Monday October 28 2024 Forecast (6:47AM)

58 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 28 – NOVEMBER 1)

A cold front crossing the region first thing this morning produces a rain or snow shower for southern NH and northern MA. Any flakes will be fleeting! High pressure crosses the region today into Tuesday with fair, cool weather. A warm front moves through the region from west to east Tuesday night, bringing with it an abbreviated rain chance, but leading a warm air mass into the region for midweek, including Halloween on Thursday. A cold front will sag southeastward across the region early Friday, moving offshore by later in the day, bringing a rain shower opportunity, but no beneficial rain as our dry spell continues. It will put an end to the brief warm spell.

TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Brief rain and/or snow shower southern NH and northern MA until mid morning. Highs 50-57. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, shifting to N and diminishing.

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32 except 32-39 urban centers and immediate shoreline. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sunshine, filtered by increasing high clouds in the afternoon. Highs 55-62. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. A period or two of light rain is possible, favoring areas north of I-90. Lows 45-52. Wind SE to S 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 65-72. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 50-57. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 70-77. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers overnight. Lows 53-60. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers during the morning. Increasing sun northwest to southeast afternoon. Highs 62-69. Wind SW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to NW.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 2-6)

Dry, cooler weather for the November 2-3 weekend with Canadian high pressure. A frontal boundary and low pressure waves bring the potential for some rainfall November 4-5 followed by the return to dry weather at the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 7-11)

Overall pattern remains dry. No major temperature extremes indicated.

58 thoughts on “Monday October 28 2024 Forecast (6:47AM)”

  2. WGC…

    October 28 1934: Death Valley CA’s high of 104F is the latest in the year it’s ever reached or exceeded 100F at that location.

  3. I’ll re-post my Halloween summary through the years in the next couple days.

    In the mean time, with a warm air mass coinciding with Halloween in the New England area this coming week, will we challenge record highs for the date? Might get close, but I don’t think a record-breaker is in the cards. Here are the top 4 warmest October 31 high temps in Boston…

    73 in 1948 (equalled in 1999 and 2009)
    74 in 1891
    76 in 1896
    81 in 1946

    My forecast high is 75 for October 31 2024.

  4. Good mornind and thank you TK.
    was 40 this morning, not even as cool as yesterday morning. I honestly expected cooler. Oh well, perhaps tonight. Still looking for 1st frost/freeze here. Lowest so far was 36.

    Was out yesterday still with no jacket. was very comfortable. Trying to make it to November and I think I will. Of course if I don’t go out, I can make it as long as possible.

  5. Thanks TK !

    Hopefully that Tuesday overnight warm front can drop a few showers as it passes through. We’ll take anything at this point.

    2. there ya go, finally. latest gfs not as bullish on this as previous runs. cmc hss full fledged huuricane. euro takes a pass, so we shall see.

  8. First snowflakes of the season falling in parts of southern NH and also far northern MA next hour or two.

  9. Wow the smell and visible smoke all over the place in the Boston area. It was awful this AM.

    Thanks

    Hadi

    2. Indeed. We were out last night in Norwood and Canton.
      There was a fire pretty near to where we were in Canton.
      The smell of smoke was all over. Even when we got home last evening about 10PM, we could even smell smoke in the air here
      in JP.

  15. This may have been posted and apologize I’d a repeat.

    Re smoke, Pete said this on FB

    An inversion (where temperature increases with height) trapped the smoke from the brush fire in Salem, Ma. overnight. This allowed the smoke to seep into nearby communities and even into Boston. In this video from Peter Payack in Cambridge you can see it near ground level while the air above remains clear. Breezes are mixing it out now, but it could return tonight

  18. Thanks TK.

    I’ll be the first to admit my long range projections should largely be taken with a grain of salt. However, the remarkable Northeast dry spell and increased brush fire danger was in the cards as much as 2-3+ weeks ago, and has definitely come to fruition.

    The next 8-14 days generally look better in terms of reducing fire danger via some higher RH and shower opportunities, though it is still a much higher fire danger than normal. And it’s far from a drought busting stretch. If anything, I think the next 2 weeks should come in below normal on rainfall once again, though CPC leans slightly in the other direction…

      1. SAK posted some stats on this several days ago. Historically, dry falls have been correlated pretty strongly with below normal snowfall winters. However, I always urge caution with cases like that since the sample size is pretty small in the grand scheme of things.

        I haven’t given any “winter outlook” type thoughts yet, but I’ll try to do some bullet points at least in the next couple weeks. Things for snow lovers in New England may not be as dire as they seem…

        1. I had seen SAK’s posting regarding that correlation which is why I wanted your thoughts on that. I look forward to your outlook in the next few weeks.

          Thanks WxW! 🙂

  21. Still looking for just a few more people.

    Unusual Opportunity (Posted with Permission from TK)

    My company does a lot of industry studies and we are doing one now on weather monitoring equipment (Davis, WeatherFlow Tempest, AcuRite, RainWise, Vivosun, Logia, KestrelMet, BloomSky, etc) among enthusiasts.

    We are fielding a telephone (or Teams) survey of about 20 minutes. If you have ever purchased / owned any of these brands, your feedback would be helpful. The questions are not technical. They are very high level and more about the purchase process you went through.

    We will send you an Amazon Certificate for $300 for a completed survey and it will certainly remain COMPLETELY ANONYMOUS if you wish. Nothing will be made public and your name and any contact information will not appear anywhere.

    The interview will be completed by yours truly at a time convenient for you. We would like to wrap up by Thursday.

    You may contact me at my business email:davidp@mapstoneresearch.com. Also, feel free to email me with any questions you might have. We could use the help!

    Thank You,
    Longshot

    1. Probably because there’s nothing really to bite. 🙂

      GFS = Grand Fictional Speculations

        1. Once upon a time it was good. And a series of upgrades has essentially ruined it.

          The last upgrade fixed a couple of issues, sort of, but created others. Just isn’t working. 🙁

          We’re behind others in modeling.

      1. Thanks JPD. I can’t believe that grown man in the big monster truck driving off like a little kid running scared. Lol. 😀

    3. In this case, it’s altostratus undulatus.
      Mid level (about 10,000 feet), not enough cellular structure and vertical component to development to be called altocumulus, and the undulations are fairly regular, but also the sun/shadow combo is maximized due to the sun angle being very low with respect to the cloud layer.

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