Thursday January 2 2025 Forecast (6:48AM)

93 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 2-6)

The next few days will see us in a dry, colder trend, with persistent northwesterly air flow. Today, winds will be significant, with gusts over 40 MPH common in the region. A slight chance of a passing rain or snow shower exists, and an additional snow shower can drift by Friday and/or Saturday, otherwise the theme is breezy, cold, and dry through the weekend. Monday, we’ll watch a wave of low pressure passing to our south, which is still expected to pass mostly to the south, but may be close enough to throw a swath of light snow into southern areas. There’s still some uncertainty with that low’s track, so it’ll be monitored closely for any changes.

TODAY: Partly sunny. Chance of brief passing rain / snow showers. A couple snow showers may be briefly heavy with minor accumulation in areas well west of Boston. Highs 36-43. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, gusts 30-50 MPH, strongest over open areas and higher elevations.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 22-29. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance of a brief passing snow shower. Highs 31-38. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, a few higher gusts.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. A slight chance of a brief passing snow flurry. Highs 27-34. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, a few higher gusts possible.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 12-19. Wind NW to N up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Chance of light snow South Coast. Highs 22-29. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 7-11)

Cold and dry pattern. Suppressed storm track keeps snow threats to south.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 12-16)

Cold relaxes slightly, but storm track also edges closer with a potential storm threat evolving.

93 thoughts on “Thursday January 2 2025 Forecast (6:48AM)”

  4. Thanks TK !

    Well, that wind certainly woke me up walking into school from the parking lot.

    I think today or tomorrow is the latest sunrise of the winter.

    Reply

  5. http://www.bom.gov.au/ant/?ref=hdr

    http://www.bom.gov.au/ant/observations/antall.shtml

    http://www.bsis-ice.de/IcePortal/displaySouthernMap.html

    http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/dwo/IDCJDW0920.shtml

    http://www.bom.gov.au/marine/high-seas.shtml

    There is antarctica weather obs/ice forecasts/sea forecasts here. Its a subdivision off of the AUSTRALIA WEATHER SERVICE site.

    I’m not sure you’ll get a daily weather forecast per se, but it has the stuff listed in the paragraph above.

    Hope this may be of some assistance, Hadi.

    Reply

  6. Thanks, TK…

    “And Mom and Dad can hardly wait for school to start again!”

    We beg to differ, right, Tom? 🙂

    At least it’s a two-day week!

    Reply

  10. Thanks TK! MY daughter is learning to snowboard in Interlaken Switzerland this week and is loving the conditions. To be young again!

    Reply

  11. I remember after the Blizzard of 78, everything was suppressed for basically the rest of the Winter that year. NOTHING
    could get up here. If it did, it was a piece of the Northern fringe of a system and was meaningless.

    I wonder how similar this current set up is?

    Reply

  14. Thanks tk

    Anyone who missed tk’s almanac post in yesterdays comment section, be sure to go back and read it before he starts charging a buck to buy it. 🙂

    Reply

  18. As long as, when a storm is approaching, you can see signs of a stalled low in the maritimes, it has no chance to get us. The tell tale sign is northwest sfc winds in NB and Maine.

    Reply

    1. That means it can’t get up to NB and Maine, does not necessarily mean it can’t get into SNE. This still needs to be watched,

      And if it gets up here, it will be a little stronger than currently depicted because the 500 mb will have dug a little deeper.

      Reply

  21. I don’t know if it was a big wind gust (didn’t hear it), but
    my desk started swaying as IF we had an Earth Quake.

    I’d be certain it was an Earthquake if not for the wind.

    Reply

  25. Thanks Vicki for posting that travel information about Antarctica. Very informative to say the least. Even in summer tourists still need to pack winter clothing but bundling up from top to bottom day after day isn’t necessary either. I get the impression though that even summer nights still get fairly cold no matter how mild the days are. I also had no idea that “rain” can fall as well. 🙂

    Hadi, are you planning a trip there soon?

    Reply

    1. My dad/brother and sister in law head there tonight. Going to Argentina first and then South Georgia Island and then Antarctica.

