Wednesday January 1 2025 Forecast (6:55AM)

85 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 1-5)

Happy New Year! Low pressure sitting over our area starts our 2025 out on a cloudy, damp note. While a belt of heavier rain and embedded thunderstorms has moved on, and some additional rain lingers as we start daylight, we’ll see this taper to lingering drizzle and light rain showers with areas of fog as low pressure lifts northeastward into the Gulf of Maine. This process will allow a transition from the variable and light wind of early morning to a westerly breeze during the course of the day, but one more batch of showers will cross the region from west to east this evening, mainly as rain except some snow mixing in over higher elevations to the west. After this, we enter a 4-day period of colder trend with mainly dry weather. A passing rain or snow shower is possible Thursday, and a passing snow shower can occur Friday and/or Saturday, but by and large we’re just looking at dry weather and a bit colder each day, including Sunday. During this time, our departed storm system will evolve into a quasi stationary Atlantic Canada low with a large circulation, and this will keep the wind active here, especially on Thursday with notably strong gusts will occur. A very gradual lessening of wind will occur each day after that, but it will remain breeze through the first weekend of 2025.

TODAY (NEW YEAR’S DAY): Cloudy. Rain tapers to patchy drizzle / scattered rain showers. Areas of fog through midday. Highs 45-52. Wind E 5-15 MPH with higher gusts early, becoming variable around 10 MPH, then W 5-15 MPH with higher gusts later in the day.

TONIGHT: Cloudy with rain showers except mixed rain/snow showers higher elevations to the west this evening. Partly cloudy overnight. Lows 30-37. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts developing.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of brief passing rain / snow showers. Highs 36-43. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, gusts 30-50 MPH, strongest over open areas and higher elevations.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 22-29. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance of a brief passing snow shower. Highs 31-38. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, a few higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. A slight chance of a brief passing snow flurry. Highs 27-34. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, a few higher gusts possible.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 6-10)

The theme is cold and mainly dry with a suppressed storm track keeping any significant snow to the south of our region, but still have to watch a system early in the period as it goes by, just in case.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 11-15)

Cold pattern continues. Dry at first, then a snow threat mid or late period. Too soon for any further detail.

85 thoughts on “Wednesday January 1 2025 Forecast (6:55AM)”

  1. Thanks TK. Happy New Year to all WHW friends.

    Pattern look quiet for sure. Maybe something next week and then cold and dry for a period. We shall see how it shakes out.

    Reply

  2. Thank you TK. And then an extra thank you for all your hard work during 2024. I’m always amazed at the effort you put into this!

    Happy New Year to the WHW group. I hope it’s a great year for everyone of you!!

    Reply

  4. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Happy New Year all!

    Just can’t get excited about the upcoming weather. Sorry, just cannot.

    This is how bad it is for me.. had a dream that I was in Mexico City and it was snowing like hell and I was amazed at the skill of the snow plow drivers and that the even had plows. Pretty pathetic, isn’t it?

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  7. Thanks TK
    Happy New Year Everyone!
    TK I look forward to reading your weather predictions for 2025 as I do every year on the first of the year. I also look forward to reading other peoples predictions.
    Here are mine
    Two snowfalls of 6-12 inches will take place between 1/15-2/15
    Minor snow event of 1-4 inches to end February and another minor snow event for the first week of March
    The final snow totals for BOS will range between 25-30 inches
    Spring will be in the air the second week of March and last through the rest of the month
    There will be plenty of April showers. April will end up being the wettest month of 2025
    Widespread 90s show up in the middle of May. At this time the interior will have a heat wave
    Make sure your AC’s are working as they will get a workout this summer. Summer temps will be 2-3 degrees above normal
    20-25 90 degree or higher days. No widespread severe weather outbreaks. Thunderstorm activity near normal.
    The hurricane drought for New England continues for another year.
    Those cool crisp autumn days won’t arrive until the middle of October. For Trick Or Treaters clear skies and near normal temperatures. First flakes will happen in mid November. Thanksgiving will have temperatures slightly below normal
    Between Dec 1-10 first widespread snowfall for SNE
    Will be dreaming of a White Christmas. Temperatures will be on the mild side for Christmas.

