DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 22-26)
High pressure keeps the warm and dry weather going for 2 more days, but a light east to southeast air flow will develop today and a more noticeable south to southwest air flow will become established Wednesday, ahead of an approaching cold front. This front will pass by from west to east in the early hours of Thursday, while at the same time another ocean storm evolves southeast to east of New England. While the front only brings the slight chance of a passing rain shower mainly in southern NH and northern MA early Thursday, the combination of the front and the offshore storm may hold more cloud cover in our region for a longer period of time Thursday, so that day may end up with more limited sun than previously forecast. Friday, high pressure delivers dry, cool weather with more sun. Another cold front crosses the region Saturday, but in the ongoing pattern this front will have little moisture to work with and any rain shower chance is limited. Early call on timing is morning hours Saturday for passage. This will lead an even cooler air mass into the region.
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 68-75, coolest eastern coastal areas. Wind variable to E up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clear inland, partly cloudy coastal areas. Patchy fog interior valleys. Lows 45-52. Wind S under 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Sun/cloud mix, but most clouds confined to southern coastal areas. Highs 67-74, coolest southern coastal areas. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. A possible rain shower overnight, favoring areas north of I-90. Lows 52-59. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
THURSDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 58-65. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, gusty.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts in the evening.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind NW 5-15 MPH shifting to SW and diminishing.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Variably cloudy with a chance of a quick-passing rain shower in the morning. Sun and passing clouds afternoon. Highs 53-60. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 27-31)
The dry pattern continues with below normal temperatures to end the weekend on October 27, then a moderating trend early to mid next week as high pressure shifts to the south. Another moisture-starved frontal boundary may bring a brief rain shower threat around the end of the period.
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 1-5)
November starts with the same pattern October ends with, a westerly flow, a front with limited moisture passing by early in the period. There’s a slight hint that we may have to look to the south for some moisture and a greater rain chance later in the period, but I don’t have a strong feel for this possibility so far in advance.
Thanks TK !
Yesterday was so nice !!!
00z GFS, Sandy, take 2, lol ….
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-met&rh=2024102200&fh=240&r=na&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-met&rh=2024102200&fh=318&r=na&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-met&rh=2024102200&fh=354&r=na&dpdt=&mc=
Oh, November 5th, election day !! π π π π π π π π π π π
yeah, sure! That will happen.
All hell is gonna break lose somewhere. Iβd rather it be weather related. Play on words might be intended.
6Z still has it, but down the coast more and delayed.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2024102206&fh=384&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
We shall see what the 12Z reveals
Good morning and thank you TK.
Thanks, TK.
Another White Mountain fatality. See link below. This time not because of weather or lack of hiker preparation. Probably a myocardial infarction. When I was in grammar school, a friend of mine’s father – Richard Thaler – died of a heart attack while climbing in the Whites.
https://www.boston.com/news/local-news/2024/10/21/man-dies-while-hiking-on-new-hampshire-trail/?p1=hp_featurestack
Thanks TK
Thank you, TK!
Thanks TK.
Got my yearly report from my insurer that another two hospitals in Boston will no longer be in my network. I’m down to one.
I also haven’t had a primary care physician in 6 years. Instead, they offer a nurse care practitioner. But even that changes every 6 months. Before I even get a chance to see him or her (the new one) for the first time I get a notice that the person is no longer in the system/network.
My friends, these are fundamental problems with our healthcare system. Lawmakers in Washington mostly want to tweak around the edges, beat around the bush, and not tackle the problems head on.
As a result, what’s driving our healthcare system is money flows and not necessarily patient-centered care.
We have great doctors, nurses and hospitals. BUT they’re often out of reach for many (myself included).
You hit the nail on the head!!!!!
I could go on and on, but I will return to weather instead.
Exactly!
Our local hospital was Nashoba Valley Medical Center in Ayer. As you know, this fell victim to the greed of Steward Health Care.
A few months ago, my wife went to a new PCP for a “meet-and-greet.” Shortly thereafter, she was notified that this new doctor will not be available in her network starting in 2025.
We’re still fairly young and healthy. I can’t imagine the insanity that is to come.
Logan had made 70, but as expected, the wind is around to NNE which will put a cap on the temperature and eventually cause it to fall given ocean is about 56 or 57.
67 here.
Wow! Logan has gone up to 72, even with the NNE wind!
69 here
Now 71 here.
Warm airmass overhead, full sun and a light ocean breeze.
