Monday November 4 2024 Forecast (7:17AM)

51 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 4-8)

This week, we remain in the dry, temperature roller-coaster pattern, with a cold start, a warm middle, and a cooler finish. High pressure slides off to our east today and a warm front approaches with an increase in clouds. Rainfall from this front, save for a possible brief few drops, travels to our north tonight. The front passes and opens the door for breezy, mild weather for Election Day and Wednesday, with only a slight rain shower chance by Wednesday evening as a cold front sails into and across the region, parented by low pressure passing to our north. The dry, windy conditions will stoke additional brush fire chances. Existing fires can spread and new fires can start easily in these conditions. The late week cool-down comes with continued dry conditions that will allow fire danger to continue and drought to expand further.

TODAY: Lots of clouds / limited sun. Highs 48-55. Wind calm to SE under 10 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 40-47 early, then a slow temperature rise. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH.

TUESDAY: Clouds give way to sun. Highs 66-73. Wind S to SW increasing to 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 53-60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 51-58. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 58-65. Wind NW 5-15 MPH

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 50-57. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 9-13)

Next trough and frontal system passing through sometime during the November 9-11 period, but not looking like a significant precipitation producer as the dry pattern rolls on with variable temperatures.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 14-18)

A couple hints at maybe some rainfall chances early in this period, but still no real strong indication of major pattern change in the cards as of yet. Monitoring…

51 thoughts on “Monday November 4 2024 Forecast (7:17AM)”

  2. Good morning and thank you TK
    30 here this morning, coldest of the season so far.

    Only made 49 yesterday. again lowest high temp of the season. but a very comfortable afternoon as I was out, again no jacket or coat required.

    If I had to go out this moring a jacket or coat would certainly be required.

        1. Punta Cana ( Dominican Republic) for 6 nights & we leave first thing Wednesday AM ( you’ll see some photos on Facebook) it’s a destination wedding & beach wedding is Friday . First real family vacation in over 10 years .

  3. Thanks TK !

    Thickest frost of this cold season, so far.

    For me, the morning light was really helpful this morning. A little less lethargic getting moving.

  9. Going back to the Patriots loss yesterday. Drake Maye carried that game, the strip sack was not on him but the oline, The last interception was also not on him or his decision making. He had single high safety look with a wide receiver wide open (NFL wise) but KB underneath tripped over his two feet which allowed the safety watching him to pull back after Maye already threw the ball. Maye has impressed me alot despite the situation he is in with a bad banged up Oline, bad personal decisions ( WR need to be Douglas, KB, Henry and Boute) Maye is so the future but needs a better play caller and Oline. On top of that I think they need another wide receiver that can go down the field consistently. I do not necessarly think AVP needs to go, but there needs to be a better play caller calling the shots in games. We don’t want the system completely changing after the first year.

      1. I think the QB has a bright future & in today’s game a QB needs to scramble properly & he definitely can do that & more . With the proper OLine & multiple good receivers as well as getting good guys on defense this team has a pretty good shot at getting good quickly. That is all up to Kraft to open his damn wallet & build a team around Drake . I also was not a fan of hiring this coach as I wanted Mike V , this coach is in my opinion , not the right guy & I really hope he is gone & a real search can take place for a more professional & qualified candidate. Also some guys in the front office need walking papers as well . It’s all in Kraft’s hands , he just needs to do it .

        1. Oh I wanted Mike as well he would have been great. I think we would be in a different situation right now if we had him over Mayo. I still to this day think BB didn’t have as much power as we thought when it comes to paying players and getting people over the past 4 to 5 years.

  13. Switching back to Standard Time is a lot of fun 🙂 until the sun goes down. 🙁

    The 4:30 pm sunset is quite a shock to the system. Oh well. 😉

  14. There have been a few QBs since Brady … Newton, Hoyer, Jones, and Zappe. Most recently, Brissett. I think Maye might have the best potential for the long haul. He has the arm, patience, and intelligence and he can scramble and improvise. There is still work to do to make him successful … some of it with him which will come with time and seasoning and some with Oline improvement. I would like to think that he could become an elite QB.

  17. I have to disagree with you Matt, the last interception was on Maye. He shouldn’t have thrown a pass so far downfield with tons of time left (2:00+) and on 1st down no less.

    Having said that, the Patriots should have gone for two after his last second thrilling TD. They had nothing to lose. Patriots are now 0-2 in OT games so far this season btw.

  18. TK – Any chance the latest tropical headed towards the Gulf will bring its leftover moisture this way and end this drought?

    1. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-met&rh=2024110412&fh=159&r=na&dpdt=&mc=

      https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=prateptype-met&rh=2024110412&fh=156&r=na&dpdt=&mc=

      Well, not much help, overall.

      The 12z GFS and GDPS suggest a 4 corners low that tracks to the great lakes might give us a small precip opportunity and on a technicality, they both do take a little moisture from the depression and it becomes part of the system.

      But overall, really not much help to us.

    2. It would take a lot more than that to end this drought. But we’ll likely see little or nothing from that system.

      Any guidance showing that is suspect.

      Once upon a time, the GFS was showing a healthy rain event for TODAY. Nope.

  20. I do have a good feeling that in a few years Drake Maye will be on top of a Duckboat cruising through downtown Boston waving to the crowd and the 2024 season will be just a horrible nightmare. 🙂

    In the meantime…UGH!!! 🙁

  23. I haven’t seen any comments from Joshua in quite some time. I hope that all is well with him.

    Perhaps is he traveling?

  24. a handful of fire trucks were down at the end of the street, They said they were clearing out leaves and dry shrubs as there is a hot spot from a previous fire over by the sports club on the other side of the stream.. No smoke or anything so what ever it is, its minor.

  25. TS Rafael has formed where a lot of our late season storms form. The southwestern Caribbean & Gulf of Mexico are they most likely areas to see development during the final month of the season.

    Rafael has some room to intensify and will be a CAT 1 hurricane when it crosses western Cuba. It’ll get punched in the gut crossing the mountainous land, but will have a window of time to re-intensify in the G.O.M. southwest of FL, perhaps making it to CAT 2 hurricane strength. Fortunately, Rafael will encounter more hostile conditions the further northwest it gets, and it should be steadily weakening from there.

    It’s landfall point is T.B.D., but I don’t think it’s going to be a major storm when it makes it wherever it’s going. Despite that, I’m sure that flooding will be a concern for somewhere in the area.

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