Wednesday October 23 2024 Forecast (6:54AM)

40 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 23-27)

Our dry pattern continues, though there will be some changes in our weather, mainly temperature-related, during the coming several days. Of note is that higher fire danger will be continuing due to the ongoing dryness and more wind in the forecast. We have one more warm day to enjoy today, but the breeze from the south will be picking up ahead of a cold front that will move across our region during the early hours of Thursday. Meanwhile, a storm well offshore to our south and southeast will drift northeastward and by Thursday will be located well to our east. While this system won’t even come close to sending rain our way, it will play a role in dragging cooler air down from the north as we end up on the western periphery of its circulation on Thursday. High pressure builds closer to the region Friday and while it will be a cool day, it will also be more tranquil. Another cold front will move across the region on Saturday, but like its predecessor, this one will also be moisture-starved, and be represented by some clouds and a wind shift rather than any rainfall chances. This will lead the coolest air mass of the season so far into our region for the second half of the upcoming weekend, but with continued dry weather conditions.

TODAY: Foggy areas until mid morning, otherwise a sun/cloud mix, with clouds most concentrated near the South Coast. Highs 67-74, coolest South Coast. Wind S to SW increasing to 5-15 MPH, gusts above 20 MPH in the afternoon.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. A slight chance of a brief very light rain shower north of I-90 overnight. Lows 52-59. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.

THURSDAY: A sun/cloud mix with most clouds over eastern areas through midday. Highs 58-65. Wind N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts at times.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts in the evening.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind NW 5-15 MPH shifting to SW and diminishing.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy with a chance of a quick-passing rain shower in the morning. Sun and passing clouds afternoon. Highs 53-60. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy early, then clear. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 50-57. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 28 – NOVEMBER 1)

High pressure slips offshore and low pressure travels from the Upper Midwest through the Great Lakes, putting our region into a warming southwestern air flow for the first half of next week. Around Halloween expect another moisture-starved front to approach with just some clouds, and a switch to slightly cooler weather behind as November arrives.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 2-6)

Previously I’d spoken about having to watch potential low pressure to our south and increased chance of rainfall at some point, but indications are currently stronger for a continued mainly dry pattern in early November.

40 thoughts on “Wednesday October 23 2024 Forecast (6:54AM)”

  5. Thanks, TK

    Thanks to you, JimmyJames, for the reminder of the tornadoes from six years ago. Here is a link to a photo that appeared in the Brockton Enterprise from those storms:

    https://photos.app.goo.gl/pLj6hXtxew6gAiGt8

    The funnel is right over Rt. 24 in Raynham at Rt. 44.

    I was in a dentist chair less than a quarter-mile from this storm that afternoon.

    I also remember driving ahead of the cell that was in Norton (not too far where I worship) to Randolph to watch my son play soccer. When I got there, the game was delayed an hour because of the tornado and lightning while we took shelter in Randolph High School.

  7. VERY different weather pattern across most of Russia with below average temps and daily precipitation in places like Moscow and Novosibirsk: Mostly cold rain with some snow flakes mixed in.

    Early morning filtered sun in Moscow today where North Korean officers are being hosted, decked out in long leather (well, faux I’m sure) coats looking like SS officers: https://x.com/wartranslated/status/1849031963346174203

    1. Autumn in the Netherlands and UK included a daily dose of fog (called “mist” in Dutch). I rode my bike through it practically every day, along the pastures, canals and ditches (small canals) between Bunnik and Utrecht in the early 1980s. By now – late October – I was riding my bike in the dark in the morning. By December, it was REALLY dark, as in no light at all until around 8:45am. Then you’d try to imagine there being a sun somewhere behind the constant cloud cover. I do mean constant. There were Decembers and Januarys during which the sun made no real appearances at all.

  11. JP Dave, January is harder to deal with than December in the Netherlands and UK. December is quite magical, as festivals of lights brighten up the dark days.

  13. Another lovely spring day 😉

    I’m puppy sitting while my uxbridge family heads into Boston for the titanic exhibit. Has anyone been to the exhibit.

    1. Take us with you! Actually, we’re too damn old to leave.
      If that Piece of SH** wins, I will want to leave this country because it won’t be our country any more.

      I can’t believe there are so many MORONS who support that mentally ill garbage!!!

  17. There’s room for you and your wife, JP Dave. You get the part of the house that’s to the right of the door. I’ll take the left side.
    https://x.com/PontistGirl/status/1848772956161511886

    We can report to WHW on the weather in Northern Scotland. Though snow isn’t a certainty in the valleys it is the higher up you go. I’m sure that snow will be visible – especially with no real tree line – up in the hills and mountains. Probably from November to May.

    1. Good question.

      And you are correct. We should wait and see.

      By the way, I’m 100% certain. But I think it’s likely. I base it on precedents in 2016 and 2020, knowing full well that historic data do NOT always predict the future well. We know that from weather. And voting patterns are subject to human confounders which are prone to irrationality that doesn’t exist in the atmosphere or in climate (though one could posit that the atmosphere and climate behave irrationally at times).

      Nonetheless, October 2016, 2020 and 2024 have proven to be Trump’s strongest months in terms of closing the wide gap that existed in 2016 and 2020, and more narrow gap in 2024. I `knew’ he was going to lose in 2016. How wrong was I. I `knew’ he was going to lose by a wide margin in 2020. How wrong was I. He lost, but by a slim margin (I’m talking about the electoral college; not the popular vote, though even there he closed the considerable gap by a lot). I see strong parallels in this election to 2016 and 2020. Are there differences? Sure. But the swing states at this point in time – October 23rd – look MORE vulnerable than they did in 2016 and 2020.

    1. I’m guilty of this too. Lots of tension as we near the 5th and it is hard not to let some of the venting out. It’s honestly the first election in my long lifetime that I have seen so much division. So while I get why the posts, I understand your view completely. I apologize for my part

  22. Let’s just in general keep to weather here and not politics. I know it’s an interesting time here in the good ole USA but our focus here has to be weather … yeah we go outside the bounds a bit but I’ve always kept politics and religion (and the Great Pumpkin – haha Linus joke) from getting going here and we really should continue that.

    In weather news, it’s a very nice day again, especially if you like the feel of late summer in autumn, but that’s about to come to an end. Taking a quick look at latest guidance leads me to no forecast update at this time. 🙂

    1. Very kindly put and I will endeavor to do my part to stay out of it,since I am one of the guilty parties.

      1. It’s fine. I’m not upset at anybody. I just don’t want it to go where we don’t need it to. Just here. We all have many places we can chat about that and where it’s open to it, I say go for it if that’s your thing. Personally it’s not my thing, but each must do what they wish where they can. 🙂

  23. Sorry for my part TK, I know this is a weather blog, sometimes weather/climate/environment just becomes political because of how much it impacts people and our need to educate the people.

    Now in other news I been looking @ some of the climate models.
    I am really starting to think this winter is not going to be as bad as people are thinking. https://x.com/Souza101Matt/status/1849220200811422155

  24. sorry for my part TK, I know this is a weather blog, sometimes weather/climate/environment just becomes political because of how much it impacts people and our need to educate the people for the betterment of our planet and country

    Now in other news I been looking @ some of the climate models.
    I am really starting to think this winter is not going to be as bad as people are thinking. https://x.com/Souza101Matt/status/1849220200811422155…

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