DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 23-27)

A wet start (and additional beneficial rain) to this weekend as low pressure completes a cyclonic loop to our east early today then starts to accelerate away. As this happens, dry air working in just behind it will take the solid rain shield over much of the region now and start to obliterate it as it is also moving out from northwest to southeast. This will happen in the mid to late morning. One final lobe of showers may skirt the coast from NH to Cape Cod at midday, and then as we go through the afternoon, clouds will start to break for intervals of sun, especially I-95 westward. The breeze picks up behind the departing low and it turns quite windy this afternoon and evening, and remains breeze through Sunday, which will be a day featuring a sun/cloud mix in a northwesterly air flow between low pressure east and high pressure west. As previously mentioned, this narrow high slides eastward and shuts the wind down but also drives the temperature down Sunday night, so that we have a cold but tranquil start on Monday. Timing is on track with the next system from the west, bringing clouds back later Monday. A primary low will track into southeastern Canada and a weak secondary will form over our region as the system passes by. Timing suggests the late Monday evening to midday Tuesday period of time as most likely to see wet weather, followed by drying, breezy, chilly conditions later Tuesday. High pressure brings fair, chilly weather Wednesday, favorable for day-before-Thanksgiving travel / holiday prep activities.

TODAY: Overcast and rainy start, then rain tapers off and ends from northwest to southeast mid morning on with one more rain shower possible near the eastern coastal areas, lastly Cape Cod, during midday. Breaking clouds and partial sun possible later. Highs 45-52. Wind N to NW 10-20 MPH, increasing to 15-25 MPH with higher gusts during the afternoon.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 32-39. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH with higher gusts early, diminishing and becoming variable under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Sun then increasing high clouds. Highs 44-51. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain late evening and overnight. Lows 40-47 early, then may rise slightly. Wind SE to S up to 10 MPH becoming variable.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy with a good chance of rain showers in the morning, then a sun/cloud mix. Highs 48-55 in the morning then steady or a slight temperature drop. wind variable 5-15 MPH becoming NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 27-34. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, diminishing.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 40-47. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 28 – DECEMBER 2)

Before guidance really has a full handle on the Thanksgiving / Black Friday “storm threat”, my meteorological thoughts point me toward a flat, fast flow that takes low pressure south of our region later Thursday to early Friday. We’ll probably see a cloudy Thanksgiving, or at least “clouding-up”, and we’ll have to watch for a period of rain and/or snow for portions of the region that night into Friday before a clearing trend follows that. The weekend itself (Sat Nov 30 & Sun Dec 1) looks mainly dry overall, though the next system may approach quickly by the end of the weekend with clouds and a precipitation threat not out of the question, which could then linger into December 2, but at “days 9 & 10”, this is more speculation than solidly confident prediction. Temperatures near to below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 3-7)

Unsettled potential focused toward mid period with fair weather on both ends. Temperatures near to below normal.