    Reply

    1. Mine are written, but they are locked away on my laptop while I am one town away working. So I’ll post it later.

      Reply

  11. Blizzard, 20-35 inches with major coastal flooding in February. One well inland accumulation jackpot on a convergence band and a 2nd from Boston to Providence are the 2 zones 30-35 inches will be realized.

    Cold start to spring as lots more fresh water ice (lakes and rivers) and colder nearby ocean will use a lot of energy of the strengthening March and April sun to melt ice and moderate cold water in the region.

    Avg summer temps with less 70F dew point days than we’ve seen the last 2 summers.

    Average hurricane season but a busier late August thru mid September than we had during the bizarre quiet spell this past year. Sahara rains don’t extend as far north next autumn.

    The aurora continues to make occasional visits during the year as we are at/just past solar max.

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  12. Good morning and happy new years to everyone of WHW! I hope everyone has a blessed 2025.

    Does anyone have anything they do specifically to the first of the year? I don’t do resolutions, but I like to spend the day doing things that I want to be better with. I’ll be writing, doing paperwork, cleaning and getting in a run even though I’m still under the weather a bit. I just like to set the tempo on the first day.

    Thanks again TK for all you do with keeping us informed and giving us a place to chat.

    Saw an interesting rainbow in only one section of a cloud before sunset yesterday: https://ibb.co/pvcJ24Q

    And to jpdave – I’ve no doubt that you’ll have more model runs that make you do random excited exclamation, pound sign, ampersands and other characters in a row in the new year. Now whether that’s this winter or next winter…. Lol

    Reply

    1. Great shot Doc!!

      There may be model runs, but will anything happen???
      Ah that is the question. 🙂 🙂 🙂

      First JOKE model is coming out now, the GFS. 🙂 🙂 🙂

      Cold and Dry say Good-Bye??? we shall see.

      Reply

  14. According to today’s NWS Boston’s climo stats, the record snowfall for Boston was 90.0” set on 12/31/2020.

    I wonder if it should be 9.0” perhaps?

    Reply

    1. Makes no sense at all. Record for what? the date, the month, the year?

      90 inches for a single date. NOPE that never happened in Boston.

      90 inches for a year. Nope, it was 110 in 2014-2015.

      Perhaps like you say 9 inches for 12/31. I could buy that.

      They should be MORE CAREFUL over there what they put out for the public!!!!!

      Reply

  15. Happy New Year to all

    Thank you TK, not only for today’s post but for the 5,477 (if I did the math correctly) posts before today. And thank you for the hard work and dddication that goes into each of those posts

    Reply

  16. Thanks TK and Happy New Year everyone!

    Reports of thundersnow last night from NH and still snowing hard in portions of Maine this AM. This shot from the webcam in Jackman earlier:

    https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_2025_01/1552458697_Screenshot2025-01-01101320.png.80c3e6e85a3c095e6556a12fb3288c77.png

    I’m also seeing Killington reporting 3″ of new snow and Stratton 5″. We were at Stratton yesterday and they need it badly. Trails had turned to a sheet of ice after the warmup/rain and subsequent cool down.

    Cross country skiing Monday at Lapland Lake in the southern Adirondacks was far better than I expected. Nice soft snow and they retained a solid base in the woods. They will be fine with the upcoming cold weather and additional snow expected the next several days from lake effect.

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        1. Yikes. And there sure are some amazing rentals. My in laws rented one years ago with all of that and then some for a family reunion

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          1. Well let’s be realistic…

            No snowy pattern lasts forever. But what i’m saying is transitioning out of the cold and dry is when Boston is going to get its snow this winter.

