Saturday November 2 2024 Forecast (8:09AM)

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DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 2-6)

Our dry spell continues along with an up-and-down temperature pattern. This first weekend of November will feature cooler weather thanks to Canadian high pressure. A warm front will approach from the southwest after the high moves off to the east on Monday. As is often the case during droughts, low pressure systems and fronts can struggle to deliver significant rain, and the upcoming system that sends a warm front through here early Tuesday and a cold front later Wednesday as low pressure travels to our north will struggle. Very little rainfall seems likely from it. Temperatures will go up in the “warm sector” during Tuesday and Wednesday, however, with a nice mild spell following the cooler one.

TODAY: Cloud/sun mix. Highs 52-59. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Radiation fog patches interior lower elevation locations. Lows 30-37. Wind NW under 10 MPH becoming calm.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny but patchy high clouds during the afternoon hours. Highs 52-59. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: High clouds increase. Lows 35-42. Wind variable to SE under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 52-59. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 44-51. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 65-72. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 7-11)

Cooler trend November 7-9 with a couple of cold fronts moving through and a generally dry west to northwest flow. Moderation briefly later in the period before the next front passes again likely without much fanfare as the dry pattern rolls on.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 12-16)

Still not a lot of indication of any switch in the pattern to one with wetter weather, but will watch as there had been some signs of blocking with some storminess to the south. But at the moment I see nothing that screams to me “big pattern change”, just mostly more of the same dry, non-stormy pattern with up and down temperatures.

37 thoughts on “Saturday November 2 2024 Forecast (8:09AM)”

    1. Wow. I was just going to copy my question to here. This is great. I really appreciate your taking the time to find and share. Thank you

  5. Subtropical Storm Patty advisory #1 now. Eastern North Atlantic.

    Prior to about 50 years ago, these storms were never named. So there have been many of these in the past that were never “named” or “advised”. This is important for statistical purposes.

    Basically, the goalposts were moved on this one, when it comes down to it. 😉

    The system is marginally subtropical, its southeastward movement having put it over warmer water to becoming kind of tropical, and mostly still not.

  6. Remember to change the clocks so morning people can have that useless extra morning daylight while the rest of us suffer with one hour less of sunlight in the afternoon usually getting home in darkness

    In other news, some rather decent size forest/bush fires going on in western Massachusetts. Meanwhile one of my Neighbors had an outside fire in their yard last night.

    Shawsheen River is extremely low.

    1. I actually love the switch back to standard time. 🙂
      Early sunsets bother me not. I think what I really love is the cycle, since I love the late sunsets of May through July just as much.

      1. I echo TK. Interestingly, I’ve mentioned before that when we switched back in January mid 70s due to the energy crisis, the majority disliked 8:30 sunrises.

      2. I very much liked how the Virgin Islands didn’t change the clocks. I rather that hour after work than before work as its more useful and I can enjoy it. It stinks for people that leave at 7 or 8 to get to work and then not able to come home until after the sun sets so they basically work the entire time its day light out or is going to work or at work instead of enjoying some of it, which starts the whole Length of the work week issue as well. We should have a 4 day work week, they do it in parts of northern Europe.

  7. Some of you may have experienced a “blog outage”. There was a server issue that seems to have been resolved now.

  11. The stratocumulus clouds are far more abundant than I thought they’d be so far today up in this area. This is one of those “day one forecast fails” for sky conditions. The character of the cloud deck reminds me of “inversion” not really seen by short range guidance. But I should have seen it coming looking at the satellite last last night with those layer stratocumulus persisting to our north. It does look like they want to break up as we go through afternoon though.

  12. Subby Patty up to 65 MPH. If it were up to me, this thing would not have advisories. It’s not “subtropical” enough, IMO. It’s just a swirly bird of an Atlantic storm, really. As I said, 50 years ago, this would never have been classified as anything but that. I think it’s safe to say this one is a stats-padder. 🙂 Gotta verify that forecast! 😉

  13. Water temperature at the Block Island buoy 61.7° Boston buoy 55° possibly about 3° above long term averages?

    1. Ocean temperatures have been averaging well above normal for quite some time now. All part of climate change…for the worst, of course.

      It will be interesting if climate change overall reverses itself sometime later in this century. I certainly won’t live to see it regardless.

      1. there is the possibility that we see the gulf stream ocean currents partially shut down or totally shut down in the Atlantic which we are already seeing it slow down.

    2. We’ve had intervals of sun, but dominant clouds. Quite nice. I got a ton of yard work done today. 🙂

      I reduced a large 4 to 8 inch deep swath of leaves down to under 1/2 inch of fragments by just rolling over it in mulch-mode with my Honda mower. Tomorrow I’ll pick it all up while the grass gets its final cut of the year (it stopped growing a while ago due to a cooler autumn than last year).

    2. IIRC we had a bit of snow right around that time last year. Magic happens around Mac’s angel day so perhaps it could materialize

  18. If I had a dime for every forecast like that the operational GFS has made this autumn so far…………….. 🙂

    FWIW (and it’s worth quite a bit), that scenario has no support from the ensembles. That would be the main reason why the only mention I gave unsettled weather in the longer term is watching for potential blocking but not having much confidence it’ll materialize in a way to give us much wet weather.

    “When in drought, leave it out.”

  19. Latest advisory for Subby Patty is keeping it at 65 and still classified subtropical. Truthfully, it’s probably weaker than that and mostly cold core again, but they won’t change the status until it crosses the Azores.

    Thankfully, what’s left of this will weaken, and be obliterated by high pressure long before it reaches the area that had the DANA in Spain recently.

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