      Reply

  26. It is no coincidence that the maps posted are dated near MLK weekend. On average that timeframe is one of the best snow opportunities for SNE.

    Reply

    1. There’s actually nothing special about that weekend. Our snowiest time comes from mid January to mid February, on average. But the atmosphere doesn’t know it’s a weekend, or a holiday, for that matter. It just falls in mid January, which is near the beginning of our peak.

      Reply

  28. Thanks TK.

    Well, as I sorta suspected we’ve seen some north trends on the 1/6 system, and less de-amplification. Is there enough gas in the tank on that trend to get the heavier snow up to SNE? Probably not, but I’d still give it least a 10-20% chance of a widespread moderate event. But the mid-Atlantic metros are the more likely winners…

    Reply

  29. Baltimore D.C. might have more snow after Monday storm system than Boston. Will see if NY could get some snow to pull closer to Boston in the standings.

    Reply

  31. Since I moved here July 1, 2022 I am now at 916 days straight without being under a Winter Storm Watch. That would be pretty sad if that streak gets to 1,000

    Reply

  33. I guess my Mid-Atlantic relatives had better get ready for a snowstorm early next week. 😉

    Maybe DC, Baltimore gets more snow for the season to date than even Worcester (10.2”)?

    Worcester = 10.2”
    Boston = 5.7”
    NYC = 2.8”

    Reply

  38. Verified the snow showers in the forecast today. 🙂

    Also regarding the 1/2/1987 storm mentioned earlier. That was probably the worst nightmare of a commute I had during the 5 years I attended U Lowell. It took 3 hours to get home (45 min trip). Remember this came during the long “snow drought” years that started in the late 1970s and ended in the early 1990s, but the winter of 1986-1987 did have 2 notable snowstorms in January, on the 2nd and on the 22nd. Not blockbusters, but significant travel disruptions from both, especially the first one.

    The other notable snow events that took place during the snow drought years to at least remind folks that we can get big storms here…

    December 5-6 1981
    April 6 1982
    February 12 1983
    March 29 1984

    Reply

      1. A squall (snow or rain) is accompanied by at least one significant burst of wind. I don’t think there is a specific criteria for wind speed – more a judgement call. But squalls tend to be qualified as such with wind gusts above 25 MPH. That’s the basic rule of thumb I use.

        Reply

        1. Thank you. We were gusting from 21 to 27 for the first burst. And it was hard to see far during the strongest part. Much quieter for the second which was more like a shower to me.

          Reply

  39. Atop Mt Washington, the highest wind gust in the past 10 minutes was 131 mph. The highest in the past 24 hours was 142 mph.

    Reply

      1. Monday is 1/6. The period for significant snow even for south shore would be anywhere from 1/5 to 1/20 & I am hoping for a nice long drawn out event .

        Reply

        1. Sharon. There have anyways been quality issues with snow removal and road treatment, but this event was particularly bad with multiple serious accidents both to cars and pedestrians. The DPW cited a “bad forecast.”

          Reply

          1. Missed this. If it is a regular issue, seems reasonable to have a town meeting. Surely doesn’t apply here. I am in the most remote corner of sutton and our roads are always treated and pretreated.

            Uxbridge has a relatively new (and expensive) pretreatment technique that is the best I’ve seen

            Reply

      2. I think the last one caught many of guard. Sutton was VERY uncharacteristically behind some too. I remember at the time understanding why. Of course by now, I’ve forgotten.

        Road crews are as criticized as meteorologists. First time since being here for sutton so I sure can it see meeting about it. Does Sharron usually do a good job?

        Reply

  45. My issue with snow removal is private property. Many owners don’t remove it from their sidewalks and from what I can tell from the last event, Quincy (my new home) is no exception. Boston “technically” fines those who don’t remove snow within a certain timeframe but city inspectors rarely come out to check. I don’t know if Quincy has a similar “law” on their books.

    Also good luck trying to reach the walk/don’t walk button on a traffic light. Snow gets piled up at intersections covering the bottom of the pole.

    Reply

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