Sunday November 3 2024 Forecast (1:04AM)

60 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 3-7)

We left Daylight Saving Time and returned to Standard Time early this morning (2:00 a.m. EDT became 1:00 a.m. EST). If you haven’t changed your non-auto-changing clocks, make sure you do so! As we get ready for the first before 5:00 p.m. sunset today, we’ll enjoy more sun than we saw yesterday, and it will be dry and seasonably cool with high pressure in control. Heading into the new week, we look at a pattern similar to the previous week, with a warm front approaching later Monday and moving through Tuesday, leading to a midweek warm-up, starting to get knocked in the other direction Thursday when a cold front goes through. You might think we have a shot at some beneficial precipitation with temperature changes and frontal systems, but this is not going to be the case, as our dry spell rolls on.

TODAY: Sunshine – patchy high clouds. Highs 48-55. wind NW up to 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variable high clouds. Patchy ground fog. Lows 33-40. Wind calm.

MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 52-59. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 44-51. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 65-72. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 52-59. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 61-68. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 8-13)

More up and down temperatures in a continued mainly dry weather pattern heading into mid month, including the long weekend November 9-11).

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 14-18)

Leaning drier over wetter. If blocking evolves, should be strong enough to hold wet weather mostly to the south. Favoring westerly air flow domination and up-and-down temperatures mid month.

60 thoughts on “Sunday November 3 2024 Forecast (1:04AM)”

  2. So nice to wake up in sunlight again. I so love Standard Time! 🙂

    I only wish Standard Time would be ALL THE TIME! 🙂

    Reply

    2. If we ever move away from the 2x a year changes, Standard would be a much better option than Daylight Saving.

      So in that, I agree with you. Personally, the dark mornings don’t bother me, as you know, but I also get where you’re coming from. 🙂 I’m in the minority when it comes to liking dark mornings, and dark evenings for that matter… haha!

      Reply

  3. Scratch the previous post with my username spelled wrong.

    Based on the time of today’s post, I guess that you were awake to see the clocks set back. 🙂

    If you had posted it at 1:55 AM EDT and then commented at 1:05 AM EST, you would have given proof of the existence of “Peabody’s Improbable History” from the 1960s!

    Reply

  9. I slept during that so called extra hour of morning sunlight so it was wasted. One of the things I miss about the Virgin islands, no need to change the clocks. I think the whole changing of the clocks is dumb. Should keep it the way that it is during the Summer

    Reply

    1. The summer set-up is actually the non-standard. I think keeping standard would work better in the long run. There will always be a debate there. Maybe we should just meet halfway between the 2 and call that “the new standard”… hahaha!

      Reply

      1. Matt, you say that you slept during the “extra” hour but I bet you feel a lot more refreshed than you did yesterday. I know that I do. 🙂

        Reply

    1. Secondary severe weather season was off to a quiet start, but technically peaks in November. This event was notable, and nasty.

      Reply

  13. I’ve been correcting people left and right who think we just switched to Daylight Saving Time, when in fact we just LEFT Daylight Saving Time and returned to Standard Time? Why are the masses getting this so messed up now? It was never a problem before. I blame social media memes. 😉

    But a little research and thinking goes a long way. Yes? 🙂

    Another beautiful autumn day. Even the rustic season is moving right along (I thought it would be a bit slower). I’ll have my final large leaf cleanup done the earliest I have in decades, literally.

    As an agricultural meteorologist I also have quite a bit of knowledge on what to look for for trees that are stressed, etc. While we have a lot of aged/aging trees here, what I am looking at in my travels tell me the trees are actually in pretty good shape overall. Trees tend to tolerate rainfall surpluses and deficits much better than their smaller cousins.

    But I will say this: My local pond is just a few inches away from 2016 levels now, so the drought here is very noticeable from a water level standpoint! This may not be a big deal initially, but should we have a dry winter and/or spring, the implications are significant for next growing season. I’ll be watching…

    Reply

    1. Excellent post. Eric had also said our trees would be ok because of water stored (I may have worded that wrong but along that idea).

      I am seeing very few healthy, colorful leaves on the ground. I wonder if our lack of rain was more severe here. I believe I mentioned that the blackstone canal into Lincoln RI is bone dry. Fish have all died. Ponds and swampy areas here are either dry or very low.

