Monday August 26 2024 Forecast (7:32AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 26-30)

There are two active weather days coming up in the next five days. Today is one of them, with a disturbance and cool pool dropping southward across New England with a warm and moderately humid air mass in place. This is a recipe for showers and thunderstorms to develop, and we’ll see them do so in scattered to clustered fashion starting by early afternoon, and peaking mid afternoon to early evening. While not everybody gets hit today, areas that do have the potential to experience a strong to severe storm with possible hail and strong wind gusts, as well as torrential downpours and a period of frequent lightning. If you have outdoor plans, or will be traveling, be alert to potentially rapidly changing weather conditions and storm-related hazards. This activity diminishes and moves away this evening as the sun sets and the disturbance exits. A weak area of high pressure builds in with fair and warm weather Tuesday. As this high pushes to the south, a cold front will drop into and through the region Wednesday, with another round of showers and thunderstorms likely initiated by this system. Timing of the boundary’s movement through the region will determine where and when storms fire, and how long they are around. Tweaks on this will take place over the next 2 updates. High pressure to our north brings drier, cooler weather Thursday and Friday.

TODAY: Variably cloudy. Potential showers and thunderstorms especially during afternoon and early evening hours. Thunderstorms can be severe. Highs 75-82. Dew point near 65. Wind variable up to 10 MPH but can be strong and gusty near any storms.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Possible showers and thunderstorms early, especially south of I-90. Patchy fog. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind W up to 10 MPH shifting to N.

TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 76-83. Dew point near to a little under 60. Wind N up to 10 MPH shifting to E.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 60-67. Dew point near 60. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 81-88. Dew point 60+. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Patchy fog. Lows 56-63. Dew point around to below 60. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 70-77. Dew point sub-60. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 53-60. Dew point near 50. Wind NE under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 68-75. Dew point in 50s. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 31 – SEPTEMBER 4)

Labor Day Weekend is August 31 through September 2, and the weather looks “mostly” good. One frontal system moves through between later August 31 and the first half of September 1 with a shower and thunderstorm potential, timing to be pinned down in the days ahead. Another front may approach with a shot of a shower or storm later on Labor Day. Fair and warm weather looks likely later in the period.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 5-9)

An unsettled interlude early to mid period in an otherwise fairly quiet pattern with near to slightly above normal temperatures.

82 thoughts on “Monday August 26 2024 Forecast (7:32AM)”

      1. Thank you.

        Last time we had severe hail in Boston, it caused $$$$
        damage to my car.

        I am doing my ANTI_HAIL dance!!!

  5. Speaking of cold – some strong upwelling on the eastern side of Lake Michgan has dropped water temps all the way to the upper 40s and 50s very quickly the last several days. Brr!!

    1. My area sends out a thunderstorm DESTRUCT Signal.
      Tough to get a juicy thunderstorm here. Sure, once every so often they come along, but the overwhelming vast majority
      of T-storms here are SUB-SEVERE.

      We shall see about today. My guess is I won’t see a severe storm at my location, EVEN if I am under a warning. Frankly, I am more worried about large hail this go around than I am about severe wind. Time will tell.

      Although, i still strongly suspect we will see a watch from the SPC.

      btw, there were many storms my wife would have dubbed SEVERE, but they did NOT meat my criteria. 🙂 🙂 🙂

      1. Hail seems to be the bigger concern than the strong wind gusts when reading the NWS Boston discussion.

  10. No tropical systems in the Atlantic since August 20. Models show none for the next 7-10 days at least. If that verifies, it’ll be the 1st time we’ve gone through the last week of August and 1st week of September without a named system in the Atlantic since 1956. Of course, that’s only if the models are right.

  12. Well, it is not even 10 AM, so not unexpectedly, there are no
    current Mesoscale Discussions at this time with the SPC

      1. Not sure but thunder started as early as 9am.

        Since, the dark cloud to our east has moved further away. 🙂

        1. Interesting. I wonder if that will such the juice out of what might be to come later???

          I anxiously await convection for fire to see what we get.

  15. Spraying for mosquitoes starts out this way tonight. Sutton is one of towns at critical level for EEE. It seems rain will have passed through by spray time. But I wonder what impact rain Wednesday will have. Possibly none by then

    1. 40% is 40% so there is still a “chance” for a watch, however, 40% is fairly low, so odds are against a watch. We shall see.

  21. Plenty of thunder and lightning down here.

    It’s raining lightly.

    Sounds and looks by the sky really nasty to our east and northeast.

    1. Thunder has a different rumble in a forest and with it quiet since 90% of the campground cleared out yesterday.

  23. A couple cells heading kind of this way. I wonder if the one that looks more likely to arrive here will be pushed east by the cell to its SW

  24. We have a storm about six miles to our east. The winds have picked up in the last 15 minutes and it’s getting quite dark. My son says that his friend, who lives in Plymouth, has lost power.