            Reply

  24. Thanks TK, happy New Year!

    An unpopular stance at the moment, but I am not sold on 1/6 being a complete miss in SNE. The degree of modeled de-amplification of that upper level wave doesn’t quite sit right with me, and there’s still quite a bit of model noise in other features including a potential shortwave coming out of Hudson Bay that may have some say in things. In a “stair-steppy” type pattern into the eventual deep freeze, I’m skeptical of an immediate transition to a fully suppressed storm track. Don’t read this as “big snow in SNE on Monday!”, but it would not shock me if that system trends at least somewhat north.

    Beyond that, very suppressive (cold/dry) for at least a few days, but maybe not for long…

    Reply

      1. If nothing else and we really wanna go old school with a “latitude in = latitude out” approach, if that trough comes ashore near the CA/OR border, the idea of it exiting south of Delmarva fails the test. Obviously rules of thumb are just that, but yep, “still gotta watch it” 🙂

        Reply

  26. Thanks TK! Happy New Year and prayers for everyone in New Orleans. I posted earlier while waiting to pick up my wife at Logan but did not go through so trying again.

    We had a quite a bit of rain last night in Padanaram Village on the South Coast – 1.2 inches in my rain gauge. There were several occasions in 2024 where storms over performed in this area. It has me wondering – is HTE a stronger variable for locations along the water? I can recall experiencing so many systems over performing in one year.

    Reply

  27. Well, this is January 1, so here you go…

    TK’s Only Partially Scientific But Mostly For-Fun 2025 Weather Predictions, Woods Hill Enquirer Style!

    2025 will feature a mostly typical and occasional atypical set of weather conditions and events, pretty much like every year, but here are some notables to watch for. These prognostications contain a little bit of scientific forethought, but are mostly made for your amusement. This may be the one place I’m guilty of a little bit of wish-casting. 🙂

    January will have 3 moods. 1) Cold & dry, kiss ’em goodbye. 2) OMG I can’t find my shovel and I need it! 3) January thaw that gently turns a snowscape into a frozen crustscape with the thaw/freeze cycle.

    February will be a benign month overall, more mild days than cold, but the cold days will be REALLY cold, and there will be one regionwide major snowstorm, on a weekend.

    March’s first half will feature 2 snow events that boost the region to near normal for the season., and the month’s second half will be dry most of the time but 2 snow and ice cleansing rain events, the second of which will cause some flooding and put an end to the drought (temporarily).

    Spring will start wet and trend dry with some wild temperature swings. The final snowfall of the season will occur in April, and will be an intensity-driven snow event south of Boston while lighter precipitation allows rain to mix in to the north. Upside down storm! The first thunderstorm outbreak in May will be signficant, but the month overall will feature with very nice mid spring weather.

    There will be 3 heatwaves in Boston during the summer of 2025, one in late June (4 days), one in mid July (that lasts 6 days), and one in early August (4 days). With no other 90 degree days this will put Boston at normal for the # of 90+ for the summer.

    The weather will trend drier as we progress through summer, and by the end of summer, we’ll be back in drought again in SNE.

    September will feature 2 very warm weeks and 2 very cool weeks, but you’ll have to wait to see what order they happen in. 😉 Dry weather will push the drought to more severe levels. And yes, we will add yet another year to New England’s hurricane landfall drought.

    October and November 2025 will be a classic autumn with a combination of rainy weather, reducing drought slowly and steadily, but a lot of splendid autumn days, and a specutacular foliage season.

    Thanksgiving Week will be halcyon – cold, dry, tranquil. However, the first widespread measurable snow will occur on the final day of the month, and a cold pattern will persist into mid December with 3 to 5 additional snow events building the earliest notable snowpack in years. While the back half of December is quiet and cold, the snow will go nowhere. Boston will have its second consecutive white Christmas.

    Reply

        1. This was mentioned by me last week I believe wishing for a really big on like two days on a weekend . Nemo winter a lot were on Friday / Saturdays. I remember it was like 5 Saturdays in a row that I was not sleeping in my bed . You have no idea how much I enjoy not doing snow removal now , now if it snows I’ll bang in lol .

