Saturday AM Forecast Update

60 Comments

10:23AM

* More clouds today, may cap heat a bit, and limit showers/storms

* Staying optimistic for Sunday

* Great weather much of upcoming week

More on next week’s weather by tomorrow. For now, just an updated forecast for eastern MA, RI, and southern NH…

TODAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Scattered showers and a slight risk of a thunderstorm mainly north of the Mass Pike through midday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly south of the Mass Pike remainder of afternoon and early evening. Highs in the 80s, may touch 90 in a few areas. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 65-70. Wind NW-N 5-10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 83-88, cooler in a few coastal areas and Cape Cod/Islands. Wind NW-N 10-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 63. High 85.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 62. High 83.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 61. High 82.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Low 63. High 80.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Low 64. High 85.

60 thoughts on “Saturday AM Forecast Update”

  1. thats what i thought yesterday afternoon when i saw the clouds coming through. in the mid afternoon hours.

        1. Over time you will learn the various models’ shortcomings. It’s not a 100% lock but a good rule of thumb. I should have updated earlier with a cloudier forecast and less heat for today.

  2. Very humid, cloudy, and light rain in Hyannis, hopefully we’re getting this out of the way early

      1. Thanks TK 🙂 the bride has been freaking out and my girlfriend’s hair is frizzing out like crazy from the humidity. Stressful day trying to keep all these women happy, hahaha

  3. I would like to know everyone’s thoughts regarding this malware virus that is expected to prevent some from getting onto the internet on Monday. I did a complete scan on my computer yesterday evening and nothing was found. I checked my anti-virus this morning and again nothing found. I spend good money each year on Webroot and I would hope that I will be ok. It peforms scans once a day automatically. My IP also provides additonal protection as well and in fact, did a scan yesterday. Articles that I have read online say that those infected have been taken to other websites, but I don’t recall that happening to me.

    Have I done enough? Am I worrying needlessly?

    1. Philip. Whdh is supposed to have instructions for what to do. I’ve been out all day but will run norton this afternoon and also check verizon to see what they are doing. It sounds as if you have done all possible.

      1. Thanks Vicki. Let me know how your scan does. It is probably all anyone can do for now.

        1. Philip – WHDH and Norton Virus said to go to the web address below. It tells you if you have the virus. I showed green so do not. My advice is because I post the link you still should check it on your own. After I read on WHDH to go to the link, I went to Norton first and it also said to go to the link. At that point I was comfortable doing so.

          http://www.dcwg.org/

            1. Also, it is nice that it can be checked w/o scanning my computer. Technology is amazing today for sure. It still can be a headache at times, though. 😉

  6. It is very gloomy here in Boston with most of the rain focused on SNE especially CT and other areas south of the Pike. I don’t like HHH by any means, but the sky cover is hardly July-like. Maybe I misunderstood forecasts, but I expected at least partly cloudy conditions at times. Oh well, better than HHH and thunderstorms.

    I am very much looking forward to next week, but next weekend HHH returns and I have a bad feeling that it could stay awhile. I hope not. 🙁

    1. It is July-like if you are orientated at the NE edge of the heat dome as we are. Had to adjust the sky condition for more clouds and the temps downward. I’d have done it yesterday if I could have from the beach but I was unable to get a connection for some reason.

      We have to wait about 7 days to bust into the big time heat and I think we may very well get a taste of what has been going on to our west, and it may last a while as well.

      1. TK, your last paragraph is not what I wanted to hear. October can’t come soon enough for me. 🙁

  7. I am not usually one to bash, and I don’t really mean to bash here, but what is the NWS thinking this afternoon issuing a zone forecast at 1PM that still calls for highs in the middle 90s in the NW suburbs of Boston? I have not been higher than 81 yet, and even though clouds may break and sun may start to appear more after 4PM and especially 5PM until it sets, I just don’t see us jumping up 15 degrees out here. I would love to hear the reasoning behind that high temperature forecast.

    I know I was in the “lower 90s club” myself prior to this update, but by yesterday it was becoming rather evident we were not even going to make 90 in parts of southern New England today.

    1. They forgot to look out the window 😀

      Sun out here. Blue sky. Where is the storm I was looking forward to 🙁

      1. Vicki, your “storm” is located out in central PA headed right for AccuWeather in State College where it belongs AFAIC. We are all in the clear from here on out. Hard to believe considering the cloud cover just awhile ago. Enjoy! 🙂

  8. The new 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks are in from the NWS. Weekend versions of this outlook are largely automated, but for what they are worth, they can basically combined into a 6-14 day look that for New England calls for precipitation near to below normal and temperatures above to much above normal. If they verify, then here comes the heat, starting in about a week.

      1. Time will tell but I’m sure we’ll have a couple shots, depending on when peak heat occurs in relation to the daily records.

          1. The 103 temp is for 7/22/1926 btw. 🙁

            Also, the range I referred to above is between now and the end of July.

