Thursday January 9 2025 Forecast (6:43AM)

75 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 9-13)

The large low pressure area in Atlantic Canada continues to drive cold air into our region on a gusty wind. A disturbance moving through from north to south will cause some snow showers this morning and midday which can result in minor accumulation of snow in some areas, otherwise we stay mainly dry through Friday. Low pressure passes well south of New England Saturday but patches of light snowfall are expected here from a disturbance moving through north of that low from the west. A narrow area of high pressure will bring fair, cold weather for Sunday before another low approaches from the west on Monday with an increase in clouds.

TODAY: Partly sunny. Scattered snow showers likely with minor spotty accumulation. Highs 23-30. Wind N to NW 15-30 MPH with gusts 35-45 MPH. Wind chill below 20 often, below 15 at times.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 11-18. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 27-34. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 13-20. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY: Cloudy. Periods of light snow – accumulation up to 1 inch possible. Highs 23-30. Wind N up to 10 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 14-21. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 27-34. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 14-18)

A disturbance / weak low brings a snow shower chance January 14, otherwise a dry and cold pattern much of next week.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 19-23)

Early to mid period snow potential, followed by dry weather. Temperatures below normal, and may include a significant shot of arctic air.

75 thoughts on “Thursday January 9 2025 Forecast (6:43AM)”

  5. Thanks, TK!

    The wind continues to be relentless. I drove to North Dartmouth and back yesterday afternoon and my little Corolla was all over the road!

    Reply

  7. I think the wind will actually help avoid road accumulation where the snow showers are “heaviest” .. not particularly heavy, but it’s heavy enough here to reduce visibility at the moment.

    Can’t rule these out until about early afternoon – last band may actually be a N-S parallel to wind band out by I-495, maybe I-95. We’ll see if/where that sets up.

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  12. I can’t believe the amount of conspiracy theories about CA and the fires. It’s going to be a long few years. People need to be sympathetic, what happened to us as humans.

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    2. Absolutely heartbreaking. Tens of thousands of people have lost everything. The very last thing they need are the lies some are spreading. We have lost our way, and I pray we find our north. Soon.

      Reply

  22. Solid dusting in Reading MA.

    Between the wind and the super dry air, most of the very light amounts that fall will be gone by the end of the day, having blown away and sublimated.

    Reply

  23. Thanks TK.

    22F here in Coventry and nothing but cold, windy, brown tundra outside.

    Just looking at the 0z Euro and 12z GFS and both agree (although with different evolutions) that the pattern gets active from around 1/19-1/20 on. Precip threats showing up every other day from about MLK day on. Of course with the deep cold pattern relaxing a bit and storm track coming north, we may be dealing with p-type issues in parts of the region for some of these systems. But at least we still have climatology going for us being not far off the coldest time of year and the sun angle will still be relatively low.

    Reply

  24. These relentless winds have been affecting lift operations at the ski areas up north but the silver lining is that the spine of the Greens has been receiving persistent upslope snows. Killington, Sugarbush, and Jay Peak have reported accumulating snow every day this month so far with Jay Peak receiving 31″ in the last 7 days. Skiing will be good and many of the central/northern VT resorts should be 90-100% open this weekend.

    Areas in NH and Maine further east do not cash in much in these setups and could really use a good dumping of snow. Sugarloaf and Sunday River Maine are less than 50% open and have reported little new snow in the last week.

    Reply

    1. Was just gonna mention this. The winds have really put a damper on things. Some resorts have been limited in their snowmaking due to the water sources being so low from the fall drought.

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      1. We didn’t have the snowmaking problem, but I remember lifts closing one time. Great excuse to spend the afternoon in front of a fire in the lounge.

        Reply

  27. Thanks TK, I think about 1,036 tiny flakes fell here on the south coast, The dry streak continues…a nice break from the December deluge. My sump pump gets a nice break. The length of cold and wind has been pretty impressive. Last time I was outside for an extended period was barbecuing steaks on New Years Day.

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  32. CPC below normal most of country 8-14, but now has shifted to an above normal precip pattern here to go along with the cold.

    They once again have zero areas of above normal across the entire lower 48.

    Reply

      1. I believe we’ll have a few opportunities during the final 11 days of January and this may extend into the first week or so of February before we get a lull…

        Reply

  34. ECMWF — 50th Birthday!

    I posted a few days ago that the ECMWF has been around for 50 years as of 2025 (Can’t remember when I first looked at it.) I think it was conceived in the early 1970’s and became a “thing” in 1975 and started making forecasts in ’78 or ’79. Daily forecasts started either in ’80 or’81. There are a number of events planned as part of a celebration. (link below)

    It has evolved in its own right … sometimes for the better and sometimes not so much. In recent times, it has become a user of and a contributor to Google’s AI weather models as well as being involved with machine learning. I think it uses GraphCast and has contributed in some way to GenCast … not that these would ever replace the Euro or any other current model in the near term.

    I also posted that maybe the model has lost some luster from the days when we called it The King but in the same breath I referred to it as a survivor. It’s tough to last 50 years in the world of computing unless you are committed to a philosophy making changes and advances.

    https://www.ecmwf.int/en/about/media-centre/stories/anniversary

    Reply

  35. NWS map for the next event indicates <1" for most of the area with 1-2" forecast for northeastern MA & the NH Seacoast.

    My thought is 1/2 to 1 1/2" with locally around 2". Basically the same idea.

    Summation: Coating to 2 inches, with 2 being the exception rather than the rule.

    Reply

  37. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2025010912&fh=384&r=us_sw&dpdt=&mc=

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2025010912&fh=360&r=us_sw&dpdt=&mc=

    I don’t think an atmospheric river event would be good but you’d hope for a gentle rain system soon, but not in the cards.

    But, hopefully that Santa Ana setup with low pressure in northern Baja and high pressure to the north won’t set up as vigorously again.

    Reply

  39. Look at this from the NWS in Little Rock, talk about a range.

    “Additional snow accumulations between 1 and 9 inches and ice
    accumulations around two tenths of an inch”

    Reply

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