          Reply

          1. If I can chose a time for a biggie, starts Friday night, rages into Saturday, tapers off that night, and cleanup day is Sunday. 🙂

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    3. Lmao TK is going to become a farmer and start selling his almanacs. You heard it here first! Just need some lucky numbers for each month and recipes and you could sell this as a book yearly.

      I’d rather we be done with snow by march (my birthday month) but the last time we “got the snow out of the way” before march… we had blockbuster snowstorms one after the other in february. So… I’ll take a near normal count (although hoping for much less!) lol

      Reply

  28. Happy New Year to all WHW folks. I saw yesterday that you had bumped up wind speeds a bit. Just curious what you see as expected gusts in the Natick area tomorrow?

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  29. I went back to the WHW archives and there was absolutely NO snow in Boston on New Year’s Eve 2020 so I have no idea where NWS got that stat from. An obvious misprint if there ever was one.

    Reply

  30. 40 years ago today – January 1 1985

    The Top 103 Songs of 1984

    Here is a list of the Top 103 songs of 1984 for Boston. This countdown was broadcast starting at 10am on Tuesday January 1 1985 on WHTT 103.3FM, known as Hit Radio 103. I taped the entire countdown off my “boom box”, editing out commercials and a few extra songs that were not on the countdown itself. They reached number 1 just before 800pm that evening.

    Preview: Edit of a few seconds of each song in order (ran about 6 minutes).

    103: Let’s Stay Together – Tina Turner

    102: I Guess That’s Why They Call It The Blues – Elton John

    101: 17 – Rick James

    100: Dancing In The Sheets – Shalamar

    99: Desert Moon – Dennis DeYoung

    98: Middle Of The Road – The Pretenders

    97: Adult Education – Hall & Oates

    96: White Horse – Laid Back

    95: Run Runaway – Slade

    94: I Feel For You – Chaka Khan

    93: Running With The Night – Lionel Richie

    92: Give It Up – KC

    91: Joanna – Kool & The Gang

    90: Miss Me Blind – Culture Club

    89: Wild Boys – Duran Duran

    88: State Of Shock – Mick Jagger & Michael Jackson

    87: Out Of Touch – Hall & Oates

    86: Some Guys Have All The Luck – Rod Stewart

    85: Radio Ga Ga – Queen

    84: I’ll Wait – Van Halen

    83: Rock You Like A Hurricane – Scorpions

    82: You Can’t Get What You Want (Til You Know What You Want) – Joe Jackson

    81: Let The Music Play – Shannon

    80: New Song – Howard Jones

    79: 10-9-8 – Face To Face

    78: Strut – Sheena Easton

    77: For The Longest Time- Billy Joel

    76: Red Red Wine – UB40

    75: Stay The Night – Chicago

    74: Send Me An Angel – Real Life

    73: Nobody Told Me – John Lennon

    72: Tonight – Kool & The Gang

    71: They Don’t Know – Tracey Ullman

    70: No More Words – Berlin

    69: Love Somebody – Rick Springfield

    68: Are We Ourselves? – The Fixx

    67: Breakin’ … There’s No Stopping Us – Ollie & Jerry

    66: Doctor Doctor! – Thomson Twins

    65: Got A Hold On Me – Christine McVie

    64: If This Is It – Huey Lewis & The News

    63: Rock Me Tonite – Billy Squier

    62: Show Me – The Pretenders

    61: Moderate Day Delilah – Van Stephenson

    60: Infatuation – Rod Stewart

    59: A Fine Fine Day – Tony Carey

    58: If Ever You’re In My Arms Again – Peabo Bryson

    57: Lucky Star – Madonna

    56: The Warrior – Scandal

    55: Purple Rain – Prince

    54: Better Be Good To Me – Tina Turner

    53: Cruel Summer – Bananarama

    52: Round And Round – Ratt

    51: 99 Red Balloons – Nena

    Halftime Extra: “Tutti Frutti, Oh Flutie!” by T.D. & The Extra Points (lyrics by Jack Kearney) .. This song was a tribute to Doug Flutie inspired by the miracle game winning pass earlier in the season, and B.C. playing in the Cotton Bowl on the day the countdown was aired.