              1. There was a 102 in Farmington CT on July 4 or 3 in what I think was 2000. My oldest was doing a horse show and ended up having a huge argument with her trainer because she wanted her to jump her young horse and my daughter refused because of the heat. I was very proud of her but the temp stuck in my head

  9. The CPC reflects your thoughts on the extended period TK. However, what is shocking to me at least is that the entire Gulf Coast from Florida to Texas shows below normal temps. I never thought that one would have to travel down there of all places to get any relief from intense heat. This summer 2012 is getting screwed up here. ❓

    1. All that means is that the would expect a heat dome ridge to be centered somewhere around the Ohio Valley and the “cooler” area relative to normal would be well to the south of the center of the ridge and in a weak easterly flow aloft. Not really too unusual for that type of pattern when we set up a heat dome a little further north.

      1. I feel for the people of that area (Ohio Valley/Southern Great Lakes, etc) if that happens.

  10. With 15 minutes until that outdoor wedding on the Cape, looks like they will be dry. Certainly no glorious sunshine with lots of clouds, but rain-free!

    I am heading to Middleton MA in a short while for Chief Wills Day celebration. This includes a $5 cookout, a carnival, live music, fireworks, among other things. Looks like we will hold with dry weather up there as I don’t think anything develops this evening in northeastern MA.

    In case anyone wants more info on this event, which starts at 5PM, go here:

    http://www.townofmiddleton.org/Pages/MiddletonMA_CommunityCalendar/S018ED432-01901173?formid=161

    1. Stayed dry!! Lots of happy people here, sunset was gorgeous over the water, now it’s time to dance!! 🙂

  11. My husbands cousin who is joining us with her 95 yr old mom for lunch here tomorrow lives in a home overlooking puget sound. I just talked to her. Her sisters home in Brookline where she is staying doesn’t have any AC. To say she is uncomfortable is an understatement. She said it just broke 70 at her home in Seattle.

    1. I found today to be the most uncomfortable day of the summer so far, beating out the five 90F days so far. Dewpoints were in the low 70s down here today and even without the sun..the still, heavy air just clung to you.

        1. I meant for our kind of weather. I hope we save a week like next for end of August but just being away is nice 🙂

          1. Vicki…haven’t the last 2 August’s at months end featured the threat of Hurricane Earl and then, the actual impact of Irene. You deserve a week of tropics free worry !

            1. Yes they have Tom. I didn’t mind because it was fun. BUT my family would like a vacation that doesn’t include my giving them updates hourly for a week :). My guess is your wife will relate to that after the storm damage fun she put your daughter up to. I still laugh about that

  13. I heard on the national evening news that there is massive flooding throughout Europe and there is now concern that the wet pattern will continue in time for the start of the London Olympics.

    This is setting up to be one crazy summer not just in the U.S. but worldwide. 😈

    1. I read the same….I recall two areas mentioned were Russia and India…with, unfortunately, loss of life.

  14. I’m wondering if immediate South Coastal New England residents are seeing a lightning show as they look south over the ocean. There’s quite a line of storms blossoming just south of New England.

  15. I love reading this blog and have a question. Lately sunshine is forecast by just about all outlets and yet it seems every day it becomes totally overcast by about 10am and remains that way until about 3 or 4pm. Why is this? Thanks.

    1. The cheap answer is “meteorology is an inexact science” … But this is not an acceptable answer to me for this reason: I assume you are not talking about forecasts made days in advance. In that case, the ‘inexact’ rule applies. However, if on the day before or the morning of a given day a forecast is made for sunny and diurnal clouds (developing cumulus/stratocumulus) or advecting middle clouds along a frontal boundary make it much less-than-sunny, this should be something that was caught by an experienced forecaster. These conditions are usually present with enough time to adjust a forecast for more clouds, or less if the case is different. I admit I’ve failed at this on enough occasions to be displeased about it.

      Recently, we have had several days that have included diurnal cloud development, and like yesterday an abundance of mid-level clouds along a frontal boundary that was being driven southward by the northwesterly flow in the jet stream on the eastern side of the high pressure ridge over the middle of the country. This was the meteorological reason for yesterday’s extensive clouds. I’m not sure about most meteorologists, but I can tell you that I didn’t catch on to the cloudier scenario until Friday (even though I did not get to post here until Saturday morning). In fairness to Barry Burbank from WBZ, he also mentioned a cloudier scenario for Saturday on his forecasts from Friday evening.

      Here’s another good example of how a sky forecast can go wrong: If a forecaster had followed one of the models in the last few days and stuck with it, he/she would have forecast a mostly cloudy day today with even some showers across CT and RI. This model had this forecast for today for a few days, and it’s obviously not panning out. So this shows that a forecaster must learn when to ignore guidance. It’s equally important to knowing when to follow it.

  16. anyone that lives around Billerica There was a murder . 4 people broke into a house and killed someone. Make sure you all locked up tight scary thing is that this happened just down by the old Ditson. which is really close to me.

  18. I’ve updated the blog. Another update coming this evening!

    Have a great Sunday everybody!

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