DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 27 – DECEMBER 1)
A nice day today as high pressure controls the weather. Watch for patches of black ice into mid morning that will melt / sublimate with the combo of rising temperature and dry enough air. A storm system is still on track to impact our Thanksgiving Day with rain and higher elevation snow (up to a few inches of wet snow possible in highest elevations of north central MA and southwestern NH). The low center, while intensifying, will cut across the Cape & Islands region by evening, so precipitation that moves in quickly in the morning will then tapering off in the evening. While short in duration, the storm will still deliver somewhat beneficial and needed rain, just poor timing in terms of holiday activities, but that’s how it goes sometimes! A dry and chilly pattern takes over for Friday and the weekend as we get into a northwesterly air flow out of Canada to end November and welcome December!
TODAY: Sun and high clouds. Highs 40-47. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 26-33. Wind calm.
THURSDAY (THANKSGIVING): Overcast. Rain arrives west to east in the morning, may be mixed rain/snow or even a period of wet snow higher elevations of southwestern NH and north central MA before turning to rain, but up to a few inches of snowfall accumulation is possible in highest elevations there. Highs 38-45. Wind calm at dawn, then E to NE increasing to 5-15 MPH later.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with rain (mix / wet snow to northwest) ending evening. Breaking clouds overnight. Patchy fog. Areas of black ice forming. Lows 30-37. Wind NE 5-15 MPH shifting to N.
FRIDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 22-29. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 21-28. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 37-44. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 2-6)
Cold, dry pattern overall. Watch for a clipper type system around December 4 with some mix/snow but not likely a big storm.
DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 7-11)
Same pattern continues. On the cold, dry side, but watch for minor systems with some snow shower chances.
Good morning and thank you TK.
Why did Pete say last night winds gusting over 40 along the coast and then repeated by Tevin Wooten this morning. I don’t get it.
I don’t see that happening at all.
What gives?
FWIW, here is the 12Z HRRR depiction
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=ref1km_ptype&rh=2024112712&fh=34&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
IT has the system tracking right over Boston. 🙂
HRRR Kuchera Snow. Go North young man, go North!
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2024112712&fh=41&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
I think their “in-house” guidance had a stronger low a little further south, and they went with it. That’s what I could gather from what I saw on the weathercast (last night, didn’t see this morning).
Thank you for that. Just couldn’t figure out where that was coming from.
I presume you still do NOT agree with that? 🙂
I don’t. I think there can be some gusts along the coast as the low goes by and starts to crank up a bit but over 40? That’s a big stretch IMHMO. 🙂
Agree 100% Thank you.
Thanks Tk
Thanks TK
Ryan .,,,
Thanksgiving rainstorm on track across the state with 1/2″ to 1″ expected for most towns. Snow will fall in the higher elevations of the Berkshires, Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine.
Thanks TK.
WSW posted in Maine for tomorrow. I’ll report on what actually happens. WSW says 6+ so we shall. We are near Augusta.
Hope everyone has a great Thanksgiving and please be safe!
Happy Thanksgiving. Stay safe and enjoy the snow.
Matt
️ Thanksgiving Storm Details:
Lasts most of the day.
Rain south, snow north & west, but sharp elevation differences.
A foot of snow possible in high terrain.
Gusty winds: 40+ mph on the Cape to Boston.
He said could.
Jacob had 25-35 gusts Boston and 40 on Nantucket
https://www.cbsnews.com/boston/video/next-weather-wbz-mid-morning-update-for-november-27/
Thanks TK
12z NAM Kuchera Snow
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2024112712&fh=48&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
12Z 3KM NAM Kuchera Snow
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam4km&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2024112712&fh=48&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Thanks TK !
The models are playing catchup (to the Euro) on a stronger system.
Now down in the low 990s mbs.
Yes, but now coming in High and Tight
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2024112712&fh=33
GFS Kuchera Snow
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2024112712&fh=48&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Yes.