Saturday October 26 2024 Forecast (6:52AM)

41 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 26-30)

A cold front will move through the region today, leading an even cooler air mass into our region along with a gusty breeze, but again rainfall will be largely absent from the air mass introduction. What won’t be absent is higher fire danger due to the ongoing dry conditions with gusty wind added. The cool and dry weather will continue into the early part of the coming week as well, aided by the passage of yet another front late Sunday night. This one may have just enough moisture to bring a brief shower of rain and/or snow to southern New Hampshire, but that should be about the limit of any precipitation chances. As high pressure moves across the region then to the east and south of us toward the middle of next week, a temperature moderation will begin. A warm front will cross the region Tuesday night or early Wednesday with some clouds (but again limited a rain chance), aiding in initiating the warm-up.

TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 54-61. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts early, but diminishing.

SUNDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. A brief rain and/or snow shower possible southern NH late evening. Lows 30-37. Wind NW to N 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 50-57. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, diminishing.

MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 28-35. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunny. Highs 57-64. Wind variable to S up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Slight chance of brief rain favoring areas north of I-90. Lows 42-49. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Early clouds, then sun dominates. Highs 65-72. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 31 – NOVEMBER 4)

Fair, mild weather for Halloween, but a cold front crosses there region late night or early November 1 with a rain shower threat and a switch to breezy, cooler weather. High pressure brings fair, seasonable weather for the November 2-3 weekend. A rain chance exists at the end of the period – watching low pressure to potentially approach from the southwest.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 5-9)

Overall pattern goes back to dry. No major temperature extremes indicated.

41 thoughts on “Saturday October 26 2024 Forecast (6:52AM)”

  2. Thanks TK.

    According to Jacob, today’s sun angle is the same as February 14th (Valentine’s Day).

    I have always wondered how the sun angle equivalency works.

    1. It’s symmetric to the solstices.

      So, when it was October 21st or 2 months prior to the winter solstice, then the sun equivalent day is around 2 months after solstice or February 21st.

      But today, being another 5 days AFTER 10/21, then you have to take about 5 BEFORE 2/21 which is 2/16 or yes, basically 2/14.

      Now, technically the mid Feb sun is a little stronger than the later October sun, because earth is about 500,000 miles closer to the sun in mid February compared to now. It’s really an extremely small change, but still, a little something more.

      1. Of course, that’s greatly offset by a lot more sun being reflected back by the much greater snow and ice cover in Feb vs October, so, while the radiation is greater, the amount actually being absorbed is much less.

    1. Looking at the agenda, I would be interested in 2 discussions: 1) MA preparing for climate change and 2) 2023-24 winter forecast.

  5. Sitting up here at the sea wall.

    What was Hurricane Oscar a week ago and became a pretty good ocean storm east of us is sending in some nice swells, perhaps 3-5 ft or so on an other wise fairly calm ocean.

  7. I’ve seen a few graphics on a typical La Niña winter pattern, which is always a great reminder to look at.

    So, I think much colder air will be closer than it was last year. (Remember last year looking at Quebec City over and over from Jan to March and it would be above freezing?) Not this year, and especially so, the upper Midwest. International Falls, MN will occasionally live up to its nickname of the icebox of the nation.

    So, the question becomes moisture.

    Yes, it’s been dry and that has to be factored in.

    But, with the Atlantic Ocean generally above avg temp wise and with Tonga’s effects still not having fully waned, I think a couple big precip events are in the cards this winter.

    Put all that together and I think most of southern New England ends up with slightly above avg snowfall. Near avg temps, with an equal amount of well below avg temp days and well above avg temp days.

    Boston area about 50 inches of snow for the entire winter.

    1. I like your style Tom. I can’t say I am that optimistic, however.
      I am thinking more than the last 2 years, but still well below average. We shall see.

      2. One other interesting note is that there have been a number of ocean storms (some former tropicals?) that have been too far away that could have helped tremendously with our current drought. If this was winter, we would have been just missing some nice snow events. Remains to be seen, of course if this is a sign of our upcoming winter pattern.

    2. I think the Climate Prediction Center (CPC), either this week or last, gave La Nina a little stronger vote. But I feel as though I have seen arguments for and against its strength and longevity this season.

    1. We have this.

      Red Flag Warning
      for Southern Worcester County

      Issued by National Weather Service
      Boston, MA
      4:09 AM EDT Sat, Oct 26, 2024

      …RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR MASSACHUSETTS…

      * AFFECTED AREA…All of Massachusetts east of the Berkshires.

      * TIMING…From 8 AM this morning to 7 PM EDT this evening.

      * WINDS…West 5 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

      * RELATIVE HUMIDITY…As low as 38 percent.

      * TEMPERATURES…Up to 63.

      * IMPACTS…Any fire that develops will catch and spread quickly. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

      PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

      A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. Any fires that start may spread rapidly and become difficult to extinguish.

  9. The brush fire in Berlin CT is still going on. Unfortunately a firefighter lost his life battling that fire a few days ago. Our governor here in CT has issued a state of emergency for more resources to fight that brush fire.

  11. Not much of a “cold” front that came through here.
    Warmer today than yesterday. 🙂

    I still have NOT worn a jacket outside!

    1. Those are awesome shots. It is not immediately known to me exactly where this is. Seems too high to be approaching great Lakes. Is it somewhere over Canada? Curious and thanks.

Comments are closed.