Tuesday November 5 2024 Forecast (6:45AM)

72 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 5-9)

A warm front goes by early today and introduces another mild air mass, along with breezy conditions, for today and Wednesday. Along with this will come elevated fire danger as the dry spell continues with only some limited warm frontal rainfall having passed mostly to our north last night. A cold front comes along late Wednesday, but outside of a brief rain shower chance, the dry weather continues as we trend cooler and stay breeze later in the week – a west to northwest flow taking over, while a series of fronts knock the temps back down to seasonable.

TODAY: Clouds give way to sun. Highs 66-73. Wind S to SW increasing to 10-20 MPH, gusts up to 25 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 53-60. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 68-75. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, gusts up to 30 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 51-58. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 58-65. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts up to 20 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 33-40. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 50-57. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts up to 20 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, gusts up to 20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 10-14)

Next trough and frontal system passing through in the November 10-11 window doesn’t look like a big precipitation producer, and focuses on late November 10, but November 11 (Veterans Day) may end up breezy but quite mild. A cool-down mid to late period with more dry weather expected.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 15-19)

A front that goes by early in the period may hang up near enough to the coast so that we can get some additional low pressure to bring more rain, but don’t hold your breath this far in advance. Beyond that more dry weather in the cards. No major temperature extremes.

72 thoughts on “Tuesday November 5 2024 Forecast (6:45AM)”

  1. From WGC…

    November 5-6 1894: A “disagreeable” southern New England storm described by the US Department of Agriculture’s November 1894 Bulletin of the New England Weather Service as follows. “Snow was very damp and froze to whatever it came in contact with. Telegraph and telephone wires were like great cables, and trees and shrubs were heaps of ice and snow. The weight . . . brought down telegraph poles by the hundreds . . . Several horses were killed by falling wires in Boston on the morning of the 6th and great danger to life from that cause was reported from other cities. At Hyannis, the wind was reported by old residents to be the hardest ever known; chimneys, trees, fences, and outbuildings were thrown down.”

    Reply

    1. love the descriptions. wonder how the bleep it snowed that much in Boston????? must have had a North wind, else ocean was very much below average.

      Reply

  2. Good morning and thank you TK.
    already 55 here. actually warmed over night with low of 49 shortly after midnight.

    Election day. get out and vote, if you have not done so already.

    Reply

    2. Interesting….After I posted my link, then your link worked for me.
      Very strange. Oh well, that’s Word Press for you. 🙂

      Reply

  5. A weird thing that I’ve noticed using Firefox is that I can view these images fine unless I try to use a private (Firefox’s term) window. Then I get the error.

    I don’t use Edge, but did a test. It failed in an ordinary window there.

    After a long career in software engineering, the main thing that I learned is not to trust anything important to software 🙂

    Reply

    1. Interesting that you use FireFox as well. a few years ago, Google Chrome just started acting up on me, so I switched to Firefox which for the most part has been working well for me.

      I also switched to DUCK DUCK GO on my mobile device. 🙂

      since you are a software engineer, how are you with MicroSoft Power BI? I am having FITS with DAX.

      Cheers and thanks

      Reply

    2. I have used Firefox for years on my PC. I use safari on my devices. Never have checked to see if I can use Firefox. I have a love hate, mostly hate, relationship with Google.

      I am not on the software side, but I started using the very first redactron word processor in the mid 1970s and never looked back. My strength was mastering programs. I much preferred word perfect to word but word was easier for the engineering to master …..possible intended pun with the last word there 😉

      Reply

  6. Thanks, TK!

    60 degrees at 9:30.

    I have been a poll worker since 2010 in a precinct in Taunton. I count write-in and hand count ballots after the polls close. I am going in early around suppertime as we suspect it will be a very long night. I find this very rewarding!

    From my short-lived Alice Cooper phase of my life, around age 12:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e_qtQ52eFB0

    Reply

      2. Yes, she is! I only work from 8 pm to when we’re done. Most poll workers before 7 an and work to past closing. They are incredible and patriotic!

        Reply

        1. She also worked two of the early voting days. Those days are usually pretty quite. Not that there aren’t a lot of early votes (I think it was something like 1/3 of eligible in MA), but there are so many days that the votes are spread out.

