DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 20-24)
One final note for sky watchers regarding Comet Tsuchinshan-ATLAS: This comet is fading in brightness night by night and will really only be easily found (with some aid such as binoculars or night sight on your phone cam) for a couple more nights. We will have clear sky for those who wish to try. The clear sky for that event is part of the ongoing dry and mild weather pattern we have, a result of a large area of high pressure over our region. This will remain the case for another 4 days with sunny, mild to warm days and clear, cool nights. Radiation fog can form over interior lower elevations each overnight / early morning before it quickly dissipates with rising sun. You’ll notice more of a breeze from the west as the center of high pressure shifts south of our region today and Monday, but the breeze will drop off Tuesday as the high noses its way back over the region, and then we’ll get into a light southeasterly to southerly air flow Wednesday as the high center shifts offshore in response to an approaching trough from the west. Our one brief shot at unsettled weather comes Thursday morning-midday (based on current expecting timing) as a trough of low pressure drives a strong cold front our way, bringing the chance of rain showers with it. This day will be less mild than the previous 4, and the start of a cooler snap…
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 67-74. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clear. Radiation fog patches overnight.Lows 45-52. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 69-76. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 46-53. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 45-52. Wind S under 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Highs 67-74. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Rain showers possible overnight. Lows 52-59. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers in the morning. Sun/cloud mix afternoon. Highs 61-68. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 25-29)
Canadian high pressure brings fair, cool weather October 25 and 26, and a chilly start and milder afternoon October 27. A frontal boundary crosses the region by early October 28 and may allow a wave of low pressure along it with a rain chance part of that day, before fair weather returns by October 29 with another cool-down.
DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 30 – NOVEMBER 3)
Overall pattern is still fairly dry looking out into the end of October and start of November, with only a brief interruption around mid period with a rain shower chance. A brief milder spell is replaced by another cool-down.
Thanks TK.
It’s raining at Wembly Stadium and is expected to continue for the entire game.
Drake Maye slipped and fell down during warmups. Hope that’s not a sign.
Btw, I am first! 🙂
You are indeed, first.
Anyone expecting our type of October weather in London will be shocked (sarcasm) to find out that it practically never happens there. Rain, usually of the light variety, is the norm in autumn. If it’s not raining it’s very often just gray and gloomy. Yes, the sun makes cameo appearances, to be sure, but they’re ephemeral. Just the way it is.
By the way, only one of my friends and acquaintances in England even know there’s an NFL game being played. It’s not a popular sport, needless to say. It’s a fringe sport like it was in the 1980s when I lived there. Same in Germany and the Netherlands. You have a few real fanatics and some American-style sports bars that will have the game on, but the vast majority of the nation doesn’t care and never will.
Ice hockey, basketball and even baseball to a lesser extent are different. They do have larger followings, though it’s often country-specific.
* Wembley (sp.)
Thanks, TK.
For those interested in healthcare and specifically patient access to healthcare, I posted an article this weekend on the presidential candidates’ policy positions: https://www.forbes.com/sites/joshuacohen/2024/10/19/harriss-healthcare-plans-and-trumps-concepts-of-a-plan-implications-for-patient-access/
Thank you. I am quite interested
Thanks Joshua. I always read healthcare coverage articles! It’s always a hot topic.
Thanks TK !
Good morning and thank you TK.
London radar
https://ibb.co/B26cLgT
looks like showers here and there and not a steady rain.
Cool !
Thanks TK
This day in weather history goes back to 1770 The Stiles Hurricane
https://x.com/NWSBoston/status/1847955935093788823
This is cool. Was it the first time the term hurricane was used?
Thank you, JJ
Good morning and thank you, TK. Up to 52 from a low of 36
Thank you also TK for the reminder about James spann. I have been following him. I used to follow cliff mass and do read his blog on occasion but am enjoying following spann more.
He had an interesting FB post on tornado season beginning today and some tips. I copied to create an image so I don’t take up a lot of space here. Not replying on tornado sirens was very interesting
https://ibb.co/QQyppTs
One of the replies may be worth posting. I am shocked to think people are believing this nonsense. One reply to this was reading it gave him a migraine. Spann said it made his head explode
There’s no tornado this season unless there’s a hurricane . But this evil technology the HARRP and cloud seedings can manipulate the weather— Scientists Whistleblowers Under Oath in Senate Hearings Neck Hecker says . He’s been in Alaska which the HARRP located and in South Pole Station which the huge demonic technology has capable to create massive Earthquakes and activates the Volcanos. The New Zealand EARTHQUAKE the technology it did it but not intentionally was mistake.. People wake up sounds conspiracy theories but Facts. There’s a global military control this technology it’s about money and they can bid or request like what happened Hurricanes Helene and Milton..