    50: Sad Songs (Say So Much) – Elton John

    49: Here Comes The Rain Again – Eurythmics

    48: It’s My Life – Talk Talk

    47: Break Dance – Irene Cara

    46: Girls – Dwight Twilley

    45: Thriller – Michael Jackson

    44: Blue Jean – David Bowie

    43: The Politics Of Dancing – Reflex

    42: Dance Hall Days – Wang Chung

    41: New Moon On Monday – Duran Duran

    40: Magic – The Cars

    39: Almost Paradise – Mike Reno & Ann Wilson

    38: Lights Out – Peter Wolf

    37: Legs – ZZ Top

    36: Head Over Heels – Go-Go’s

    35: Sunglasses At Night – Corey Hart

    34: On The Dark Side – John Cafferty & The Beaver Brown Band

    33: The Heart Of Rock And Roll – Huey Lewis & The News

    32: The Glamerous Life – Shelia E

    31: Sister Christian – Night Ranger

    30: Cover Me – Bruce Springsteen

    29: She Bop – Cyndi Lauper

    28: Hard Habit To Break – Chicago

    27: Hold Me Now – Thomson Twins

    26: Oh Sherrie – Steve Perry

    25: Time After Time – Cyndi Lauper

    24: I Want A New Drug – Huey Lewis & The News

    23: Eyes Without A Face – Billy Idol

    22: Somebody’s Watching Me – Rockwell

    21: Stuck On You – Lionel Richie

    20: Caribbean Queen – Billy Ocean

    19: Drive – The Cars

    18: Jump (For My Love) – The Pointer Sisters

    17: Ghostbusters – Ray Parker Jr.

    16: Self Control – Laura Brannigan

    15: Let’s Hear It For The Boy – Denise Williams

    14: I Can Dream About You – Dan Hartman

    13: Let’s Go Crazy – Prince

    12: Against All Odds – Phil Collins

    11: I Just Called To Say I Love You – Stevie Wonder

    10: You Might Think – The Cars

    9: Missing You – John Waite

    8: Hello – Lionel Richie

    7: The Reflex – Duran Duran

    6: What’s Love Got To Do With It – Tina Turner

    5: Jump – Van Halen

    4: Borderline – Madonna

    3: When Doves Cry – Prince

    2: Dancing In The Dark – Bruce Springsteen

    Recap: a reprise of the preview from 103 thru 2…

    1: Footloose – Kenny Loggins

    The DJ’s on air for this were Johnny Dark (10am-2pm), Jay Dow (2pm-6pm), Jeff Lee Hooker (6pm-8pm) though Jay hung out in the studio with him. Alex Stone was the normal 6pm-10pm DJ at WHTT at the time but he was on vacation.

    Reply

    2. That is a pretty diverse group of artists. Modern terrestrial radio is much more linear in its song choices within a format.

      Reply

  31. Happy New Year!!

    I’m looking for an easy way to find official snowfall totals for the month of December by town. NWS site is not user friendly but maybe I’m looking in the wrong place.

    Reply

    1. They only running totals that they really keep are on the Past Weather page, but otherwise to get specific spots not on that list you’d have to check the PNS archive and hope that whatever location you wanted had sent consistent reports.

      Reply

  32. Did anyone mention the strong thunder and lightning around 1 this am. Reports I’m hearing is the thunder was remarkably strong and the lightning vibrant. Sadly I slept through the event

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    1. Not sure who said “big”. It’s slight. Like about 25 miles different on the low track between the 12z & 18z deterministic runs.

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  36. 00z EURO says enjoy Mid-Atlantic.

    I asked TK this and I have searched far and wide but anyone know how to find weather forecast for the Antarctic Peninsula where tourists go once getting through the Drake Passage? Neither of us could find anything.

    Reply

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