      Reply

      1. Eric is correct.

        It’s possible that the more recent (several month) deficit is more severe there vs. 2016. Honestly, I don’t remember, but we could find out.

        Reply

  14. Quick additional thought…

    Model watchers, continue to beware of operational GFS runs. They have been absolutely horrendous now for quite a while. Ensembles, not so bad. I did notice that the 06z GFS slightly came off the obsession with southern moisture and blocking, in favor of “more of the same”, similar to what the European model has been consistently, and accurately, forecasting. Now I’m not saying the Euro is THE model. It’s better NOW. But that doesn’t guarantee anything going forward, which is why I scrutinize regularly. These are tools to use, not movies of “what’s going to happen”, but simulations of what can happen based on initial conditions, using the equations of atmospheric science. Even with improvements, they’re still prone to great errors. So it’s always important to remind and remember that these are tools only, and sometimes when you get the tool out of the box, it doesn’t fit the thing you’re trying to adjust. 😉

    Reply

  15. With regard to the time change, I read somewhere recently and at times over the years that there is also a suggestion of setting clocks back/forward only a half hour (30 minutes). I guess it’s to satisfy both sides of the issue? Has anyone else heard of this proposal?

    TK & others: Your thoughts?

    Reply

  16. It seems that it would be very difficult to make everyone, or even most everyone, happy with a fixed time setting. Each of the time zones is going to have a battle between the East Zoners and the West Zoners!

    Reply

    1. Yes, this too. You’ll never make everyone happy.

      In a perfect world, we realize that the sun and earth don’t care what our clocks say. They do their thing and we deal.

      I do have much sympathy for those who suffer seasonal depression, and my comments are never intended to belittle or make any fun of that, which is an actual condition, and quite series for some. I can only help they can do what they have to for when we are in the dark days. I have many friends who have it, and I’m always supportive. 🙂

      Reply

    1. Oops. I really have to read all before posting. Saw you confirmed TK. Thank you. The news is too busy with …..well nonsense… to cover as much as I typically see.

      Reply

    1. I’m on a couple Bruins pages. “Fans” have already given up on the team this season ……….. less than one month in. “Fans” in quotes for a reason. Real fans will stick with the team, regardless. I’m a real fan. 🙂

      Reply

  23. CPC with above normal precip 6-10 & 8-14 but it’s important to note that these are auto-generated on weekends. Basically models with no human forecaster intervention. We’ll see what they have to say tomorrow. Let me put it this way, I’d have to be exceedingly bold and chancy to find a reason to forecast above normal precipitation during the next 2 weeks here.

    Reply

      1. Well, Oct was only modestly warmer than average. Our anomalou\\ies are not earth-shattering. Going into a La Nina with the PDO in its current phase is almost always at least a slightly mild autumn, and even more solidly probable during the +AMO phase. But one thing different this autumn than the last few were more frequent earlier cool shots. So that has worked in our favor.

        A little comparison: Boston (Logan). 2023: Only 5 days in October averaged below normal. 2024: 13 days averaged below normal. While the month was still about 1 1/2 degree to the + side, and 3 degrees cooler than October 2023.

        And our modestly “mild” October followed a September that was exactly normal and an August that was 1 degree cooler than normal. So basically “normal” the past 3 months. 🙂

        The large scale regime though has generally been a mild East and a cool West (save for the late season hot spell near the West Coast).

        Reply

  25. What the Patriots need to do between now and next season.
    1. OT/OL
    2. WR X
    3. A better offensive play caller AVP has shown he is bad at play calling. Maybe keep him as OC but not the play caller like he has been in other places.
    4. Coaching staff needs to be improved.
    5. DE is also a possible need.
    6. Though Stephenson is not a problem, a running back in the third round that could compliment him might be a good thing to look at.

    Reply

  28. There’s a large brush fire burning atop Mt. Towanda (aka Horn Pond Mountain) here in Woburn.

    I just saw somebody comment on social media that the fire can’t last long because we’re about to have a freeze. Unfortunately, temperature of 32 or below don’t extinguish flames……………. I had to educate them on that one.

    Reply

          1. Oh except today, someone posted 2 in the same frame and somebody called it the “torrid meteor shower” (sic) … not “taurid”, but “torrid”. Ugh.

            Reply

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