Thursday October 17 2024 Forecast (7:17AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 17-21)

This morning’s low temperatures show a wide range, which is typical for this time of year under high pressure with light wind, with inland low elevations having dropped below freezing with frost and freeze occurring, while urban centers and immediate coastal areas are relatively warmer, remaining well above freezing, even above 40 in some locations. The aforementioned high pressure area will be in control of our weather through the weekend into the early part of next week with fair weather and a general warming trend. However, the weather in part of the region will be impacted by a strengthening ocean storm, passing southeast of the region, later today into Friday. The impacts from this system will be some cloudiness over southeastern areas, a more prominent northeasterly wind in southeastern MA to southern RI, and some high tide coastal splash-over and minor flooding especially in prone areas of southeastern MA Friday. Rainfall associated with the storm will remain offshore, and the influence of the system will end as it moves further away heading into the weekend. We continue to have good sky conditions for viewing of Comet Tsuchinshan-ATLAS, which appears slightly higher in the west southwest sky about 45 minutes after sunset each evening until it sinks to the western horizon. This comet will be starting to dim day by day, so best views are likely the next couple nights – though this can be limited in southeastern areas by clouds associated with the ocean storm.

TODAY: Sun most abundant north and west and more limited south and east. Highs 53-60. Wind N-NE 5-15 MPH EXCEPT 15-25 mph Cape Cod region.

TONIGHT: Clouds linger southeastern MA / mostly clear elsewhere. Lows 33-40. Wind NE-N 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sun/cloud mix southeastern MA / RI. Sunnier elsewhere. Highs 55-62. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 38-45. Wind W up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 61-68. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Fog patches low elevations. Lows 42-49. Wind W under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 65-72. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Fog patches low elevations. Lows 44-51. Wind SW under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 66-73. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 22-26)

Dry pattern. The only unsettled weather chance is a passing rain shower chance sometime later October 23 or October 24 with a cold front passing by, based on current expected timing. Mild early period, cooler later period.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 27-31)

Similar pattern though in the larger scale systems may be more dynamic. Still, the trend is for it to be on the drier side here, again with probably only one brief interruption from a passing frontal system around mid period. Obviously can’t get too detailed this far out and will monitor and update.

37 thoughts on “Thursday October 17 2024 Forecast (7:17AM)”

    1. I had slightly frozen dew yesterday on the windshield that one windshield wipe took off. This morning, it required a little bit of heat to get it to melt off.

      Reply

  3. Thanks TK !

    Looks like others had the experience I had last night, which is, I couldn’t find the comet.

    My wife put sky maps app on my phone, so I found Venus, but it didn’t help any.

    I’ll give it another try tonight.

    Reply

  6. Thanks, TK.

    Good news regarding your mother.

    Winter started in Norilsk, Russia about 4 weeks ago, as I mentioned previously. They have a very brief spring of 1.5 months followed by a short summer of around 2 months. Then winter kicks in for 8.5 months.

    Here’s how it looks at a bus stop: https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/russia/siberian-federal-district/norilsk/norilsk.html

    Norilsk is off limits to foreigners and is even mostly cut off from the outside Russian world. Stalin sent Russians to this city during the 1930s to work in the nickel ore mines. The city is terribly polluted. Life expectancy is dismal (around 60).

    Reply

  11. I cannot believe it was 20 years ago tonight that Dave Roberts stole second base in Game 4 of 2004 ALCS that started the change that led the Red Sox to go four straight over the Yankees and, eventually, their World Series in 86 years.

    That Sox run will always be one of the greatest highlights of my life.

    If I can find it, I will watch “Four Days in October” on ESPN+, part of the 30-for-30 series.

    Reply

    1. What an absolute thrill that series was. Mac’s parents were here for his cousins bar mitzvah and we watched that game with family on the tv at Longhorns in Millbury.

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  12. Wow, that’s crazy !

    I remember games til 1 or 2am seemingly, especially games 4 and 5 and being exhausted losing out on a lot of sleep.

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    1. I know this sounds silly but I went to sleep before those games ended. I had early meetings that week. But I had an odd feeling each time and just knew the Sox would win. When I headed to bed and Mac asked how I could miss the end, I told him this. I thought so much of my mom and Ted and how I wished they could see this…..so maybe they were

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  13. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-met&rh=2024101712&fh=54&r=caribbean&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype-met&rh=2024101712&fh=48&r=caribbean&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=prateptype_cat_icon-met&rh=2024101712&fh=48&r=caribbean&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=cam&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24

    I feel like I see a hint in the low clouds of some broad low level circulation.

    Reply

  14. As a Yankees fan I do remember that 20 years ago which you mentioned Captain. The game before the Yankees beat the Red Sox 19-8. Yesterday was the 21 year anniversary of Aaron Boone hitting the game winning home run off Tim Wakefield in the bottom of the 11th to send the Yankees to the World Series.

    Reply

    1. One of the greatest and classiest things that I think I have ever witnessed in sports was Mariano Rivera’s reaction at the 2005 Sox ring ceremony. When he was announced during the opening announcements, the Sox faithful gave him one of the largest and longest roars of the day. He tipped his cap and laughed and was a true sport. Truly classy and classic! 🙂

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    1. Why TT loads for me sometimes and gives me a forbidden others makes no sense. If I go to the site on my own it tells me there have been no posts in the last week.

      Reply

  17. Seeing some impressive snow totals in NNE and upstate NY! Question: I know there’s data that shows early snows, especially in Oct. in the Boston area can signal lower seasonal snow totals. Is the same true for NNE?

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    1. I don’t believe so, areas of Vermont and upstate NY can get snow as early as late September. I think this winter might surprise people in a good way if your a winter weather lover. I think people are putting to much stock into the ENSO.

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    2. Snow in October does not always mean lower snow totals. Lowell has recorded snow in October 19 times in the past 96 years. 6 of those winters had above normal snowfall, 10 had below normal snowfall, and 3 were near normal (this is using 96 year average).

      Lowell has had measurable snow in October 5 times. 2 of those winters had above normal snowfall, 3 had below normal snow.

      Reply

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