Saturday August 31 2024 Forecast (7:21AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 31 – SEPTEMBER 4)

A warm front crosses the region this morning and introduces higher humidity and seasonably warm air for the opening day of the holiday weekend. Sun will be most limited west of I-95 while offshore high pressure helps fight the cloudiness and allows a little more sun in eastern locations. A trough and cold front approach tonight then cross the region on Sunday. The interaction of these with the humid air will bring up to a few rounds of showers and possibly a thunderstorm to any given location for about a 12 hour period from midnight to noon. However, most of the time during this window will be rain-free. The shower and thunderstorm chance drops during Sunday afternoon but does not go to zero. We’ll have to just keep an eye out for one more passing shower or storm, but odds are quite low. Sunday evening, the cold front will push through and introduce a cooler, dry air mass to the region, reinforced by a secondary cold frontal passage early Monday, making Labor Day a day with a hint of autumn in the air, but with fair weather, a breeze, and sunshine with passing clouds about. High pressure builds in with fair and pleasant weather Tuesday and Wednesday.

TODAY: Variably cloudy – most sun east of I-95. Highs 75-82. Dew point rising into 60s. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Considerably cloudy. Scattered showers and a slight chance of a thunderstorm increasing from west to east overnight. Patchy fog overnight. Lows 61-68. Dew point 60+. Wind S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy with a couple passing showers and possible thunderstorms in the morning. Partly sunny with a slight chance of an additional passing shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon. Highs 72-79. Dew point middle to upper 60s. Wind S 5-15 MPH, can be briefly variable and gusty around any showers/storms.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy to mostly clear. Lows 52-59. Dew point falling to near 50. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY (LABOR DAY): Sun and passing clouds. Highs 68-75. Dew point falling into 40s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, a few higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. A patch of ground fog possible in lowest elevations. Lows 47-54, mildest urban centers. Dew point in 40s. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 68-75. Dew point in 40s. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Ground fog patches possible. Lows ranging from near 40 interior valleys to 50-55 urban areas. Dew point in 40s. Wind calm.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 70-77. Dew point near 50. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 5-9)

High pressure shifts eastward with fair weather and a warming trend early in the period. A weak trough approaches from the west while low pressure takes place south of New England later next week. While it’s uncertain, any interaction between these systems can draw wet weather northward from the aformentioned low, and bring a rain chance at some point next weekend. Something to watch and different from what was in yesterday’s outlook.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 10-14)

Overall pattern looks fairly quiet and mild heading into mid September, but will have to re-evaluate depending on what happens prior.

33 thoughts on “Saturday August 31 2024 Forecast (7:21AM)”

    3. That you TK. Was the storm where my fascination in weather was born. As I’ve said here too many times to repeat the entire story, we were stuck at Humarock because my dad headed to worm with our only car knowing it was in NC and believing if would not reach our area until nighttime.

      And we will indeed be surprised….between lack of testing and upkeep of our electric grid and building closer and closer to an ocean that is also coming closer and closer to us. But then sometimes all of the planning and hurricane construction might not help as much as we want to believe. Kenny Chesneys VI home is an example.

  9. Left the house at 4:45 AM and made it to Mt Greylock. Then a 2 hour climb up. Foggy and some wind. No views today. But it’s nice in its own way. Some sprinkles but I need to beat the coming rain. Probably a 2 hour climb down too.

    1. Awesome. We were there three years ago last weekend for my son’s wedding. There is an awesome pizza place nearby if you are spending the night. I can get the name.

      Enjoy

  11. Thanks TK.

    Raining on and off and in the low 70s here at my mother’s in Amsterdam NY today. Trying to find a window to go out and play some golf later. We’ll see. Next two days look gorgeous though and we are heading to the races in Saratoga tomorrow and up to Sacandaga Lake Monday before heading back to CT.

    1. 12z Canadian operational as well though it still has some late development very far south before making landfall in the Yucatán.

  14. Boston set a record for peak wind with 100 MPH from the southeast during Hurricane Carol on 8/31/1954.

    The record lasted 10 days before being broken on 9/10/1954 by Hurricane Edna, 101 MPH from the northwest.

      1. State Armory? Well it was 70 years ago, but I swear Mass was at St. Catherine’s School. Same place I attended CCD. Oh well, I was at one place or the other and not in the church.

  15. Thanks TK! Great information about the 1954 season. I believe Carol led to the installation of the hurricane barriers in New Bedford. Today overperfomed here on the South Coast – a brilliant beach day – hardly any clouds along the water

  16. They need to do something about these models, they are performing rather poorly as a group. There was a 3 year period in which models seemed to be getting better and better and the biases where rather well known, they people tried to “improve” them and they messed them up.

      1. This is the main reason why I continue to use ensemble instead of bothering to see what models do run to run with a specific system that doesn’t actually exist. 🙂

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