          Even at early voting, there was an “incident” with a voter refusing to remove a political hat and the police had to get involved. My wife was not working then.

          Reply

          1. We had a workshop last year with the Secretary of State’s office and his rep told a story of a woman who refused to remove her political tee-shirt before voting. After being threatened to be removed from
            the polls, she stripped to her bra and then voted!

            Reply

  9. Not political. But can always be skipped. I know many, if not most, are fearful right now. I’m among them. We have not been here in my lifetime. I would like to share my prayer for today and this week. It is for peace, no matter the outcome. And from then on for decency and respect to return to our country.

    Reply

  10. The 00z GFS tried to single-handedly end the drought around 2 weeks from now. It had a slow-moving coastal drop 6-12 inches of rain on the region in about 48 hours. No hint of that on the 6z run, just a cold front with a few showers in the same time frame.

    Reply

  12. Thanks TK.

    75.0 here in JP. Unbelievable for Nov 5th, will be voting around 4:50. Can’t wait for a Harris victory! Warm evening for an election. Remember many a cold one.

    Reply

  13. I went in with my Reef Response hat and shirt on, Put the point of what I am about and who I would likely be voting for without showing it. I got a look from an obvious trump supporter of displeasure lol.

    Reply

  14. If you like snow, then I do not recommend you look at the ECMWF seasonal maps. If it verifies, this will be “The Year Without a Winter” (and we’d be in a extremely significant drought by the time spring comes around).

    Reply

      1. I guess that means “winter is over” already and it’s not even Veteran’s Day yet.

        Time to move on to winter 2025-26! Sigh. 🙁

        Darned climate change not helping either.

        Reply

        1. It doesn’t mean that. It’s a seasonal model forecast. We’ve been down this road many times. 🙂

          My winter outlook will be coming in about 10 days.

          Reply

          1. Our dry fall working against us as well. Even Jacob pointed out the correlation on his Sunday newscast.

            “Sorry kiddies!” (His words, not mine)

            Reply

            2. Negative factors are just that. Negative factors.

              One of my favorite examples is it’s often though to be a poor pattern for snow when the NAO is positive.

              The NAO was positive for the entirety of the snow blitz episode in 2015. 🙂

              This is why we look at all tools and hints, and make the best forecast we can make. But even that is no guarantee that’s how it all turns out. 🙂

              Reply

  15. TK – Thanks for posting that info about that November 5-6, 1894 storm. As you stated that was definitely a perfect setup for Boston especially. As JPD stated it had to have been a due north wind (at best N/NE). No way was there a direct ocean wind for that event. The precipitation must have been a “snow, sleet, freezing rain” combo based on the description.
    Would you say air temperatures 25-32 or so? Most likely a “wetter” type snow.

    What does WGC stand for? What is the website?

    Reply

    1. Weather Guide Calendar. It’s not that good anymore. It used to have awesome historical information, but lately it’s been too focused on recent history. But I like when they go back and grab these historical events many may not know about. 🙂

      Reply

      1. Up here we had 3 distinctive colors across the high clouds. Upper right of my view was pink / middle swath was orange / lower portion left was golden yellow. I got a pic. It looked awesome with the blue background from dark top to lighter near the horizon, blending with the gold there as you were looking through more of the atmosphere. Just fabulous.

        Reply

  17. My mom as I’ve said a gazillon times called the crescent moon God’s fingernail. What I may have said not at many times, she was hugely active politically. There is not a MA Republican she was not close friends with. From Lodge right up the line. Kissinger also.

    This is her moon on election eve. So special to feel her close

    https://ibb.co/r6yqd4R

    Reply

      1. What is the Dust Bowl? I took a wild guess and did get it right. 🙂

        Fast forward 90 years later in much of NE could very well be a “Dust Bowl”.

        Reply

  22. Before I post the blog, I’m going to post here…

    ANY comments about politics will be removed.
    This is a weather blog, and I’m keeping it a weather blog.
    I’m not turning it into a politics blog. That was not the intention on Dec 26 2010 and is still not. I thank everybody in advance for their cooperation. 🙂

    Reply

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