DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 28 – DECEMBER 2)
A Happy Thanksgiving to all!! A quick-moving low pressure area gives us a stormy holiday. While not great timing in terms of holiday activities (local travel, football games), the soaking rain we see will be beneficial. It’s already moved into much of the area as patchy light rain, but will consolidate into a widespread rain area. There will be wet snow mixed in over higher elevations of far north central MA and southwestern NH, and it can snow enough here for a minor slushy accumulation, but eventually this area ends up with mainly rain as well. Low pressure that I once expected to be a little weaker and pass just south of New England will be deepening and cut right across southeastern New England by this evening, then quickly away via the Gulf of Maine overnight through Friday. Rain ends this evening and clouds break overnight. If you have late evening / overnight travel planned, watch for the formation of black ice on wet, untreated surfaces, especially outside of urban centers, where the temperature drops to near or slightly below freezing and there is not enough wind to fully dry off those surfaces. Much drier air arriving overnight and early Friday will sublimate most ice that does form, and any left will melt / evaporate as the sun rises on Friday. Friday through Monday sees us in a new, chilly and dry weather pattern, with a northwesterly flow out of Canada to end November and start December…
TODAY (THANKSGIVING): Overcast. Rain likely, but mixed with wet snow for a while in highest elevations of far north central MA / southwestern NH. Highs 38-45. Wind calm early, then E 5-15 MPH, gusts 20-30 MPH possible, strongest this afternoon South Shore to Cape Cod.
THIS EVENING: Overcast with rain tapering off / ending west to east. Areas of fog forming. Temperatures steady 38-45 north of I-90 but rise to 45-52 I-90 area south. Wind E to NE 5-15 MPH and gusty north of I-90, variable to W 10-20 MPH I-90 area south.
OVERNIGHT: Breaking clouds / clearing. Areas of fog early. Lows 30-37, coldest inland areas north and west of Boston where patchy black ice is likely. Wind W 5-15 MPH, some higher gusts.
FRIDAY: Sun/cloud mix. Highs 40-47. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 22-29. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 21-28. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 37-44. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 21-28. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 36-43. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 3-7)
Cold, dry pattern overall. Watch for a clipper type system around December 4 with some mix/snow but not likely a big storm.
DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 8-12)
Below normal temperatures continue. A minor system can bring snow showers mid period. A Pacific jet stream system may approach at end of period.
NOTE: I broke today & tonight into 3 periods, today (daylight hours), this evening (sunset to midnight basically), overnight (midnight to dawn tomorrow). With a low center cutting across southern areas, the wind direction and speed changes a few times, so I wanted to separate the periods to better describe that in less of a jumble. I still don’t think the wind speeds get as high as some forecast we’ve seen, but up to 30 MPH gusts from the east are not out of the question along the South Shore to Cape Cod ahead of the low, and 20+ MPH gusts are pretty likely behind the departing system as the wind shifts to west, eventually more northwest as we head into Friday daytime. So while not a big wind event, the active, shifting breeze should be well-described, hence my decision above.
Thank you TK and Happy Thanksgiving!
Watched Eric and his forecast now more similar to yours though he has Cape and Islands in the 50’s. Not sure you are thinking the same.
Shout out to Vicki … Cheers!
Big smile here. Thank you and cheers
Thank TK. Happy Thanksgiving to all!
Up in Maine and awaiting rain/ice to start then transition to heavy wet snow later. Expecting 3-6 so we shall see.
Thanks TK.
Happy Thanksgiving!
Thanks TK !
Happy Thanksgiving to all !
Good morning and thank you TK.
Happy Thanksgiving to all.
Snowing decently up at Killington, a very good place for it. 🙂
https://www.killington.com/the-mountain/conditions-weather/webcam/north-ridge-cam
Good morning and thank you, TK.
Happy Thanksgiving, everyone!
Thanks TK and Happy Thanksgiving!
It’s pounding heavy wet snow here in Amsterdam NY and I’d estimate about 2” on the ground so far. We are under a Winter Storm Warning for 5-10”. It’s caked on everything and sticking to all the trees. Beautiful scene.
Thank you TK and thank you for sharing your astute meteorological knowledge with all of us on a daily basis. It’s how I start each day off reading this blog and the great commentary that comes with it. Happy Thanksgiving to all!
Thanks TK
Happy Thanksgiving!
Thanks Tk & Happy Thanksgiving everyone
Thanks TK!
Got all the rain gear on as I cheer on my son and his teammates. So far only light rain in Pembroke,
Wishing you and Captain and all here who are at home games the best game ever. For me, it’s remembering the many Belmont /Watertown games. Go Belmont!
Thank you, TK
Wishing a very happy Thanksgiving to everyone!!
Happy thanksgiving all.
Time to come out of my summer hibernation.
Happy Thanksgiving. Always exciting to see you here
Sometimes you get snow in the ski areas in late November but it warms up after it and the good conditions don’t last long.
Not this time. Probably going to have packed powder conditions for a couple of weeks with nighttime snow making to further deepen bases.
Just hope we avoid a storm like Dec 18th last year that sent 60F dew points and multi inch rains all the way to southern Canada. Never say never but my guess is we’ll avoid something that anomolous this year.
Awesome news.
Happy Thanksgiving from Mississippi.
The front went through last night. Temperatures the next few days will be similar to yours, just about 5 degrees less cold.
Starting the trek home Sunday. Hope to do it in 3 days.
Eat well and be well everyone.
Happy Thanksgiving
Love road trips. Please be safe and enjoy.