  27. The most recent batch of storms were neat because they literally developed over us in Carver.

    Started with a decent cumulus cloud to our west. By the time it was overhead, it grew darker and more widespread. By the time it was just east of us, we started hearing big, big rain drops hitting the top of the camper. The first thunder came after that clump had mostly passed by. Then the lightning/thunder really increased in frequency, rain grew to a steady rain and I think we got the western edge of a 2nd storm that blew up behind the initial one.

    Now, the southern sky is still dark, we can still hear lighter thunder, but the western and northern sky has a lot of blue to it. And it’s comparatively chilly to an hour ago !!!!!

  28. 68F here and partly sunny.

    Still recovering from the norovirus that hit me Saturday, but enjoying my last couple of days in the UK.

      1. Thanks, Vicki.

        GI is my Achilles heel (GERD/IBS), though I haven’t had a true norovirus in 14 years. I just hope I didn’t pass it on to my daughter and boyfriend. Felt great my entire trip until Saturday afternoon and then bam, within an hour or so I became (too) close friends with my daughter’s bathroom.

        Oh well, worse things happen.

  33. Very impressive cloud to ground lightning in the Dartmouth area – impressive line of storms- not as bad as two weeks ago but pretty close

  34. These storms seem to be training. I’m sure we will receive multiple reports of localized flooding in some areas.

  35. HRRR model nailed the current configuration of storms (as of 3:30 p.m.)

    It started out not doing so well but once the event got underway it vastly improved. It’s struggled with timing and placement of initial activity. But there’s a reason why it’s run every hour.

  38. I have seen hail stones but I have never had where it has covered the deck or ground where I live.

  39. Pete warned of this a couple of days ago.

    1Degree outside ….

    3:07pm: Lightning outside of rain ongoing: Confirmed via ground truth – this bolt in the Merrimack Valley struck minutes ago outside of the rain and was the first bolt this storm produced. In other words, some of these storms are giving very little warning as they develop overhead. If you see dark clouds, check radar on our app. If there’s a downpour nearby, consider lightning a risk.

    One sec. Creating image

  41. Some shots of the rare summer snow that fell the last couple days in the Sierras:

    Tom Niziol
    @TomNiziol
    Aug 24

    The Siberia Chair Lift at Palisades Tahoe today. It sits at just above 9,000 ft. and the snow is coming down. #winteriscoming.

    https://x.com/TomNiziol/status/1827390500506087436

    SnowBrains
    @SnowBrains
    Aug 24

    ️ A nice break from summer today from
    @palisadestahoe to
    @MammothMountain
    today. ☃️ Winter is knocking!

    https://x.com/SnowBrains/status/1827435745042125089

      1. Up to 4 inches, even a bit more in some places. The mainstream media called it a dusting and blew it off. They were to focused on the heat in Texas to give this story the attention it deserved. It was a rare event!

    1. Not going to get too concerned yet based on a model blend for the winter that was run on August 12. What is happening in the tropics right now (or should I say…what is not happening) is a great example of why we should take some of these long range projections with a grain of salt.

  44. My casual observation as a resident of Dartmouth/New Bedford for two years now..the thunderstorms that “get us” come from the north to south direction. They have a lot of juice as opposed to the ones coming from
    The west that seem to always lose their juice when they hit the coast. Even sometimes from the south to north we get walloped but so far the north to south storms seem to be the most intense

  45. JJ, in SNE the 2020s haven’t been great for snow, for the most parts, but parts of New England have enjoyed banner seasons. Coastal plain has been more or less snowless since the big storm in January of 2022. That will change this year. I’m confident that this winter will not be a repeat of the past two.

  46. Hindsight is always 20-20. But the Sox should have traded O’Neill and Jansen at the deadline. To avoid a state of more or less permanent averageness or mediocrity they must get more major league talent and minor league prospects to deal in the off-season for major league talent. Otherwise, they’ll be spinning their wheels for a long time. Entertaining at times, but they’re lacking in real talent (especially in the pitching department and on defense).

  47. Pharmacies are different everywhere you go in the world. In Britain, independent pharmacists still rule the roost. Practically all meds are behind the counter, meaning you have to ask the pharmacist to retrieve them for you. This also applies to what we call over-the-counter drugs. About the only things I could find off-the-shelf were vitamins and chap stick. The pharmacist then retrieves the item, say, ibuprofen or paracetamol (acetaminophen), and often provides you with warnings. Benadryl here has a totally different active ingredient (acrivastine). The Benadryl we’re accustomed to with the active ingredient diphenhydramine is for sales, but NOT as an allergy med. It’s strictly as a sleep aid and mostly discouraged by pharmacists.

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