DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 13-17)
A wave of low pressure tracks north of our region today, and its warm front moves through early this morning, setting up a mild day in comparison to recent weather. A cold front drops southeastward through the region this evening and may kick off a rain or snow shower as it passes. Slightly colder air filters in behind this for Tuesday, with one more disturbance going by and a secondary trough with a wind shift and even a little colder air moving into the region for Wednesday, but with fair weather that day. Another disturbance traverses the Northeast in a westerly flow and may bring a snow shower on Thursday before a small area of high pressure noses in on Friday with fair weather.
TODAY: Partly sunny. Highs 36-43. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. A rain or snow shower possible in the evening. Lows 28-35. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Slight chance of a passing snow shower. Highs 35-42. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 28-35. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 16-23. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. A passing snow flurry possible. Highs 25-32. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 15-22. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 32-39. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 18-22)
Changes to the weather pattern get underway, starting with a milder southerly flow for a brief time and a chance of rain at some point on the January 18-19 weekend, then a wind shift with a front going by and colder air moving in. After this we have to watch for waves of low pressure and wintry precipitation chances, the timing and details of which are obviously unknown this far in advance. So, a lot of forecast fine-tuning lies ahead.
DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 23-27)
Leaning to the cold side for temperatures and at least one wintry weather threat.
Good morning and thank you TK
Are our chances for snow coming up beginning to wane? Sure looks that way to me.
I guess we’ll find out.
If you look at run-to-run deterministic models, you may think so.
If you study the pattern and ignore the run to run solutions, no.
Ok, I’ll keep watching. 🙂
Many thanks
Thanks TK !
Good morning and thank you TK!
How is it already Monday???
Indeed and how is it 2025 and January 13 already?????
Time marches on. While walking the shore this AM, noticed it’s getting lighter earlier.
Yup and REALLY noticing it staying light longer at the end of the day. The sun marches Northward!
I think it marches out of step 😉
And no significant storm as of now mid month .
Towards the last week of January maybe … if you’re willing to look out that far.
As early as January 19.
🙂
The 20th might be better as it will be a lot colder vs Sundays projected temperatures
Actually it will be cold enough on the 19th, and it’s about the timing of the moisture, not the phone app temperatures. 🙂
I was figuring more mixed precip or rain for that event.
I did not go by an app . I heard it advertised as rain for Sunday by a Couple of different tv Mets
❤️
Well, this looks pretty good
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2025011312&fh=165&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=
Kuchera Snow with this. Has some wet snow during part of this, reducing the snow totals.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2025011312&fh=180&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
I seriously thought you were kidding about January 13. Good grief
Thanks TK
Sounds like LA has a tough 3 days coming, with more advisory level winds. 🙁
Bring on spring
Good morning and thanks TK.
Thinking about the people of LA. It was always one of those things that they warned could happen, it’s just crazy that it’s happening outside of what is considered to be wildfire season and winds still ramping up.
It truly is beyond real.
I saw a report of winds 50-75 mph the next few days.
That is NOT good. I just hope that portions of the fires
that are “out” do not re-ignite with those winds.
Last I heard the death toll is 24 lives lost. There are probably many more bodies to be found, unfortunately.
Thank you, TK!
SSK … I’m at reply limit above..
Out of curiosity which TV mets?
There is a rain chance late Saturday and/or early Sunday as described in my discussion above, which I write carefully every day.
Cold air follows. What remains to figure out is additional waves of low pressure, track and timing, but we enter a vastly improved pattern for widespread winter weather events starting January 19.
This does not mean I am calling for snow to begin at 1201 a m on January 19, so make sure what I write stays in context.
12:02 AM?
Here’s one with a mix maybe(?) for Saturday. Temp in low 40’s.
https://whdh.com/weather/#watch-forecast
.. and 35 seconds. 😉
Yes, I have similar for Saturday, though we may get thru the daylight dry.
Josh has me chuckling. He is required to put the 7 day out by management But he is wise enough to not give the weekend any validation by mentioning it. Longshot, your question mark was wisely placed. We know better than to consider anything as a given that far out. Certainly not enough to challenge TKs forecast.
Yes, I agree. He is not one to get out on a limb.
Happy Hen Galan!
Much later than normal, but my Weekly Outlook is now up
https://stormhq.blog/2025/01/13/weekly-outlook-january-13-19-2025/