If the ocean breeze remains rather light, I’d think the coast hangs in the 65-70F range thru mid afternoon. Maybe a very low sun angle after 3pm allows for the coast to cool a bit more then.
Perhaps, but even still, I am a bit surprised as I expected
Logan’s temperature to fall off some. We shall see.
Thanks, TK
78 yesterday; 48 this morning
Rain in the last month:
0.03 October 13
0.63 October 7
0.49 September 26
0.01 September 22
Now Logan is down to 70 and also down to 70 here.
I would imagine we’ll hold steady or fall off some as the afternoon wears on.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfct-imp&rh=2024102212&fh=141&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
After a chilly Sunday, here is what the 12z GFS has for 9z, pre sunrise Monday morning. Brrrrr !!!!!
Low of 48 and up to 76 now.
12Z GFS still has a pretty powerful hurricane in the Caribbean
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfcwind_mslp&rh=2024102212&fh=294&r=caribbean&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/contour/thumbnails/namerica.fc.gif
And the water down there, under the right atmospheric conditions has plenty of deep ocean heat content to support something very strong, still.
Thanks TK.
78F now here in Coventry and 79F at BDL.
Very warm and dry. Several brush fires continue to burn across the State, and to make matters worse, just got an emergency alert on my phone that 911 lines are down across the State. The phone lines are actually down in many places, including my office and all the State offices. Appears to be an issue with the provider, Frontier.
I saw one major fire in Berlin CT last night. And just saw an article about more through the state. New Jersey too I think.
Down to 64 at the airport, pretty much as expected. π
68 here in JP.
12Z Euro, could this be a hurricane in infancy?
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sfcwind_mslp&rh=2024102212&fh=240&r=caribbean&dpdt=&mc=
Special Weather Statement
for Southern Worcester County
Issued by National Weather Service
Boston, MA
3:16 PM EDT Tue, Oct 22, 2024
…ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WEDNESDAY…
Relative humidities of 35 to 55 percent are expected Wednesday across much of Massachusetts, along with above normal temperatures. Southwest winds are expected to be around 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. When factoring in the recent lack of rainfall, conditions favoring wildfire spread are again possible. Use caution when handling and disposing of ignition sources.
My Norway maple is its most brilliant of any year I have observed, and it’s older than I am.
This foliage season has now exceeded last years in brilliance.
https://photos.app.goo.gl/sh4x9tByrfw9FUA19
It’s never even come close to that good…
Hello TK, could you look at an email I sent to WHW?
Done and replied!
Foliage has come along quite nicely now considering very dry conditions and above normal temperatures. Not a lot of leaf drop yet though.
Thanks for sharing TK! π
The dry weather won’t have a huge impact since it really started about the time the cooler pattern did, or just before it.
Some trees dropped leaves early and those were the ones that do feel shorter term stress, but they were limited and they will be fine. Built in safe-guards. Nature knows what it’s doing. π
63 now at Logan and 66 here.
I was thinking today this would be the kind of sea breeze you don’t mind so much and doesn’t make you go “#@%%!%fakakta EAST WIND!” like the ones we get in April… π
Nope, it was fine here and now the afternoon is just about over, so who cares. π
Same numbers as yesterday:
78 this afternoon; 48 early this morning
…RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 7 PM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR CONNECTICUT…
The Celtics raise Banner 18 tonight! π
Thanks, TK.
Go Celtics!
Hi Jean. Havenβt seen you here in a bit. And I apologize If Iβve just missed you. Hope all is well
All is well, thanks!
My family is back home near Asheville now that thereβs running water where they are.
Thank God. Itβs been such a difficult time. Prayers for your family and for all in the south continue
Thank you!
Today was one of the most still evenings I have ever experienced while on the beach – total silence. It was made more wonderful by the brilliant sky.
I love this.
It’s raining heavily in parts of Italy. https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1848818223673708596
Ugh that is just awful. Mac and family sailed the Tyrrhenian and Adriatic Seas every summer. Mac mentioned ischia often.
McDonald’s E.coli outbreak widens. It’s in at least 2 states and has already caused 1 death.
I can’t remember the last time I went to McDonald’s. I think it was 8 years ago on a road trip. Even though I like their fries, with the state of my chronically afflicted GI tract I can’t handle McDonald’s food. It’s probably a blessing.
The CDC reports cases in 10 states:
https://www.cdc.gov/ecoli/outbreaks/e-coli-O157.html
Thank you both. Doesnβt look to be in MA but will share
And Iβm behaving. Iβm really really trying to .
New post…