You’re welcome. Also, WHW had a little fun commenting on Pete’s post this morning. 🙂
Fb or twitter
Found it and laughed. I saw Pete’s post a few days ago saying, if we controlled weather, that all forecasts would be perfect.
10-7 Pats
The tide is turning….Not looking good at the moment.
Patriots are absolutely terrible!
Maybe it’s just I, but to me the announcers are ALL for Jaxonville!!!
And they just scored on a 96 yard punt return!!!
Jaxonville: 22
Patriots: 10
PATHETIC! I certainly expected much more today.
Of course, the game isn’t over just yet, but it has been UGLY!!!
Now they are calling it a 97 yard return.
Horrible! They better get going!!
Patriots coaching and play calling stinks both on Offense and Defense. Disgusting undisciplined players along with the coaches not doing good play calling = terrible.
I watched the Patriots through the 80’s and 90’s and through the Brady era. I won’t abandon them now but they have a LOT of building to do.
This ^^
Yes. To build back better (coining a Biden phrase), the front office should also spend more money on players. Talent wins games ultimately and it needs to be widespread across the entire team. There is no excuse for Kraft et al. staying well under the cap as often as they do.
BUT, the one bright spot is very important: Drake Maye has looked very good at times. If you assemble real talent around him, the franchise could right itself.
I think Maye has talent and can be a good QB. BUT, two caveats are in order: 1. He’s lucky not to have more interceptions; 2. He’s going to go up against much better defenses going forward.
I won’t abandon them, but, I can call for Mayo to be fired in 2 years if he doesn’t improve as a coach.
With the warmer weather comes the invasion of the lady bugs. Or more specifically the orange Asian Beetles. They are all over the outside of the house. I killed three in the house this morning but have no clue how they got in. Until now no windows or doors were open
Joshua, as always, your article is excellent. I’m temporarily admin to a political FB page. I’m looking for articles that compare views fairly which yours always do. May I use this as a topic to discuss? I 100% understand if you prefer I do not
Yes, for sure.
Thanks, Vicki.
Thank you, Joshua.
Storm Ashley has hit Ireland and Britain. Most of the real action has been in Ireland, Northern England and Scotland.
Landing at Dublin Airport is an adventure:
https://x.com/SkyNews/status/1848033600861864001
Here you can see how powerful these storms can be as they traverse the Isles. Ashley is the first of MANY fall storms to be sure.
https://x.com/Met4CastUK/status/1847986798615503105
Wow!!
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-met&rh=2024102012&fh=6&r=eu&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf-met&rh=2024102000&fh=18&r=eu&dpdt=&mc=
Not that the GFS is the be all/end all of models, but it is forecasting some pretty warm weather down the road.
Question:
Sometimes to approximate surface temperature one can take
the 850 mb temp F and add 27.5 F to it.
How does the sun angle affect that formula? Seems to me it would be less with a say a Winter time sun angle.
For example, today’s 12Z Euro had 850mb temp at 13C as of 2PM. That would be 55.4 F add 27.5 to that and we get
82.9 F We do not have a wind off the water, yet our current temp is 72, Very nice, BUT no where near 82.
So, I think I may have answered my own question. 🙂
If it were July 1 maybe a 95° day today?
not with 850 mb temp at 13 C.
Of course with the same set up, 850 mb temps would likely be considerably higher, so you might be correct. 🙂
Drake Maye slipping and falling during warmups has now proven to have been a VERY BAD omen, much like when we have an arctic airmass over us and Boston’s sunrise temp is 10F while Marshfield reports at 32F as a storm to the south approaches. A “snow to rain” event is inevitable for much of the coastline at the very least, if not further inland. A snow killer for SNE, at least for an “all” snow event.
Wait. What did I miss .
Oh I got it. Interesting comparison 🙂
🙂
This is from a colleague of mine…
“Size of tropical cyclones has been of note recently, like Helene (very large), Milton (small), and Oscar (“wicked” small!).
Tropical cyclones comes in all shapes and sizes. The absolute extremes on record, as determined from the radii of sustained tropical storm (or gale) force winds (39 mph+)?
Super Typhoon Tip in Oct 1979 in the NW Pacific is the largest (also has the lowest recorded sea level pressure globally at 870 millibars) and Tropical Storm Macro in Oct 2008 in the Bay of Campeche is the smallest.
Here is graphic showing their size. One reason why w/ tropical cyclones, and all weather phenomena for that matter, it’s never “one size fits all!” ”
https://photos.app.goo.gl/u7PTGh8oiuXAZsJz6
That graphic is great!
Are there theoretical bounds on the size of a tropical cyclone?
Basically. The atmosphere does have physical limitations for everything, though the boundaries are fuzzy because they are dependent on so many individual conditions.
The Mets run has come to an end but they have a bright future – now the two richest teams play for the World Series..brutal
New post…