DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 3-7)
High pressure brings fair weather, chilly nights and mild days through midweek before humidity nudges up a tad with a warming trend late week. Previously, guidance was fairly strongly indicating low pressure from the south and a trough from the west trying to combine for a wet Saturday, but solid guidance trends toward stronger high pressure and two more separate systems lead me to declare Saturday to have a rain-free outlook just more cloudiness and higher humidity, but not a bad start to the weekend. Continuing to monitor the evolution for any other changes…
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 68-75. Dew point in 40s. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clear. Ground fog patches possible. Lows ranging from near 40 interior valleys to 50-55 urban areas. Dew point in 40s. Wind calm.
WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 70-77. Dew point in 40s. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Ground fog patches possible. Lows 43-50 except milder urban centers. Dew point lower to middle 40s. Wind W under 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 71-78. Dew point in 50s. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 53-60. Dew point in 50s. Wind S under 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 72-79, coolest coast. Dew point in 50s. Wind S to SE up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 55-62. Dew point middle to upper 50s. Wind SE under 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 71-78. Dew point rising to lower 60s. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 8-12)
Low pressure looks like it will pass well to the southeast of the region, staying separate from a trough from the west, which will be running into blocking high pressure and weakening, with just a shower chance to end the weekend on September 8 as it stands now. Remainder of the period looks fairly dry, shifting to cooler then moderating again late in the period.
DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 13-17)
Pattern looks quiet and slightly warmer mid month.
Good morning and thank you TK.
Down to 52 here this morning.
Thanks TK !
So, this is what this part of the morning feels like π
Nice and chilly, feels great !
Survive the 85 mtgs they throw at us today, then we start tomorrow !! π π π
Feeling your pain, Tom!
Can’t wait to see kids tomorrow!
My Daughter started last Monday with kids starting
last Wednesday.
It boggles my mind that they start school BEFORE Labor Day.
I would NOT have gone had they pulled that crap when I was in school! That is highway robbery of SUMMER vacation!!)(@#(*!(@*#()*!@)(#*()!@*#()!*@#)(*!@)(#*)(!@#*)(!)(#
My first day was April 12 JPDave, then the kids started the 14thβ¦. Everyone on the east coast is starting school today and Iβm giving my unit 1 test π
April 12th? did you mean August? π
Oops! Yes, August π
Have a good first day you two!
Thanks, Julie! π
Thanks TK. We dropped to 43 with a 41 DP.
From WGC…
September 3 1930. Hurricane “San Zenon” becomes the 5th deadliest Atlantic hurricane on record, with ~8,000 fatalities and about as many injuries, passing the Dominican Republic as a category 4 storm, intensifying to a category 5 before a Puerto Rico landfall. Santo Domingo recorded peak winds of 155 MPH.
Down to 50.3 this morning. Brrr compared to coming back from Aruba. No complaints though!
Thanks, TK!
We were at 47.
Thanks TK
Up To 67. What a beautiful day!!!!
Agree. 68 here at 12:30 with a 43 DP
Just saw this on Twitter…
Philip Klotzbach
@philklotzbach
The Atlantic has had no named storm formations since #Ernesto on August 12. The last time that the Atlantic had no named storm formations between August 13 – September 3 was in 1968.
This day in weather history goes back to the 1821 September Gale
https://x.com/NWSBoston/status/1830923695550050448
Thank you, JJ.
NHC has the wave near 40W that SAK mentioned
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2
Random thoughts during our lunch break or “Topical Tidbits” π
0.94″ of rain at NWS-Norton since August 15.
A quick peek at the Drought Monitor shows that Essex County and parts of southeastern New Hampshire are in the “Abnormally Dry” category.
Thank you all for the info on 1954 Hurricane Carol. I know that I have mentioned it here before but, growing up, my grandparents owned a very small summer cottage in Onset. I remember by grandmother tell me that a baby was swept away by the storm surge on Onset Island. All these years I thought it was an unfounded story. Low and behold, a couple of years ago, I found evidence concerning that story:
https://newenglandhistoricalsociety.com/hurricane-carol-deadly-name-retired/
Even more research revealed that the poor soul was a 10-month baby girl from Brockton who was torn from her mother’s arms by the hurricane.
The residents and summer guests were caught by surprise by Carol. They crowded into a home on Onset Island. The women and the children went to the second floor while the men stayed on the ground floor.
Philip: You had asked, a couple of weeks ago, if any teams from Massachusetts have ever made it to the Little League World Series.
According to unpage.org, 11 teams from Massachusetts have represented the New England region in Williamsport, the most recent being the boys from Middleborough Little League in 2022. Middleborough also was regional champions in 1994, 30 years ago,
I saw my class rosters this morning and I will teach some of those players starting tomorrow as those boys are now freshmen in high school!
https://www.unpage.org/massachusetts/
What a fascinating comment, Captain. Thank you.
First, I donβt think we are in serious drought, but Iβd be surprised if we are not below normal. Our swampy areas and small ponds are quite low. And so far we have been between any high rain producers. (See my reference to stuck in the middle again throughout this blog π )
I had never heard the story of the 10 month old. How horrifically sad. I do know that many were caught off guard by Carol. We sure were.
I remember cheering for Middleborough in 2022. It was a thrill. And how exciting for you to have some of the team members for students. IMO little League sets the standard for sportsmanship
Last and never least, I hope you have a fantastic school year. I wish the same for all of our teachers
Thank you, Vicki! π
Thanks Captain! π
NHC’s new update.
Disturbance in Caribbean: 30% chance of development thru 7 days.
Disturbance in MDR: 10% chance of development thru 7 days.
Disturbance south of CVI: 30% chance of development thru 7 days.
As I said, the tropics are asnooze and will remain so for some time to come.
π
Ignore the 18z NAM 12km run. Not even close with low track.
Phoenix reached 100 again today. That makes 100 days in a row. The previous record was 76 days in a row. They’ll probably add another 10-12 days to that record as well.
The Red Sox are flirting with .500 at 70W 69L.