DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 24-28)
The coming 5 days will be cooler than the previous several days, starting with a cold front cutting across the region this morning with a few light rain showers, and a follow-up front doing something similar early Saturday. Otherwise, dry weather will be the rule. Gusty breezes will be around behind the front today, and a renewed bout of breezy weather will occur over the weekend. Winds settle down with high centers closest Friday and again by Monday.
TODAY: Lots of clouds and a few very light rain showers in the area early, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 58-65. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts in the evening.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 56-63. Wind NW 5-15 MPH shifting to SW and diminishing.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Variably cloudy with a chance of a quick-passing rain shower in the morning. Sun and passing clouds afternoon. Highs 53-60. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy early, then clear. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 28-35. Wind calm.
MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 29 – NOVEMBER 2)
No changes. High pressure shifts to the south and east with fair weather and a warming trend into the middle of next week. Timing of next frontal boundary looks around November 1 with a rain shower chance, then a cool-down going into the first weekend of November.
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 3-7)
Continuing to lean dry for the pattern, but still eyeing potential wetter weather to our south should the pattern shift enough to bring it north.
Thanks, TK.
Good morning and thank you TK.
57 earlier this morning. 59 now. no rain hete.
Thanks TK !
I saw a US drought monitor the other day and most of the US is experiencing at least very dry conditions.
79.33% to be exact, up from 77.50% last week. It was only 25.97% on June 4.
For the state of Massachusetts, we’re at 83.58% of the state, up from 3.65% on September 10.
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16§or=eus&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24
Too bad Oscar’s transformation to an impressive mid latitude cyclone couldn’t have been a couple hundred further miles west.
Thanks, TK!
Fog burning off here as I type.
6Z GFS, Tropical that keeps appearing on run after run after run.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2024102406&fh=264&r=us_se&dpdt=&mc=
Later
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2024102406&fh=294&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
precipitation
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2024102406&fh=384&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
Is that the one that was originally suspected for Election Day.
Yes, I believe it is.
AND as depicted, it would be quite a rain event here.
Just remember, it is the GFS and it is 12 days out.
This will change a zillion times and may end up as nothing at all.
We’ll just keep watching.
UP to 65 here.
Not bad after the passage of a “cold” front. 🙂
Pete last night indicated that the brunt of the colder air
would pass well to our North.
Thanks TK
Thanks TK. I like the lower temp range today.
Up to 63 from a low of 55
Crept up to 66 here. 🙂
Hmmmm. Just glanced over and see we are also up to 66. May have to rethink long sleeves today 🙁
Now 67 here and I am now wondering if 70 is in play yet again?????
69 at the airport and 72 at Norwood!!!
I’ve been hearing that Halloween could be quite warm, maybe even record breaking?
Regardless, we are not done with the 70’s just yet. More to come.
Yes. Pete mentioned it last night and Vicki posted
a tweat that Ryan Hanrahan posted about Hartford reaching
80 on Halloween. 🙂
Here’s the current U.S. Drought Monitor map for the Northeast, posted earlier today:
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?Northeast
I gotta say, the foliage this year down this way have been spectacular! Best in years.
Here as well!
Up to 69 here.
Logan 70 and Norwood 73
69 here.
Certainly much cooler to our N&W. I guess the coolness is taking its sweet time moving in. 🙂
Perhaps the offshore storm held back by 24 hrs a true push of cooler air.
Perhaps
Still holding at 69 here.
Thanks tk
12Z GFS on tropical system
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2024102412&fh=312&r=us_se&dpdt=&mc=
Stays off shore up here
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2024102412&fh=348&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
Precipitation
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2024102412&fh=384&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
TK, is there any correlation to a dry fall and less winter snowfall?
There does appear to be. Looking at data for Lowell, where I have snowfall data since 1929, 9 of the 10 driest autumns (Sep-Nov) during that span were followed by with below normal snowfall for the winter. Only 2013 (9th driest in that stretch) had above normal snowfall that winter
Yet another nail in the coffin.
Eric too. Ugh
https://x.com/ericfisher/status/1849552298583920823?s=61
My Weekend Outlook is up:
https://stormhq.blog/2024/10/24/weekend-outlook-october-25-28-2024/
Thanks! And thanks for the Lowell info regarding Ace’s question!
Down to under 67 now as the temperature is ever so slowly falling off as well as the dew point dropping.
We seem to be carbon copies today. 67 here also
Hello. A non weather related question. Has anyone here used the overnight parking lot at the Anderson commuter lot in Woburn? Say 6:30/7:00. Was planning on using it next Thursday and was wondering how quickly it fills up.
I live in Woburn and I have never heard any complaints about it being full. I’ve had a couple friends and a relative use the overnight lot without issue.
Oh okay. That’s very helpful
Thanks for the reply and information
Down to mid 50s. looks to be hopefully than past two nights
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2024102500&fh=240&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2024102500&fh=240&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2024102500&fh=240&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Dry dry dry ahead.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sfct-imp&rh=2024102500&fh=162&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sfct-imp&rh=2024102500&fh=162&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=sfct-imp&rh=2024102500&fh=162&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Another warm spell lies ahead and with the dry last 2+ months, I’d favor the over on these temp projections.
New post…
Literally made no changes to most of this forecast…