13 minutes. I couldn’t see across the parking lot at one point.

  21. I’m sure there’s a technical reason for it and I am not questioning the SPC …..

    Just funny, I feel like there have been watch boxes on days that have far less storms and a few less severe thunderstorm warnings.

    2. Aside from a few reports of tree and wire damage, these storms have not reached severe limits. A watch box was not warranted.

      1. Oh, I agree.

        According to what makes a storm qualify as severe, i guess they don’t make that criteria.

        But, in the common sense view of impact to a lot of people, they are much more impactful than many days that get a watch.

        Not disagreeing on a technical sense, but in education too, I sometimes find technical logic makes no sense against common sense logic.

  23. I am now under a severe thunderstorm Warning. Is it ever dark.
    Only a touch of rain so far. 🙂

  24. Severe thunderstorm with Quarter sized hail, heavy rain, and fierce winds just came through here in Westwood. The worst I’ve seen here in years.

  25. he he he decided weakening of storm on radar just as it
    approaches. 🙂 🙂 🙂

  26. I had more thunder from the elevated convection behind the main batch than I did from the main batch, which shifted a bit west as it was going by me.

    Not surprised as there was a pretty significant boundary that went by here and you could see it firing off new towers to my northwest and west, and with the stuff moving south, it was not coming this way.

    2. The thing with convection, some people get missed. You’ve had your hits this season too.

  28. Lots of street flooding, small trees down and road closures. It was bad here. I’m not sure I’ve ever witnessed anything like it.

  29. Starting to get some reports of trees down in the Maynard area. My friend in Acton sent me a pic she got from a friend. Fuzzy pic but definitely some damage.

  30. I had just been thinking recently how we (in Westwood) really haven’t had a good T-storm in a while. I guess be careful what you wish for 🙂

    1. Yikes. Ive been saying that all summer and am not alone on here. I’d say it again today.

      And if you say it is bad, my thought is it was really really bad

      1. It was Vicki but it was a lot of fun witnessing it with my son whose never really seen hail like that before.

        1. That makes me smile. These storms are special but experiencing with our kids is as special as it gets.

          This popped up on my FB page from 9 years ago today. My two grandsons. Complete with popcorn. Watching a thunderstorm roll in.

          https://ibb.co/tBLNYfC

          My guess is your son has a special memory stored away

    2. I often say that. It’s not like these were overall the worst storms we’ve had, but if you’re in the right (wrong) place, you can see something pretty remarkable.

      1. Completely agree. I wasn’t even going to post because I’m sure a lot of folks weren’t in the right place today and probably are asking themselves why I’m fussing. Lol

        1. I’m glad you posted. It’s a good example of just how local “the worst of it” can be.

  33. About a dozen 1 inch to 1.5 inch hail reports from near Concord NH to the coast of RI.

    A cluster of wind damage reports is focused mainly in the I-495 region northwest of Boston (Lowell / Chelmsford area) with more isolated reports of wind damage in other locations from Metro West to eastern CT.

  34. Well that was an afternoon. Wow! We were at a fundraise on Allandale Golf Course in Dartmouth for State Rep Chris Markey. Some intense storms chased us into clubhouse – have to say those were the strongest storms we have seen all summer. Not what I was expecting

  35. FIOS down for second time in a week. We may have another storm approaching which IMO is better than tv

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