DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 18-22)
Offshore low pressure exerts limited lingering influence on the weather today with a gusty northeast wind still ongoing over Cape Cod and the Islands, and a bit breezy further up into southeastern MA and southern RI from the storm’s circulation, but the band of clouds has already pulled off to the south and southeast and is gone, leaving all of our region under a clear sky, although some ground fog patches have formed in lower elevations of the interior where winds were lighter overnight. These will dissipate soon after sunrise, leaving us with abundant sunshine during the day today. Our stretch of nice weather will continue through the weekend into early next week, with a warming trend, as high pressure takes full control. The breeze may come up somewhat on Sunday as a trough moves by to our north, tightening up the pressure gradient a little. Comet Tsuchinshan-ATLAS is appearing a little higher up in the western sky each evening now but it is starting to fade and will get more difficult to spot until it fades from view in the coming days, at which point we say bye to it for the next 80,000 years!
TODAY: Sun in abundance. Highs 55-62. Wind NE 10-20 MPH and gusty South Coast and under 10 MPH elsewhere.
TONIGHT: Clear. Radiation fog patches overnight. Lows 37-44. Wind calm.
SATURDAY: Sunny. Highs 61-68. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Radiation fog patches overnight. Lows 40-47. Wind SW under 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 65-72. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 45-52. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 46-53. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 65-72. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 23-27)
Dry pattern. The only unsettled weather chance is a passing rain shower chance sometime later October 23 or October 24 with a cold front passing by, based on current expected timing. Temperatures more variable and closer to normal.
DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 28 – NOVEMBER 1)
Similar pattern though in the larger scale systems may be more dynamic, however pattern still looks fairly dry with only one potential brief interruption from a passing front early in the period.
Good morning and thank you TK.
Thanks TK !
17F warmer this morning in eastern Marshfield, due to a breeze off the ocean.
54F this morning vs 37F yesterday morning at 7:15 am.
Moon in western sky looks awesome.
I was getting some moon behind foliage pics a short bit ago. đ
Nice !
Thanks Tk
Thanks, TK
39 degrees when I left this morning.
You’re right, Tom. It was spectacular moon over the campus when I was walking into school!
Happy Friday, Captain !
Right back attacha, amigo!
Thanks, TK.
For those of you who missed last night’s pinch hit homer by “Big Christmas,” Jhonkensy Noel of the Cleveland Guardians, to tie the game against the Yankees with 2 out in the 9th and down by 2 runs, here is the call on Spanish TV: https://x.com/BIGPLAY/status/1847084824198009137
Thanks TK
Up to 45 from a low of 35. Not a hard frost as it was previous night but maybe enough to help get rid of the mosquitoes
Only down to 40 here and that was about 1:30 AM. Around 7 it was already 43, Up to 51 now.
Thanks TK
Thank you TK. Not sure, but would add that there could be some high tide surge today … astronomical high tide.
Yes, 12.0 ft today and tomorrow in Boston and with swells from the offshore storm ….. it should be good around noon to 1pm.
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16§or=cam&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24
Doesn’t have much time to getting over land, but I think there’s a small chance to develop a depression and a non zero opportunity to get a tropical storm.
Thanks TK. Looking like a splendid weekend.
The first âafternoonâ posting. Not that there is a lot of weather to discuss. A nice stretch of Indian Summer temperatures ahead!
Hi Philip. Itâs a glorious autumn afternoon. Iâve been busy celebrating because I finally got my new fios remote synched to my tv.
That’s a good reason to celebrate. đ
I was doing that when I realized my mom’s TV remote just needed a new battery and wasn’t busted. đ
Ha!!! I originally thought it was my batteries. Several buttons still refused to work after I replaced them. Is mom home???
She is. đ Yesterday. đ
I’ll write more soon.
180 years ago today (October 18 1844)…
“Like an infuriated army charging its retreating foe and without any warning whatsoever, the black seething mass swept inward upon a sleeping community, many of whom were drowned before they realized what had happened. On and on it swept, overflowing the lower districts of the city, spreading ruin along the harbor front and playing havoc with boats, schooners, and sailing crafts of every description.”
Reporting of the seiche that caused a 22-foot rise of Lake Erie’s waters at Buffalo, NY, just before midnight. The rapid rise in water led to 53 deaths in Buffalo and 25 on ships on Lake Erie.
(From WGC.)
Right about this time of year in 1621, Winthrop, Bradford et al. were probably having trouble wrapping their heads around the weather. They probably experienced a few glorious stretches in October. They were likely thinking back to when they had docked at Provincetown in mid November 1620 and the weather wasn’t good at all. Between then and 6 weeks later when they landed at Plymouth Rock cold and stormy weather was the norm.
Bradford wrote: âBeing thus passed the vast ocean, and a sea of troubles before in their preparation (as may be remembered by that which went before), they had now no friends to welcome then nor inns to entertain or refresh their weather beaten bodies; no houses or much less towns to repair to, to seek for succourâŚand for the season it was winter, and they that know the winters of that country know them to be sharp and violent, and subject to cruel and fierce storms, dangerous to travel to known places, much more to search an unknown coast.â
On December 16, 1620 the Mayflower set off for Cape Cod Bay and âin very cold and hard weatherâŚthe ground was now all covered with snow and hard frozen.â Six inches of snow had fallen on the Cape at Provincetown on December 7-8. On the âwild nightâ of December 18-19 the Pilgrims managed to approach the harbor at Plymouth. Bradford described the landing at Plymouth by skiff on December 18-19:
âAfter some hours sailing it began to snow and rain, and about the middle of the afternoon the wind increased and the sea became very rough, and they broke their rudder [the landing party in the skiff], and it was as much as two men could do to steer her with a couple of oars. But their pilot bade them be of good cheer for hew saw harbor; but the storm increasing, and night drawing on, they bore what sail they could to get in, while they could see. But therewith they broke their mast in three pieces and their sail fell overboard in a very grown sea, so they had like to have been cast away. Yet, by Godâs mercy they recovered themselves, and having the flood [tide] with them, struck into the harborâŚand though it was very dark and rained sore they, in the end, got under the lee of a small island and remained there all night in safetyâ.
Sound like a southeaster to me: Snow changing to cold rain.
45 of the 102 surviving Mayflower passengers died during the winter of 1620/21.
Love this. Thank you. Itâs been a while since I read this to the kids. A long while. One of our local bank presidents that we worked with is a direct descendant of Bradford.
Last night we saw the full moon on Ogunquit beach.
https://ibb.co/jfwQzVL
We met a local guy there and he showed us photos on his phone of the Aurora that he took from that part of the beach. They were beyond amazing. He said that it looked almost that good to the naked eye.
Sounds very special. It was a perfect night weatherwise too