DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 24-28)
High pressure will provide generally fair weather through the weekend. A weak mid level disturbance will move by later today and tonight with a few more clouds, and another trough will approach later Sunday with an increase in clouds, but I expect any showers that pop up on Sunday afternoon will remain to the west and north of the WHW forecast area. Monday’s weather will be unsettled as a low pressure trough moves through, triggering scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially during the later afternoon and evening hours. When we get to Tuesday and Wednesday, the medium range guidance shows a spread of potential solutions with various weather outcomes ranging from fair to showery. Currently, my thought is that a weak upper low will hang around the region with a pop up shower possible either day, and air temperature will be dictated by surface air flow, which looks mostly regionally onshore Tuesday and more offshore Wednesday, making Tuesday the cooler day and Wednesday a warmer one. But at days 4 and 5 and with such a spread across guidance, the forecast that follows is lower than average confidence and I’ll fine-tune this section of it in the next couple of blog posts…
TODAY: Sunny morning. Partly cloudy afternoon. Highs 79-86. Dew point near 55. Wind variable to W up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 57-65. Dew point near 55. Wind SW under 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Sun/cloud mix with a tendency for more clouds later in the day. Highs 80-87. Dew point near 60. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. A possible shower overnight. Patchy fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Potential showers and thunderstorms especially during the mid to late afternoon and evening hours. Highs 75-82. Dew point near 65. Wind S 5-15 MPH shifting to W.
MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Possible showers and thunderstorms early. Patchy fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind W up to 10 MPH shifting to N.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a shower. Highs 73-80. Dew point near 60. Wind N up to 10 MPH shifting to E.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point near 60. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Slight chance of a shower. Highs 80-87. Dew point near 60. Wind variable to W up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 29 – SEPTEMBER 2)
Fairly quiet pattern overall but a passing frontal system later August 30 or early August 31 can produce a shower threat, and an approaching frontal system may do the same at the end of the period. Labor Day Weekend is August 31 through September 2. No significant temperature extremes.
DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 3-7)
An unsettled interlude around mid period in an otherwise fairly quiet pattern with near to slightly above normal temperatures.
Thanks TK.
Thanks TK !
Good morning and thank you TK.
A beautiful day in the making.
SPC outlook for Monday
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk_0730.gif
Thanks TK
Thanks TK!
Thanks TK
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G18§or=hi&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24
Not related to the satellite
We’re out camping but went to a field hockey jamboree in Bridgewater.
Always timing on weather, blazing sun on the stands and the student-athletes on the field. Could have used a cloudy, cooler day from earlier in the week. 🙂 oh well …….
Just 80 even here. I was just out. It actually feels quite warm compared to what it has been recently, but it is only 80
with dp 55. Absolutely beautiful out!!!!!!
Boston has 11 days of 90+ this summer. Normal through this date is 13. So, below normal on that number.
Boston’s August temp departure (through the 23rd) is -0.7F. So, below normal on that number.
Precipitation is running about 1 inch to the plus side of normal through August 23, so a little wet, but not excessively so.
Also, no Atlantic tropical activity through the rest of this month and probably the first few days of September.
Some medium range guidance hints at something in the Gulf shortly after that…
Thank you. sir. Do you have dew point averages. I know Eric or Pete mentioned someone and will sss if I can find too. I know we have more than boston but for me it was summer of dew point.
Pool water down here in Warwick near PVD International ticked up to 77°.
Thanks, TK.
Rainy day today, mid 60s.
I came down with norovirus. Despite my having relatively poor digestion this is the first actual norovirus to hit me in 14 years.
Good timing as I don’t fly back until Wednesday. But the bug is nasty.
Thanks TK.
Sunny and 85 on the car thermometer at Foxboro. We are heading into the Kenny Chesney concert shortly. He chose a great weekend to play three concerts!
Anyone watching little league US championship? I’m just up to the bottom of the second
I have watched at least highlights of every game, and I am watching today’s and tomorrow’s games as they happen.
Nice. I’m at top of fifth now.
I am watching the Little League U.S. Championship. I love watching this tournament each year. I played little league baseball for three years.
Awesome. I also enjoy each year. Mac and I always watched too
The Florida Nevada game Thursday I think was phenomenal. Not saying anything about this game till I’m sure all have watched. I’m at bottom of 6th
Elsewhere in the tropics…
Eastern North Pacific
-Hurricane Gilma over open water and will dissipate well east of Hawaii several days from now. No big deal.
-Disturbance southwest of Mexico likely develops but is no threat to land. No big deal.
Central North Pacific
-Tropical Storm Hone will pass safely south of Hawaii – just some rough surf on the big island otherwise no big deal for coastal issues. Rain of 6+ inches upslope areas lead to some flooding. Wind not a huge issue, maybe some tropical storm force for a while.
Western North Pacific
-Typhoon Shanshan will eventually impact southern Japan. Probably the equiv of a cat 2 hurricane.
Thanks, TK!
What an incredible weather week for the Marshfield Fair! It ends tomorrow.
Indeed! My son went tonight and I am sure it was crowded.
Great little league game between Florida and Texas. Florida now plays Chinese Tai pei for the championship tomorrow of the little league world series
Phenomenal game. Till now I have been rooting for both teams. I’ll root for Florida tomorrow.
The last time an international team won the little league world series was 2017. In 2021 no international teams came to the little league world series with the covid restrictions. No little league world series in 2020.
I had just looked up international teams and I believe it was japan who won in 2017. I remember the game. I didn’t now the rest. Thank you.
Know not now
New weather post…